Disguised-Dredger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$45

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-07 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 38% $-3

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$6	7	5	+2	Up	+$2	05-07 20:44
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	1	$5	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	04-30 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-07 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3	$3	24	0	+24	Up	$-1	05-07 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$3	23	0	+23	open	—	05-03 18:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$2	200	0	+200	Up	$-2	05-04 20:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$2	90	0	+90	open	—	05-01 10:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-0	05-07 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$2	18	0	+18	Down	$-2	05-04 20:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$1	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 21:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 19:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-01 10:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	05-01 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 19:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	951	0	+951	open	—	05-03 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 21:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x647b46…
05-07 21:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xda0d70…
05-07 20:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xee1d27…
05-07 20:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5ffc04…
05-07 20:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbe4747…
05-07 20:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2ed296…
05-07 20:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x6135b4…
05-07 20:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x780a1d…
05-07 20:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x10f9e2…
05-07 20:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x7cab0b…
05-07 20:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x573a82…
05-07 20:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2c28ff…
05-07 20:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4f4749…
05-07 20:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5d79b4…
05-07 20:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x20c226…
05-04 20:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x779601…
05-04 20:19:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd85594…
05-04 20:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbf81a8…
05-04 20:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x23a8a5…
05-04 11:02:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd7c97e…
05-03 19:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x829c99…
05-03 19:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	951	0¢	$1	0x7407c7…
05-03 19:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6cf0a3…
05-03 19:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe9bc6c…
05-03 19:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe236d1…
05-03 19:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x871e60…
05-03 19:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x913d75…
05-03 19:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x20769f…
05-03 18:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x84fe7d…
05-03 18:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd0b29d…
05-03 18:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x75184a…
05-01 10:48:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x89b2de…
05-01 10:28:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x45d08b…
05-01 10:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeb62c5…
05-01 10:13:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x3121d8…
04-30 23:47:52	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x028e7d…