Awful-Signal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$980

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-26 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

60% 100% +$47

Politics

14% — —

Other

12% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	3	$124	200	0	+200	open	—	04-13 02:12
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$110	125	0	+125	open	—	03-10 02:14
will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$99	124	0	+124	open	—	02-08 22:14
Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?	2	$68	110	0	+110	open	—	04-12 06:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$68	250	250	+0	open	—	01-16 15:00
nothing ever happens khamenei	1	$59	91	0	+91	open	—	01-08 19:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$55	127	0	+127	open	—	02-28 17:07
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5	1	$50	147	0	+147	open	—	05-04 18:55
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$40	93	0	+93	open	—	05-30 17:15
ice shooter charged by march 31	1	$35	54	0	+54	open	—	01-10 19:39
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	5	$34	50	0	+50	open	—	04-13 14:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	04-22 13:59
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	1	$28	0	88	-88	open	—	04-06 00:03
Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Ibaraki Robots	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-24 16:02
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	06-06 16:02
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	06-01 02:29
NBA: SGA Award Parlay	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	05-17 20:07
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-16 02:19
nba dal bos 2026 03 06	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	03-06 19:19
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	1	$10	14	0	+14	Under 5.5	+$4	05-04 20:18
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-17 20:59
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$10	53	0	+53	Sean Strickland	+$43	05-08 16:19
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30 20260612142709367	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	06-26 02:23
will wildflower billie eilish win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$8	29	0	+29	open	—	02-02 02:58
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-01 16:04
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	1	$5	27	0	+27	open	—	05-17 04:02
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-02 16:11
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-18 00:54
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-02 16:11
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-02 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 02:23:08	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30 20260612142709367	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4752d8…
06-06 16:02:39	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x893280…
06-01 02:29:35	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x460fc6…
05-30 17:15:13	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xeafd05…
05-18 00:54:41	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf7aecf…
05-17 20:07:18	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xb1fd80…
05-17 04:02:28	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xb38a54…
05-08 16:19:53	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x1444a2…
05-04 20:18:06	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x56085c…
05-04 18:55:46	NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x4f1bd0…
05-02 16:11:40	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x23accf…
05-02 16:11:36	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xfe1241…
05-02 16:11:30	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8db1b9…
05-01 16:04:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x379a74…
04-24 16:02:34	Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Ibaraki Robots	Shimane Susanoo Magic	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe2745f…
04-22 13:59:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xd5afab…
04-17 20:59:50	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Warriors	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xec7887…
04-16 02:19:02	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	Warriors	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x4a3867…
04-13 14:19:27	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x739f38…
04-13 14:19:19	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0xfd8feb…
04-13 14:19:19	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xb35f35…
04-13 14:19:17	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc6d9a2…
04-13 14:19:01	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x37bfde…
04-13 02:12:53	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	175	62¢	$108	0x8b0241…
04-13 01:22:05	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x79326a…
04-13 01:22:05	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x01d40d…
04-12 06:19:27	Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?	No	BUY	103	62¢	$64	0x637ff4…
04-07 18:48:51	Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?	No	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xd19007…
04-06 00:03:27	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	88	32¢	$28	0x16bf5b…
03-10 02:14:01	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0x65be8c…
03-06 19:19:53	nba dal bos 2026 03 06	Mavericks	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb900a6…
02-28 17:07:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	127	43¢	$55	0x28ce19…
02-08 22:14:17	will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	124	80¢	$99	0x6c3426…
02-02 02:58:38	will wildflower billie eilish win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	Yes	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0x92b525…
01-31 18:43:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	290	0¢	$1	0x8c42a7…
01-16 15:00:04	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	250	7¢	$18	0x5f2ed8…
01-10 19:39:18	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0x28e15b…
01-08 19:49:50	nothing ever happens khamenei	Yes	BUY	91	65¢	$59	0xcaf160…
01-08 19:47:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x1fe036…