Junior-Zipper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$584

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

630

Trades

1,643

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-31 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

49% 42% -$218

Politics

27% 39% -$240

Sports

13% 39% +$1

Crypto

9% 24% -$104

Tech

2% 30% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No		+11	$10	100¢	$11	+$1	08-21 08:34
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes		+14	$11	66¢	$9	-$2	08-12 17:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	5	$201	161	160	+1	No	+$33	05-19 11:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$183	115	115	+0	No	+$25	05-27 12:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	6	$158	163	157	+6	Yes	-$8	04-28 23:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	10	$147	135	134	+1	Yes	+$13	04-24 16:06
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	4	$145	156	156	+0	Yes	-$8	04-27 11:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	7	$131	157	157	+0	No	-$24	06-03 14:28
lol dk t1 2026 04 17	2	$117	135	135	+0	Dplus KIA	-$26	04-17 12:33
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	5	$113	70	70	+0	No	+$17	06-19 11:12
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	2	$107	71	71	+0	Yes	+$16	06-12 08:05
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	5	$106	102	102	+0	No	-$20	07-14 10:33
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$104	60	60	+0	No	+$9	04-25 01:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$100	76	76	+0	No	+$14	05-26 14:30
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$94	56	56	+0	No	+$6	06-19 11:13
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton	7	$90	136	87	+49	Ben Shelton	+$12	04-19 12:55
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	2	$85	47	47	+0	No	+$7	06-19 11:13
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	2	$83	84	84	+0	Yes	-$13	06-05 19:59
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?	5	$79	96	95	+1	Yes	-$15	06-08 17:54
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$79	76	68	+8	Yes	+$5	04-26 10:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$78	242	234	+8	No	-$17	04-24 16:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?	3	$78	132	125	+7	No	+$2	04-26 17:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	3	$78	158	149	+9	No	-$1	04-26 22:59
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	4	$78	99	99	+0	Yes	-$12	05-10 21:13
bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	2	$77	56	56	+0	Yes	-$12	06-30 13:03
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	2	$75	62	62	+0	Yes	+$3	06-03 14:27
will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	4	$73	52	51	+1	No	+$5	06-25 12:59
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	4	$73	64	64	+0	No	+$5	05-19 11:10
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$72	107	107	+0	No	+$14	04-25 15:18
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	2	$71	47	47	+0	No	+$6	07-04 18:48
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	2	$71	113	113	+0	No	+$7	06-13 08:40
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	5	$71	45	45	+0	No	+$5	06-19 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 20:35:36	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x328d72…
08-31 19:35:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xc14a6f…
08-31 14:39:42	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0xc69f0f…
08-31 10:42:29	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xa6cf78…
08-29 15:58:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xd44ca9…
08-29 14:19:33	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x335526…
08-28 16:44:07	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x07448e…
08-28 02:06:40	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xd906b1…
08-28 00:07:13	Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	Yes	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x661620…
08-27 23:37:34	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1c4e5c…
08-27 22:47:12	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0xa32529…
08-27 22:32:27	Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x848c3c…
08-27 19:26:34	Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x9c4d9a…
08-27 19:21:46	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	3¢	$2	0x29b1e3…
08-27 11:00:51	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x70ae2d…
08-27 09:01:13	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xb57c41…
08-26 23:14:51	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0xa09cdb…
08-26 16:41:00	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xf7afc1…
08-26 14:57:37	Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xe9988f…
08-26 14:47:46	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	14¢	$9	0xc5999c…
08-26 12:31:30	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2d04a9…
08-26 12:20:12	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	SELL	29	40¢	$12	0x8fbbbb…
08-26 03:17:00	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x9c141c…
08-25 23:02:12	Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0x7e4ab1…
08-25 21:27:06	Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xe0e63e…
08-25 19:57:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x8fe6fa…
08-25 09:55:01	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xe83fa6…
08-25 01:38:13	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x419c0a…
08-24 02:18:39	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x58bcd4…
08-23 23:53:40	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x363ae1…
08-23 22:59:30	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0b1eef…
08-23 21:14:19	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x39b9dc…
08-23 20:27:06	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x107344…
08-23 18:42:49	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xb0f7c9…
08-23 18:17:06	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x4b455e…
08-23 06:45:28	Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xbd9a41…
08-22 14:06:31	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x6ef719…
08-22 14:05:10	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?	No	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x1b2939…
08-22 04:42:10	Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x0213f7…
08-22 03:25:30	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0xf1d1a5…
08-22 03:10:15	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x864888…
08-21 18:31:19	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x02da40…
08-21 08:34:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7a98d5…
08-21 02:27:16	Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x1dcfa4…
08-21 01:48:48	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0xa3b64e…
08-21 01:48:12	bitcoin above 74k on august 24 2026	No	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0x84d200…
08-20 22:19:37	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xebfb1a…
08-20 20:54:43	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x0410fc…
08-20 14:42:49	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0xbdf1c7…
08-20 09:08:51	bitcoin above 74k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xd6e9de…
08-20 09:06:42	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x574d7d…
08-20 08:22:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xb5de14…
08-20 07:17:18	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0xe17d68…
08-20 03:37:04	Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?	No	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x766344…
08-19 20:33:12	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x9792fa…
08-19 20:31:46	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x50cf34…
08-19 20:31:36	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x41f056…
08-19 19:14:49	another nato article 4 invocation by october 31 2026 20260726214511853	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x06c502…
08-18 20:54:27	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x827e56…
08-18 18:48:19	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xa02143…
08-18 08:08:22	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x710c8e…
08-18 05:49:12	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x82dc24…
08-18 00:29:07	Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x910d9c…
08-17 19:14:37	another nato article 4 invocation by october 31 2026 20260726214511853	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x5c05e6…
08-17 19:04:39	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	74	10¢	$7	0x0cc7ec…
08-17 14:53:01	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x897f62…
08-17 13:20:40	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xa93b03…
08-16 20:23:43	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xcea80d…
08-16 20:10:10	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x658dcb…
08-16 12:03:31	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0x69d4da…
08-16 07:44:37	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x9d66f1…
08-15 22:12:00	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xff9c6c…
08-15 19:33:42	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x4edb06…
08-15 14:24:25	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0xabbf1b…
08-14 08:24:34	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0xed9600…
08-14 08:14:30	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0x8d6b44…
08-13 13:11:10	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x1d2282…
08-13 11:01:40	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x08ebbe…
08-13 01:01:36	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x2aabbc…
08-13 00:51:52	Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x3ea459…
08-12 17:34:55	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0xd9fcfc…
08-12 16:35:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	No	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x79f8db…
08-12 12:55:36	will steve witkoff attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044258	Yes	SELL	37	17¢	$6	0x38869d…
08-12 05:20:31	Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0xe8957a…
08-11 18:56:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x8cc93e…
08-11 11:01:13	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x0e7c37…
08-11 10:55:43	Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x7fcfe4…
08-11 08:58:39	Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xf984af…
08-11 08:47:13	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x38427e…
08-10 20:26:49	Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0x8c8a94…
08-10 15:07:46	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x01da96…
08-10 14:46:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xab56bf…
08-10 12:55:22	will steve witkoff attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044258	Yes	BUY	37	23¢	$9	0xb92ad4…
08-10 12:50:36	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x81b9c7…
08-10 11:09:40	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x33f1aa…
08-10 09:48:06	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x3f49c6…
08-10 09:43:21	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa98af4…
08-10 09:36:16	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x81f882…
08-10 08:45:37	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xce79b7…
08-10 06:04:34	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xe39945…