Muted-Carnation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

46,186 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.08M lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 09-07 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 77% -$14,608

Other

4% 54% -$17,002

Politics

3% 36% -$12,171

Sports

0% 53% -$2,186

Tech

0% 50% +$534

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes		-36	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-15 11:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$8.0K	8,221	0	+8,221	No	+$221	05-31 15:43
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$6.9K	3,721	3,721	+0	Yes	+$517	06-23 19:02
bitcoin up or down february 28 1pm et	190	$5.4K	3,916	3,158	+758	Up	+$956	02-28 19:44
bitcoin up or down february 28 12pm et	219	$5.3K	4,528	2,647	+1,880	Up	+$23	02-28 18:14
bitcoin up or down february 28 8am et	180	$5.0K	4,455	2,256	+2,199	Up	-$471	02-28 15:02
bitcoin up or down february 28 6am et	368	$4.8K	4,739	2,619	+2,121	Down	+$406	02-28 12:00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	1	$4.6K	6,479	0	+6,479	No	-$4,600	06-21 22:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	6	$4.5K	3,698	3,698	+0	No	+$377	05-24 20:05
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	668	$4.3K	164,281	0	+164,281	No	-$4,316	09-07 12:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	3	$4.3K	2,314	2,314	+0	No	+$304	06-07 19:50
bitcoin up or down february 27 5pm et	241	$4.1K	2,985	2,308	+677	Up	+$521	02-27 23:02
bitcoin up or down february 27 4pm et	351	$4.1K	3,390	2,301	+1,089	Down	+$490	02-27 22:30
bitcoin up or down february 28 2pm et	154	$4.1K	3,288	2,048	+1,241	Up	+$39	02-28 20:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$4.0K	4,120	0	+4,120	No	+$120	05-31 15:42
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	2	$4.0K	5,882	0	+5,882	No	-$4,000	06-21 08:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$4.0K	2,950	2,950	+0	No	+$1,268	05-25 22:38
bitcoin up or down february 28 7am et	125	$4.0K	3,599	1,895	+1,704	Up	-$184	02-28 13:58
bitcoin up or down february 28 5am et	132	$4.0K	3,490	1,942	+1,547	Up	-$78	02-28 12:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	6	$3.8K	2,380	2,380	+0	No	-$103	05-26 22:01
bitcoin up or down march 1 12am et	151	$3.8K	3,748	1,785	+1,963	Down	-$257	03-01 06:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$3.8K	2,180	2,180	+0	No	-$250	05-26 22:01
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	1	$3.7K	4,405	0	+4,405	No	-$3,700	06-23 19:06
bitcoin up or down february 28 6pm et	138	$3.6K	3,059	1,774	+1,285	Down	-$14	03-01 00:02
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	2	$3.5K	3,933	0	+3,933	Yes	+$433	06-21 08:21
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	6	$3.4K	17,379	0	+17,379	No	-$3,369	05-25 23:56
bitcoin up or down february 28 4pm et	129	$3.2K	3,098	1,676	+1,422	Down	-$95	02-28 23:12
bitcoin up or down march 1 2am et	235	$3.1K	2,749	1,522	+1,227	Up	+$59	03-01 07:49
bitcoin up or down february 28 9am et	163	$3.1K	2,664	1,532	+1,132	Down	-$60	02-28 15:02
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	3	$3.0K	1,539	1,539	+0	Yes	+$52	06-21 08:14
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-26?	1	$2.9K	4,308	0	+4,308	No	-$2,900	05-26 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 12:09:13	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15,066	2¢	$286	0x8ae7c0…
09-07 11:56:28	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$19	0x9c8a7c…
09-07 11:51:27	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf0bd51…
09-07 11:49:12	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x53dc93…
09-07 11:49:10	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x65b997…
09-07 11:46:55	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xc115e2…
09-07 11:46:00	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xe0e23d…
09-07 11:46:00	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x947c2d…
09-07 11:46:00	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	430	2¢	$8	0x663926…
09-07 11:46:00	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x5f33f0…
09-07 11:46:00	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x43f976…
09-07 11:46:00	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x43e27c…
09-07 11:45:58	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x874f40…
09-07 11:45:58	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	370	2¢	$7	0x537b38…
09-07 11:23:40	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1821e5…
09-07 11:16:46	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x280c39…
09-07 11:16:45	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$15	0xfdfe5e…
09-07 11:16:45	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x628f0e…
09-07 11:16:45	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x0feecd…
09-07 11:16:28	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x7728b5…
09-07 11:16:27	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdc7d20…
09-07 11:16:27	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xc561dd…
09-07 11:16:27	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x7288cf…
09-07 11:16:27	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	384	2¢	$7	0x4206f3…
09-07 11:16:13	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xd2e66e…
09-07 11:16:13	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x8aeb31…
09-07 11:16:13	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x5c296c…
09-07 11:16:07	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x629134…
