Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?
open
Total volume
$523
$40 in 24h
Trades
66
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$130
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-06-25
First seen
2026-03-29
last 05-28 20:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $349 | $14 | +$335 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $12 | $34 | $22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $5 | $79 | $74 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $161 | $0 | +$161 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $95 | $95 |
| Median | 2 | $98 | $1 | +$97 |
| Below median | 11 | $38 | $17 | +$20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $66 | $6 | +$59 |
| unranked | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PrimePenguin 0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | +163 | $61 | $61 | 2 | 04-12 06:19 |
| Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | +160 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 05-28 20:36 |
| Awful-Signal 0xbf14…75c7 | No | +110 | $68 | $68 | 2 | 04-12 06:19 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x991c…f05b | Yes | +99 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 05-04 16:39 |
| Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | +56 | $-9 | $11 | 12 | 05-23 21:26 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 20:36 |
| Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | +40 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 04-12 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-28 19:11 |
| Nocturnal-Vernacular 0xc0ce…7f05 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 02:26 |
| Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | +18 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 09:24 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | +11 | $2 | $13 | 5 | 04-12 06:19 |
| Serpentine-Oversight 0x98fc…5382 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 03-29 08:11 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 20:36 |
| Spirited-Initialise 0x49c5…b169 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 04-12 06:19 |
| Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 19:11 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | +4 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 04-19 16:06 |
| Mortified-Pocketwatch 0xca13…9ced | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-23 21:26 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-31 06:28 |
| Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-16 09:25 |
| Svelte-Prostacyclin 0x35aa…ba97 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-19 16:06 |
| Mortified-Pocketwatch 0xca13…9ced | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-19 16:01 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 03-29 23:04 |
| Other-Barstool 0xa2f4…8685 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 07:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 20:36:33 | Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 100¢ | $160 | 0x3abfef… |
| 05-28 20:36:33 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3abfef… |
| 05-28 20:36:33 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3abfef… |
| 05-28 20:36:33 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3abfef… |
| 05-28 19:11:06 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x69cec4… |
| 05-28 19:11:06 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x69cec4… |
| 05-28 16:56:10 | Arctic-Couch 0x582f…9cd5 | No | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb9caa6… |
| 05-28 16:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb9caa6… |
| 05-23 21:26:58 | Mortified-Pocketwatch 0xca13…9ced | No | BUY | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x13f466… |
| 05-23 21:26:58 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x13f466… |
| 05-13 13:37:26 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17de37… |
| 05-13 13:37:26 | Well-To-Do-Philosophy 0xd2e3…c890 | No | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17de37… |
| 05-13 10:15:15 | Well-To-Do-Philosophy 0xd2e3…c890 | No | BUY | 4 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xeb725a… |
| 05-13 10:15:15 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xeb725a… |
| 05-13 09:24:14 | Well-To-Do-Philosophy 0xd2e3…c890 | No | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7ff5fa… |
| 05-13 09:24:14 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7ff5fa… |
| 05-13 09:17:26 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x45a6e9… |
| 05-13 09:17:26 | Well-To-Do-Philosophy 0xd2e3…c890 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x45a6e9… |
| 05-13 09:11:20 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0fff42… |
| 05-13 09:11:20 | Well-To-Do-Philosophy 0xd2e3…c890 | No | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0fff42… |
| 05-13 09:10:33 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 4 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x220a37… |
| 05-13 09:10:33 | Well-To-Do-Philosophy 0xd2e3…c890 | No | BUY | 4 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x220a37… |
| 05-13 09:05:46 | Well-To-Do-Philosophy 0xd2e3…c890 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xcd6c6d… |
| 05-13 09:05:46 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xcd6c6d… |
| 05-12 23:14:25 | Well-To-Do-Philosophy 0xd2e3…c890 | No | BUY | 4 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x468dbb… |
| 05-12 23:14:25 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 4 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x468dbb… |
| 05-12 02:26:54 | Nocturnal-Vernacular 0xc0ce…7f05 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x1e7394… |
| 05-12 02:26:54 | Arctic-Couch 0x582f…9cd5 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1e7394… |
| 05-04 16:39:18 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 65 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x26362f… |
| 05-04 16:39:18 | (anonymous) 0x991c…f05b | Yes | BUY | 65 | 99¢ | $64 | 0x26362f… |
| 05-04 16:39:06 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe2d16e… |
| 05-04 16:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x991c…f05b | Yes | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0xe2d16e… |
| 05-04 07:44:44 | Other-Barstool 0xa2f4…8685 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9ab0e3… |
| 05-04 07:44:44 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9ab0e3… |
| 04-19 16:06:34 | Svelte-Prostacyclin 0x35aa…ba97 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xeeeed1… |
| 04-19 16:06:34 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xeeeed1… |
| 04-19 16:01:14 | Mortified-Pocketwatch 0xca13…9ced | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3eb986… |
| 04-19 16:01:14 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3eb986… |
| 04-16 09:25:00 | (anonymous) 0xae44…03b4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x9fc98a… |
| 04-16 09:25:00 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x9fc98a… |
| 04-14 05:03:37 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0dcc61… |
| 04-14 05:03:37 | (anonymous) 0xae44…03b4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x0dcc61… |
| 04-12 06:19:35 | PrimePenguin 0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xebf9f7… |
| 04-12 06:19:35 | Spirited-Initialise 0x49c5…b169 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $6 | 0xebf9f7… |
| 04-12 06:19:27 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x637ff4… |
| 04-12 06:19:27 | Awful-Signal 0xbf14…75c7 | No | BUY | 103 | 62¢ | $64 | 0x637ff4… |
| 04-12 06:19:27 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 40 | 63¢ | $25 | 0x637ff4… |
| 04-12 06:19:27 | PrimePenguin 0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | BUY | 153 | 38¢ | $58 | 0x637ff4… |
| 04-07 19:38:53 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 1 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x119fb5… |
| 04-07 19:38:53 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 1 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x119fb5… |
| 04-07 18:48:51 | Awful-Signal 0xbf14…75c7 | No | BUY | 7 | 62¢ | $4 | 0xd19007… |
| 04-07 18:48:51 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 7 | 62¢ | $4 | 0xd19007… |
| 03-31 06:28:59 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8f206a… |
| 03-31 06:28:59 | Optimistic-Grammar 0x6584…d1c6 | No | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8f206a… |
| 03-30 15:35:17 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | SELL | 11 | 53¢ | $6 | 0xd59788… |
| 03-30 15:35:17 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | SELL | 11 | 47¢ | $5 | 0xd59788… |
| 03-30 15:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | BUY | 11 | 53¢ | $6 | 0xe0302d… |
| 03-30 15:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 47¢ | $5 | 0xe0302d… |
| 03-30 05:41:44 | Optimistic-Grammar 0x6584…d1c6 | No | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xfddd0c… |
| 03-30 05:41:44 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xfddd0c… |
| 03-29 23:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x412c…e41b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 57¢ | $1 | 0xea82fa… |
| 03-29 23:04:22 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 57¢ | $1 | 0xea82fa… |
| 03-29 19:56:34 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4854ea… |
| 03-29 19:56:34 | (anonymous) 0x412c…e41b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4854ea… |
| 03-29 08:11:28 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x26c195… |
| 03-29 08:11:28 | Serpentine-Oversight 0x98fc…5382 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x26c195… |