Shameless-Semicircle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-05 03:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 50% +$4

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

12% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No		+2	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	05-31 11:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$4.1K	2,085	2,085	+0	open	—	03-27 06:16
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	2	$2.0K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	06-05 03:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	1,007	1,000	+7	open	—	03-19 07:50
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	19	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-14 10:08
nba atl dal 2026 03 18	2	$525	700	0	+700	open	—	03-18 08:47
nba mia phi 2026 02 26	1	$336	600	0	+600	open	—	02-26 10:02
nba hou sas 2026 03 08	2	$272	800	0	+800	open	—	03-08 10:37
nba mia cha 2026 03 06	9	$162	600	0	+600	open	—	03-06 14:17
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	2	$147	100	100	+0	Lavked	+$5	05-13 12:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	03-30 02:37
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-30 02:34
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-30 02:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-08 12:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-30 02:37
nba gsw den 2026 03 29	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-30 02:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 12:15
nba chi sas 2026 03 30	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-30 02:37
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-26 06:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-29 01:11
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-18 08:09
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-31 11:39
nba den min 2026 04 23	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-24 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-26 00:32
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	333	0	+333	No	$-1	04-11 07:33
btc updown 5m 1772959500	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-08 08:49
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-02 09:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-26 00:32
btc updown 5m 1774592100	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-27 06:17
btc updown 5m 1773821100	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-18 08:10
btc updown 5m 1772804700	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-06 13:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 03:29:24	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	1,014	99¢	$1,001	0xa61a21…
06-04 04:14:09	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,014	99¢	$1,000	0x6577cf…
06-02 09:59:14	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x98345b…
05-31 11:39:54	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x953b53…
05-29 01:11:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x2ce048…
05-28 03:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd6106b…
05-26 00:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0ca588…
05-26 00:32:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1cb3cf…
05-14 10:08:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x78960a…
05-14 09:28:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xdfba93…
05-14 05:45:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xb6cb5c…
05-14 05:45:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x746229…
05-14 05:45:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x261cd0…
05-14 05:45:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0x0c135c…
05-14 05:45:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xb6a580…
05-14 05:45:11	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xc06db5…
05-14 05:45:11	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x51cca8…
05-14 05:45:11	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0x15539b…
05-14 05:16:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x7e5b75…
05-14 05:16:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x7c4d43…
05-14 04:41:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x5cb5be…
05-14 04:41:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	476	63¢	$300	0xc6472e…
05-14 03:39:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	76	63¢	$48	0x7d0658…
05-14 03:39:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x9609fb…
05-14 03:39:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x3310bb…
05-14 03:39:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x2fa5da…
05-14 03:39:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x25a7c0…
05-13 12:45:17	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	Lavked	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x6ad497…
05-13 12:43:39	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x65b971…
05-04 03:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x613b17…
05-01 13:13:10	Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs ReThink (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs	Imperial Academy	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x71be26…
04-27 12:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x041a07…
04-27 12:07:14	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x59ea51…
04-27 12:06:52	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x481c92…
04-27 12:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1382b5…
04-24 03:28:22	btc updown 5m 1777001100	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc5688d…
04-24 03:26:02	nba den min 2026 04 23	Timberwolves	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x789af4…
04-24 03:22:40	nba den min 2026 04 23	Timberwolves	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc9657b…
04-24 03:19:00	btc updown 5m 1777000500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x260070…
04-20 10:49:38	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xb96598…
04-20 10:49:02	btc updown 5m 1776681900	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x731a75…
04-20 10:44:54	btc updown 5m 1776681600	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x401489…
04-11 07:33:25	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0f3725…
04-08 12:18:13	cs2 run2 brute 2026 04 08	Rune Eaters	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9a2587…
04-08 12:15:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcd0f10…
04-08 12:14:13	atp guerrie bellucc 2026 04 08	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x428237…
04-08 12:13:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc81228…
03-30 02:39:08	btc updown 5m 1774838100	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb16f5e…
03-30 02:37:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x712214…
03-30 02:37:22	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x4072bb…
03-30 02:37:14	nba chi sas 2026 03 30	Spurs	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9f2442…
03-30 02:37:02	nba gsw den 2026 03 29	Nuggets	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xcfe659…
03-30 02:34:38	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9dc96f…
03-30 02:34:14	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa743a8…
03-27 06:17:41	btc updown 5m 1774592100	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x92f575…
03-27 06:16:41	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,075	100¢	$1,070	0x1646e4…
03-27 03:58:09	btc updown 5m 1774583700	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf922f3…
03-26 12:24:05	btc updown 5m 1774527600	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6c5702…
03-26 02:22:15	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,075	99¢	$1,068	0xaccabc…
03-19 23:41:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,010	99¢	$999	0x9c2eb3…
03-19 23:24:21	btc updown 5m 1773962400	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0fd9e1…
03-19 23:21:33	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xc140bb…
03-19 07:50:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$992	0xcd0724…
03-19 07:45:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0xcec70d…
03-18 08:47:53	nba atl dal 2026 03 18	Hawks	BUY	353	75¢	$265	0xffefb2…
03-18 08:47:15	nba atl dal 2026 03 18	Hawks	BUY	347	75¢	$260	0xd75fdf…
03-18 08:10:01	btc updown 5m 1773821100	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8815e4…
03-18 08:09:41	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc284b3…
03-08 10:37:47	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Rockets	BUY	116	34¢	$40	0x3a995e…
03-08 10:36:35	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Rockets	BUY	684	34¢	$232	0xbc5f79…
03-08 09:49:31	btc updown 5m 1772963100	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbc5e64…
03-08 08:49:23	btc updown 5m 1772959500	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x012ed8…
03-06 14:17:37	nba mia cha 2026 03 06	Heat	BUY	287	27¢	$77	0x837577…
03-06 14:17:31	nba mia cha 2026 03 06	Heat	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x54ae4b…
03-06 14:17:27	nba mia cha 2026 03 06	Heat	BUY	82	27¢	$22	0xb15faa…
03-06 14:16:57	nba mia cha 2026 03 06	Heat	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x1afb76…
03-06 14:15:49	nba mia cha 2026 03 06	Heat	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x29b8f0…
03-06 14:15:47	nba mia cha 2026 03 06	Heat	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xd7ee30…
03-06 14:15:45	nba mia cha 2026 03 06	Heat	BUY	76	27¢	$21	0x00dace…
03-06 14:15:37	nba mia cha 2026 03 06	Heat	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xd40e27…
03-06 14:15:01	nba mia cha 2026 03 06	Heat	BUY	68	27¢	$18	0x292eca…
03-06 13:48:55	btc updown 5m 1772804700	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd14666…
03-02 13:22:59	btc updown 5m 1772457600	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9d6620…
02-26 10:02:56	nba mia phi 2026 02 26	76ers	BUY	600	56¢	$336	0xfc7201…
02-26 06:39:44	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xdbb72b…