Tender-Mud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-08 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 100% +$0

Other

40% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 100k on january 9	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	01-08 09:41
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 720 739	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	01-04 02:50
ethereum above 3600 on january 18	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-17 08:53
will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-21 08:32
will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	02-26 07:58
bitcoin above 96k on january 26	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-25 10:48
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-12 10:39
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 540 559	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	02-10 06:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	05-08 07:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:03
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-10 07:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 5	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-05 03:56
ethereum above 2700 on february 3	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	02-03 07:09
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-30 08:55
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	03-21 08:37
bitcoin above 68k on march 18	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	03-18 02:30
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	03-12 10:56
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 190 214	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	03-06 08:50
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 190 214	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	03-03 06:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 26	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	03-26 09:33
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 520 539	1	$78	79	+79	open	—	04-14 07:25
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	03-31 03:54
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	04-24 06:49
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	04-28 02:35
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	04-20 03:23
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 460 479	1	$4	1,800	+1,800	open	—	03-03 06:16
will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-10 06:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 14	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-14 07:25
Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-20 03:23
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-20 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 07:53:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xca1bd2…
05-05 11:03:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xb4ae21…
04-28 02:35:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xcb8d44…
04-24 06:49:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x1d3970…
04-20 03:23:52	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xbc60ce…
04-20 03:23:44	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed9cb8…
04-20 03:23:28	Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda1232…
04-20 03:23:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e9f55…
04-20 03:23:02	Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd7ef94…
04-14 07:25:53	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 520 539	No	BUY	79	100¢	$78	0x98b50f…
04-14 07:25:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x40c813…
04-14 07:25:25	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe60188…
04-10 07:10:41	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x401de8…
04-05 03:56:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 5	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x116f6a…
03-31 03:54:21	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb45d21…
03-31 03:47:41	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Lakers	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x142955…
03-31 03:47:31	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x810580…
03-26 09:33:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 26	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x5a91f8…
03-21 08:37:53	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x1d97dd…
03-18 02:30:47	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x0c6b62…
03-12 10:56:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x3d40e2…
03-06 08:50:13	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 190 214	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xbc7f85…
03-03 06:17:13	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 190 214	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x817d89…
03-03 06:17:05	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x168136…
03-03 06:16:53	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 460 479	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$4	0xd1d675…
02-26 07:58:20	will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x7d75c5…
02-10 06:43:35	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 540 559	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x97e6de…
02-10 06:43:19	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25a087…
02-10 06:43:03	will a dozen eggs cost 4pt00 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29d32e…
02-03 07:09:46	ethereum above 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x87c600…
01-30 08:55:58	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe2fb99…
01-30 08:55:46	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25d0ca…
01-30 08:55:36	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd167f…
01-25 10:48:50	bitcoin above 96k on january 26	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xa74476…
01-21 08:32:16	will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x800710…
01-17 08:53:04	ethereum above 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x3faec8…
01-12 10:39:06	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x0d9950…
01-12 10:38:54	will meituan have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe015ee…
01-08 09:41:55	bitcoin above 100k on january 9	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x9d7413…
01-04 02:50:55	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 720 739	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x15ebff…