09-07 11:16:06	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x6c7b35…
09-07 11:16:06	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x6871f3…
09-07 11:16:06	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x41cd66…
09-07 11:11:28	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xe66297…
09-07 11:11:28	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x1b9388…
09-07 11:11:27	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x766b89…
09-07 11:11:27	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x31b005…
09-07 11:10:49	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9b5d6a…
09-07 11:10:16	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x824374…
09-07 11:10:16	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x45df04…
09-07 11:05:49	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	14,785	2¢	$300	0x3d66fa…
09-07 11:05:28	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20,459	1¢	$300	0x1b53a5…
08-18 11:54:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x2de400…
08-18 11:54:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x7144d0…
08-14 06:36:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x43a0f3…
08-01 16:49:20	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xb7841c…
08-01 16:44:54	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x05e467…
08-01 16:44:51	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xae49b0…
08-01 15:44:33	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xe7f432…
08-01 15:44:30	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x308bb0…
08-01 15:42:00	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0xeb087b…
08-01 15:42:00	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	317	2¢	$8	0x9ddb73…
08-01 15:42:00	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x1e5f55…
08-01 12:59:41	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x272ed5…
08-01 11:40:54	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xda456f…
08-01 11:40:54	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	240	2¢	$6	0x3c97df…
08-01 11:39:50	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x87b81f…
08-01 11:39:50	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	240	2¢	$6	0x4b031a…
08-01 09:46:32	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb81aa4…
08-01 09:18:27	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x36a009…
08-01 07:59:29	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb1b6ca…
08-01 07:21:29	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$4	0x3dddbe…
08-01 07:21:27	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9b27f6…
08-01 06:48:32	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6c0f41…
08-01 05:25:50	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4986d9…
08-01 05:25:02	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x86fa3b…
08-01 04:50:39	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6250b1…
08-01 04:26:24	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xf4ffa4…
08-01 02:05:33	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb332c4…
08-01 01:24:08	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xad8202…
07-31 23:04:18	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8b83d6…
07-31 22:32:05	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x7ee466…
07-31 22:30:11	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x09ef77…
07-31 22:29:45	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xe1a9d9…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	186	2¢	$5	0xff24b7…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xf8c7b0…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xe811c7…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xd6d864…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd65f84…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0xa76ed7…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8e7cb1…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x4439b0…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x293e9f…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x0cf46e…
07-31 22:29:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x0ad5f3…
07-31 22:29:20	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf82776…
07-31 22:29:20	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9b0219…
07-31 22:29:20	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x79c653…
07-31 21:12:33	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x39ad95…
07-31 19:02:56	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x000f19…
07-31 17:21:15	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfe3ccf…
07-31 16:49:26	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xc66c5f…
07-31 16:41:39	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x0e69fa…
07-31 15:54:50	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x350d2e…
07-31 15:54:36	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	239	2¢	$6	0x2283ab…
07-31 15:54:35	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$4	0xd66ded…
07-31 15:54:35	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x52ffe4…
07-31 15:54:35	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0x1aa9c2…
07-31 15:54:35	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x07c408…
07-31 15:53:56	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x702dc2…
07-31 15:45:36	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xd828da…
07-31 15:10:08	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0xff1be6…