Playful-Astrology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$357

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-13 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 33% $-13

Sports

24% 50% $-4

Other

4% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes		-5	$-1	11¢	$-0	+$0	06-13 01:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	6	$73	652	213	+439	open	—	05-04 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$26	188	43	+144	Down	$-10	05-08 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 00:49
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	4	$20	30	12	+17	Timberwolves	+$4	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$15	256	6	+250	open	—	05-04 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$14	18	18	+0	open	—	05-04 06:33
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$10	5	5	+0	Knicks	+$0	05-05 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 01:08
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	05-03 01:07
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?	1	$10	44	0	+44	open	—	04-28 03:02
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-30 17:10
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	05-04 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	8	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 06:38
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-21 03:16
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$7	58	0	+58	Thunder	$-7	05-05 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 01:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 01:40
btc updown 5m 1781310600	6	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	06-13 00:32
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-08 00:58
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	5	$6	21	13	+8	Down	$-0	05-05 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-04 01:29
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$4	115	15	+100	Down	$-2	05-08 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 06:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-04 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 01:34:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x7dbbd8…
06-13 01:34:46	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x631c41…
06-13 00:32:34	btc updown 5m 1781310600	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x38363a…
06-13 00:32:31	btc updown 5m 1781310600	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x85b30d…
06-13 00:32:10	btc updown 5m 1781310600	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xef6153…
06-13 00:31:33	btc updown 5m 1781310600	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x835fce…
06-13 00:31:13	btc updown 5m 1781310600	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4acaa6…
06-13 00:30:52	btc updown 5m 1781310600	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc34a48…
05-28 17:26:07	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe55ff3…
05-21 03:18:44	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x24a333…
05-21 03:16:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9e9307…
05-19 14:11:39	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x681ea2…
05-08 00:58:47	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x06a7bc…
05-08 00:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x45ae23…
05-08 00:54:20	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x68254e…
05-08 00:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9a0872…
05-08 00:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb272a…
05-08 00:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x542178…
05-08 00:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x676b0a…
05-08 00:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x299205…
05-08 00:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xcaef3f…
05-08 00:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	43	18¢	$8	0xa1e19a…
05-08 00:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf4898c…
05-08 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x3c62f2…
05-08 00:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe7cf2b…
05-08 00:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xc8c0ff…
05-08 00:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcf412f…
05-08 00:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e441b…
05-08 00:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe1ae12…
05-05 04:31:20	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa46e84…
05-05 04:18:12	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb405cd…
05-05 04:10:38	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	12	93¢	$12	0xbfc6c0…
05-05 04:08:06	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9979dd…
05-05 04:00:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8e257e…
05-05 03:53:14	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x528859…
05-05 03:40:18	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5e8a17…
05-05 01:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x370e4c…
05-05 01:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xab6082…
05-05 01:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x288b86…
05-05 01:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xbea5b0…
05-05 01:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf00521…
05-05 01:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xcb0352…
05-05 01:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x824daa…
05-05 01:30:18	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb634a1…
05-05 01:20:44	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe0b903…
05-04 06:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xa62c9f…
05-04 06:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe85e80…
05-04 06:40:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb7022e…
05-04 06:39:46	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xdfe820…
05-04 06:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xdd451d…
05-04 06:38:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x497ac7…
05-04 06:37:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0de8a0…
05-04 06:37:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x787b0e…
05-04 06:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x3ce927…
05-04 06:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2f4d6b…
05-04 06:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xdb0eda…
05-04 06:35:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x760f7a…
05-04 06:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x233c4e…
05-04 06:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xa67e6d…
05-04 06:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x33dddc…
05-04 06:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x800096…
05-04 06:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x914f47…
05-04 06:21:14	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x9c590a…
05-04 01:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe399b7…
05-04 01:49:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xd92150…
05-04 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x98e7bc…
05-04 01:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xf0e27c…
05-04 01:42:02	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x43be47…
05-04 01:41:10	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xcf689d…
05-04 01:40:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x44e0cb…
05-04 01:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x14dfdf…
05-04 01:36:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x33ff03…
05-04 01:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa6aeea…
05-04 01:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7d32bb…
05-04 01:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcc6ad8…
05-04 01:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x8c1adb…
05-04 01:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x09c642…
05-04 01:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x25c604…
05-04 01:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x60e478…
05-04 00:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xfc3901…
05-04 00:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x3ea584…
05-04 00:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd4719f…
05-04 00:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	439	5¢	$21	0xd91b94…
05-04 00:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	207	6¢	$11	0x09c43f…
05-04 00:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	157	3¢	$5	0x710833…
05-04 00:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xdcd247…
05-04 00:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x138408…
05-04 00:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc1e5fb…
05-04 00:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf4accc…
05-04 00:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf44875…
05-04 00:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x6323ed…
05-04 00:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5c2338…
05-04 00:46:30	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd6e1bb…
05-03 01:07:08	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x3033a6…
04-30 17:10:46	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x678837…
04-28 03:02:08	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x705257…
04-28 02:58:12	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd02776…