Submissive-Constellation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.3%

Resolved

Trades

473

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-05 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 26% $-49

Other

29% 0% $-1

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	6	$232	550	538	+12	open	—	04-07 22:44
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$119	100	100	+0	Yes	$-1	04-07 20:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	8	$96	240	227	+13	open	—	04-28 00:08
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in April?	3	$92	100	98	+2	open	—	04-08 14:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$91	100	98	+2	open	—	04-07 02:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	12	$77	320	266	+55	Yes	+$3	05-05 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	4	$65	82	78	+4	open	—	04-27 14:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	5	$57	57	73	-16	open	—	04-27 06:32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in April?	2	$48	100	97	+3	open	—	04-08 16:04
bitcoin above 64k on april 12	5	$45	231	218	+13	open	—	04-07 21:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	7	$40	130	130	+0	open	—	05-04 14:57
israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	9	$33	178	178	+0	open	—	04-07 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$32	80	44	+36	open	—	04-27 17:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	5	$28	344	344	+0	No	$-2	05-05 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	2	$28	30	30	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$23	30	30	+0	open	—	05-04 13:09
will trump praise allah again by april 15	2	$21	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 14:05
Solana Up or Down on May 4?	4	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	05-04 14:26
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$20	20	19	+1	open	—	04-26 18:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	5	$20	67	67	+0	No	$-1	05-05 14:47
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$19	60	60	+0	open	—	04-27 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	2	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11AM ET	5	$16	261	243	+18	open	—	04-27 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$15	50	50	+0	Down	+$11	05-05 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$15	15	19	-4	open	—	04-26 11:24
bitcoin above 70k on april 8	1	$14	579	0	+579	open	—	04-08 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	2	$14	28	28	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$14	83	83	+0	open	—	05-04 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$14	21	20	+1	open	—	04-27 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x734026…
05-05 20:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa2fbe3…
05-05 20:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	37	10¢	$4	0x89d984…
05-05 20:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xaefba5…
05-05 20:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xce84ae…
05-05 20:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x733388…
05-05 20:31:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x2dd798…
05-05 20:30:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	116	3¢	$3	0xea2aae…
05-05 20:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x84f610…
05-05 20:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x8cc4db…
05-05 20:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x277b5b…
05-05 20:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc4bc90…
05-05 20:12:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xe8bd9f…
05-05 18:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0xa0808e…
05-05 18:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xbe02cf…
05-05 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x6c459a…
05-05 18:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x0f1c46…
05-05 18:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xd14026…
05-05 18:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x704c83…
05-05 17:41:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	193	4¢	$8	0x2fa4cf…
05-05 17:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc1ac6f…
05-05 17:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xecd697…
05-05 17:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf3aa79…
05-05 17:22:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	193	5¢	$10	0x9bd658…
05-05 16:34:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	143	2¢	$4	0x4f9a65…
05-05 16:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x123de0…
05-05 16:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xda20ff…
05-05 15:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x41edc0…
05-05 15:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0x9e0677…
05-05 15:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7ecd92…
05-05 15:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xfa2883…
05-05 15:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb14036…
05-05 15:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x01370a…
05-05 15:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd4df54…
05-05 14:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x85296a…
05-05 14:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0x5ccab9…
05-05 14:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0xa3c3b0…
05-05 14:47:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$2	0x7851dc…
05-05 14:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x21c8ec…
05-05 14:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x839c5e…
05-05 14:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6c3301…
05-05 14:35:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xa00965…
05-05 14:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x243053…
05-05 14:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x316c4e…
05-05 14:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x22464d…
05-05 14:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2545ad…
05-05 14:20:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xc42961…
05-05 14:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb9052b…
05-05 14:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb0d65a…
05-05 13:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x7242cd…
05-05 13:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb2f464…
05-05 13:44:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x5436bb…
05-05 13:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	126	5¢	$6	0x5de3bb…
05-05 13:34:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0xffc457…
05-05 13:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x279021…
05-05 13:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xe607ce…
05-05 13:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xbf56dc…
05-05 13:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x284a08…
05-05 13:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x50ae8b…
05-05 13:09:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x3a7541…
05-05 13:03:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x437ff1…
05-05 13:02:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x440833…
05-05 12:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb8c565…
05-05 12:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x5eb49f…
05-05 12:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x7f7ef4…
05-05 10:03:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	139	24¢	$34	0xaf4664…
05-05 09:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x9f026b…
05-05 09:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x6ff940…
05-05 09:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xb63da7…
05-05 09:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x2347e9…
05-05 09:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xbe05c0…
05-05 09:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x232407…
05-05 08:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0xf70dc9…
05-05 08:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd0a0ba…
05-05 08:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbba1a2…
05-05 08:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd140bf…
05-05 08:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x47d8bd…
05-05 08:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0xc7a742…
05-05 08:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6abd9f…
05-05 08:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x7b3cde…
05-05 08:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf9cba5…
05-05 08:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x21ea97…
05-05 08:22:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x856331…
05-05 07:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x94e327…
05-05 07:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3f0a21…
05-05 07:25:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x550a83…
05-05 07:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb2c22d…
05-05 07:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xc69e8b…
05-05 07:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4bd3e3…
05-05 07:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa560a8…
05-05 07:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8ce999…
05-05 06:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1815a1…
05-05 06:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x23bf71…
05-05 06:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd2c1c7…
05-05 06:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xe90288…
05-05 06:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x108e0a…
05-05 05:58:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xb99964…
05-05 05:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xddc472…
05-05 05:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x2d402a…
05-05 05:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb2aa2f…