Favorable-Agriculture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.9%

Resolved

Trades

437

lifetime

Volume

$431

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-02 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

50% 0% $-0

Crypto

43% 10% $-5

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	7	$60	370	370	+0	open	—	04-12 17:25
will ethereum dip to 2050 on march 21	1	$34	60	0	+60	open	—	03-22 00:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	5	$23	170	170	+0	open	—	04-14 23:40
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	5	$20	40	40	+0	open	—	03-29 22:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	3	$17	50	50	+0	open	—	03-04 08:57
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 28 2026 174	2	$16	10	42	-32	open	—	03-28 21:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$15	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-02 12:14
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	2	$15	300	0	+300	open	—	03-19 17:05
ethereum above 2200 on march 13	3	$14	50	50	+0	open	—	03-13 13:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$12	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	03-03 22:48
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 4?	3	$10	300	300	+0	open	—	05-04 15:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$8	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-07 20:26
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	3	$8	170	170	+0	open	—	03-09 01:02
solana above 100 on march 13	40	$8	1,000	660	+340	open	—	03-13 15:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 13	4	$7	50	50	+0	open	—	03-13 13:37
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	03-08 23:47
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on march 3	2	$6	80	80	+0	open	—	03-03 16:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?	1	$5	130	0	+130	open	—	04-29 20:42
will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	6	$5	50	50	+0	open	—	03-19 04:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	7	$5	203	300	-97	open	—	05-04 02:33
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	5	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 00:01
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	3	$5	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 23:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	3	$5	176	0	+176	open	—	05-01 14:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	8	$4	250	250	+0	open	—	05-03 23:57
will iran announce a new supreme leader by march 31 2026	3	$4	30	30	+0	open	—	03-08 10:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$4	240	0	+240	open	—	05-10 09:38
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	6	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	03-03 06:32
will backpack launch a token on march 23	3	$3	50	25	+25	open	—	03-22 18:53
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$3	260	0	+260	open	—	03-11 02:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?	10	$3	1,105	0	+1,105	open	—	05-02 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 12:14:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$9	0x185ea4…
06-01 22:15:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1acfda…
06-01 21:55:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xbaa8be…
06-01 21:55:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x96031b…
06-01 21:41:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x6aac14…
05-13 00:51:06	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb06758…
05-12 18:02:29	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf0fa12…
05-12 15:33:14	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x87f42b…
05-12 15:11:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2e4206…
05-12 14:23:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x413122…
05-10 09:38:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b52c9…
05-09 10:40:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xb3f539…
05-09 03:57:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x1ec324…
05-09 01:39:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3b5afa…
05-08 19:57:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x633626…
05-08 14:18:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0185bf…
05-07 20:26:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xd69bf7…
05-07 17:00:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xeea166…
05-06 13:44:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x46c0ca…
05-06 10:45:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd10f91…
05-06 06:06:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x9ffe31…
05-06 05:45:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x9f016a…
05-06 05:45:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x718672…
05-06 03:41:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xd9c00c…
05-06 03:38:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xda0683…
05-06 03:36:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0x728a57…
05-05 17:41:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2fe791…
05-05 14:06:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?	No	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x754091…
05-05 14:05:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x5f4489…
05-05 13:16:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x417b25…
05-05 11:45:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x658721…
05-05 10:16:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	No	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xfb3dab…
05-05 10:03:52	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x6f9150…
05-05 09:35:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	No	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0x121b55…
05-05 09:24:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	No	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0xf17abd…
05-05 08:03:10	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0x0b9e24…
05-05 08:02:12	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xb0a615…
05-05 06:58:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6308fa…
05-05 00:33:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x63d6b7…
05-05 00:18:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc2e0d9…
05-04 20:50:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xce02a7…
05-04 20:12:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5c1d6f…
05-04 19:53:24	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x57326c…
05-04 19:53:18	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbb7225…
05-04 19:53:12	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x09c011…
05-04 18:33:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xf392d3…
05-04 15:33:06	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 4?	No	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0xf9214b…
05-04 08:53:18	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa8b838…
05-04 06:31:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd60db8…
05-04 05:30:32	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 4?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xc52c1b…
05-04 04:42:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x43ade7…
05-04 02:39:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe4f368…
05-04 02:33:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	269	0¢	$1	0x606a1e…
05-03 23:57:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xad1b9b…
05-03 23:50:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x9411be…
05-03 23:40:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa314e9…
05-03 23:35:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0x803ce5…
05-03 23:35:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x1ffc81…
05-03 22:46:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x193674…
05-03 22:16:20	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x68dab0…
05-03 22:14:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xa9cc15…
05-03 22:08:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xfc8d72…
05-03 22:01:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xb5ad53…
05-03 21:49:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6e5ee2…
05-03 20:37:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc08696…
05-03 20:26:44	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4d80b6…
05-03 20:26:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe4f67c…
05-03 20:25:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6f44f3…
05-03 19:25:36	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1569a5…
05-03 19:10:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc8cfdf…
05-03 17:42:30	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe6c034…
05-03 17:05:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x390aea…
05-03 16:48:34	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xef9989…
05-03 16:48:28	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5911b0…
05-03 16:24:04	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 4?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb648f8…
05-03 13:41:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa22e32…
05-03 13:29:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb2998c…
05-03 11:50:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	No	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xa090fa…
05-03 09:54:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc4ba9c…
05-03 06:02:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x9f6b83…
05-03 06:02:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x66f944…
05-03 06:02:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x29c502…
05-03 06:02:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x7b022c…
05-03 06:01:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x3ccebd…
05-03 06:01:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x9c49d3…
05-03 06:01:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x071229…
05-03 06:01:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x5e8c1e…
05-03 06:01:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xb37bd1…
05-03 06:01:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x1d9643…
05-03 06:00:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xb8b900…
05-03 06:00:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xa397ae…
05-03 05:59:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x29defb…
05-03 05:59:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xcd8ff4…
05-03 05:59:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x1bf86f…
05-03 05:59:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xd341bb…
05-03 05:59:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd3e48f…
05-03 00:25:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1d8219…
05-02 17:40:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2cdc0f…
05-02 13:22:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7e7d16…
05-02 07:45:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?	No	BUY	365	0¢	$1	0x5bdb0e…