Pastel-School — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$352

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-24 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

67% 20% $-30

Sports

23% 80% +$32

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

4% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes		+13	$7	0¢	$0	$-7	05-06 14:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	1	$21	64	+64	open	—	05-11 17:25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	2	$16	41	+41	open	—	05-18 20:06
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	1	$15	37	+37	open	—	05-20 20:22
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	1	$15	46	+46	open	—	05-19 14:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$13	53	+53	No	$-13	05-05 18:34
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$13	31	+31	No	$-13	05-02 18:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$12	30	+30	open	—	05-23 17:21
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	2	$12	31	+31	Ducks	+$19	05-04 21:26
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	1	$12	23	+23	open	—	05-02 19:23
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	1	$10	24	+24	open	—	05-11 11:30
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	2	$10	12	+12	open	—	04-23 17:20
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	04-27 15:49
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	1	$9	24	+24	open	—	04-19 13:07
dota2 ty flc 2026 04 18	1	$9	15	+15	open	—	04-18 14:38
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	1	$8	17	+17	open	—	04-20 13:17
fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	3	$8	17	+17	open	—	04-19 15:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$8	18	+18	open	—	05-18 06:31
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?	2	$8	16	+16	open	—	04-20 13:35
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$8	20	+20	open	—	05-08 19:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	04-19 17:03
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	05-06 14:29
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 20 above $250?	1	$7	12	+12	open	—	04-21 19:38
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	2	$7	20	+20	open	—	05-21 15:38
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	2	$7	16	+16	open	—	05-24 15:11
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	1	$7	11	+11	Yaroslav Amosov	+$4	05-04 03:28
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	2	$6	14	+14	Yes	+$7	05-06 00:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	1	$6	20	+20	Yes	+$13	05-03 21:43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Rebeka Masarova	1	$6	24	+24	Rebeka Masarova	$-6	05-06 15:57
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?	3	$6	13	+13	Yes	+$7	05-04 03:22
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-02 07:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:11:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0xb7a094…
05-24 15:00:41	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x890f34…
05-23 17:21:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x5c18c8…
05-21 15:38:36	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6296c6…
05-21 11:01:28	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x4d5957…
05-20 20:22:37	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xab5670…
05-19 14:07:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0xe4047b…
05-18 20:06:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0xfb31fa…
05-18 19:11:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7c82ac…
05-18 06:31:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x11372a…
05-11 17:25:06	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	BUY	64	33¢	$21	0xb24fd5…
05-11 11:30:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0xaf4233…
05-08 19:57:16	Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0xcc49a7…
05-06 15:57:49	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Rebeka Masarova	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0x9df6c3…
05-06 14:29:48	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xe6b31a…
05-06 00:16:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0xd27120…
05-05 22:41:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xbd0908…
05-05 20:50:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Buse	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xa255b6…
05-05 20:04:40	Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x235ece…
05-05 18:34:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0xc30661…
05-05 15:18:42	Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x664e92…
05-04 21:26:06	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xfdeb1d…
05-04 21:22:38	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xaed121…
05-04 21:18:14	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8bb6c3…
05-04 21:17:56	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xef3ca4…
05-04 03:28:28	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x8be314…
05-04 03:22:42	Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0xaf93b0…
05-03 21:43:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xc2a1e7…
05-03 07:10:14	Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	G2 Esports	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x98d036…
05-02 19:23:50	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x8faf6b…
05-02 19:23:36	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x0852ab…
05-02 18:02:26	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0xf58c56…
05-02 18:00:52	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xafebcc…
05-02 18:00:50	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x199ef1…
05-02 18:00:34	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x4eb7ef…
05-02 13:27:52	Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x64631f…
05-02 07:09:28	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x9b4e6b…
05-02 05:10:28	Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4a010e…
05-01 23:28:52	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xee2188…
04-27 21:40:12	Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x6c6556…
04-27 21:39:36	Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xee5530…
04-27 21:39:22	NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5	Over 4.5	BUY	24	23¢	$5	0x607065…
04-27 15:49:50	Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc13f4c…
04-23 17:20:10	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x4ec28c…
04-23 17:19:56	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xeb55ec…
04-21 19:38:32	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 20 above $250?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xe4a6de…
04-21 09:48:24	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x526976…
04-20 13:35:04	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x5c2755…
04-20 13:33:32	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x13741c…
04-20 13:17:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x54758d…
04-20 09:15:08	nba tor cle 2026 04 20	Raptors	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x153d12…
04-19 17:03:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x79fe67…
04-19 15:39:04	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x560d99…
04-19 15:31:56	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4473cb…
04-19 15:19:38	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd67e9e…
04-19 13:07:30	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xbc29c1…
04-19 08:36:30	dota2 liquid bb4 2026 04 19	BetBoom Team	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x5491af…
04-18 14:38:22	dota2 ty flc 2026 04 18	Team Yandex	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x4a5b8b…
04-17 22:30:08	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x63006b…
04-17 20:09:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xd9bf5d…
04-17 06:07:42	bun pau koe 2026 04 17 koe	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x552ddd…
04-17 05:15:34	bun pau koe 2026 04 17 koe	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xfabc9d…