Arctic-Couch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

17.3%

Resolved

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$3.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-09 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

34% 100% +$1

Politics

28% — —

Sports

24% 30% $-17

Tech

12% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No		-10	$-2	10¢	$-1	+$0	05-31 03:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	30	$487	603	603	+0	open	—	05-18 19:40
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	6	$238	157	157	+0	open	—	05-28 13:07
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$203	534	0	+534	open	—	05-31 02:39
Ebola emergency by June 30?	5	$201	273	273	+0	open	—	05-17 03:13
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	9	$189	303	0	+303	open	—	05-22 11:46
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	20	$167	164	189	-25	open	—	05-19 15:15
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	26	$160	706	202	+504	open	—	05-20 12:01
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	5	$142	170	120	+50	open	—	05-27 12:53
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	17	$125	172	172	+0	open	—	05-15 18:03
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$103	70	70	+0	open	—	05-19 11:00
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5	5	$96	116	0	+116	No	$-96	05-11 23:51
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$83	90	0	+90	open	—	04-25 13:26
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$81	60	60	+0	open	—	05-28 17:59
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 14:32
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$66	53	53	+0	open	—	06-04 17:32
Trump kiss by May 31?	10	$64	6,524	112	+6,412	open	—	05-21 08:51
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)	1	$56	92	0	+92	open	—	04-24 22:52
Spurs vs. Thunder	10	$52	157	0	+157	open	—	05-19 03:32
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	2	$43	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 17:40
PGA Championship: Hole in One?	7	$36	75	0	+75	open	—	05-14 12:40
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	5	$32	29	29	+0	open	—	06-09 00:54
Will the NYT front page headlines say "Federal Reserve" this week?	4	$31	25	25	-0	open	—	05-23 23:37
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$30	37	0	+37	Sean Strickland	$-30	05-10 02:58
Will Grey Target by Johns sell for $30M or more?	1	$28	150	0	+150	open	—	05-18 19:39
Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?	1	$27	159	0	+159	open	—	05-18 19:34
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1	$23	42	0	+42	open	—	05-28 13:03
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	3	$20	136	0	+136	Yes	+$116	05-10 03:55
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 01:24
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	2	$19	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 15:15
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	05-23 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 11:17:39	will kaoru mitoma score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0x605827…
06-09 00:54:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0xf9382a…
06-08 03:01:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xdc0f9a…
06-08 02:14:42	will kaoru mitoma score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	140	1¢	$1	0xd15889…
06-08 02:13:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xda02ba…
06-07 05:38:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x0dd488…
06-06 22:01:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xca5b2f…
06-05 20:07:10	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	SELL	69	10¢	$7	0x87dfb8…
06-04 21:35:16	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x3b6d00…
06-04 19:01:27	will anyone say jerry during rick and morty e3 s9	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x319320…
06-04 18:45:37	will anyone say jerry during rick and morty e3 s9	No	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x8dbc05…
06-04 17:32:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	53	66¢	$35	0x889319…
06-04 03:09:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	53	59¢	$31	0xa59dea…
06-03 23:15:21	nba finals game 1 opening tip winner 20260603035956552	SAS	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xf985f0…
06-03 22:08:43	will the blast slam vii grand final be a reverse sweep 20260602173846755	Yes	SELL	115	7¢	$8	0x9b7000…
06-03 20:59:54	will the blast slam vii grand final be a reverse sweep 20260602173846755	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x9f6a97…
06-03 20:20:27	will fermn lpez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$5	0xb5f967…
06-02 21:37:46	Will the BLAST Slam VII Grand Final be a reverse sweep?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x7b863b…
06-02 21:13:32	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x434b5b…
06-02 21:12:46	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xa23d81…
06-01 15:03:46	Will Cole Palmer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	268	1¢	$3	0xced10a…
06-01 14:03:38	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x328d55…
06-01 00:34:52	Will Cole Palmer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$2	0x9b735a…
05-31 21:01:15	Will Cole Palmer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb5a1e8…
05-31 20:49:17	Will Cole Palmer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	240	1¢	$2	0x7a699e…
05-31 18:34:31	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe4cb3f…
05-31 18:34:25	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	254	1¢	$3	0xf5f462…
05-31 18:32:49	Will Cole Palmer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$1	0xa31694…
05-31 18:32:35	Will Yann Bisseck score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x036b3d…
05-31 18:17:57	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9b7495…
05-31 18:11:32	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc10a0f…
05-31 17:33:45	Will Kaoru Mitoma score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	295	1¢	$3	0x04bca6…
05-31 12:19:57	Will Kaoru Mitoma score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaea613…
05-31 12:14:28	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x93a72a…
05-31 11:59:15	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x22bef4…
05-31 03:43:49	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x77ffa0…
05-31 02:39:16	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5ed818…
05-31 02:23:21	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6f648c…
05-31 01:51:09	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	68	31¢	$21	0xca420b…
05-31 00:23:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	450	40¢	$180	0xa682db…
05-29 18:42:19	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x81be44…
05-29 18:41:20	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x150c55…
05-29 18:40:22	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x69b9a5…
05-28 17:59:42	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0x44eefb…
05-28 17:21:52	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xe481cd…
05-28 16:56:10	Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xb9caa6…
05-28 13:07:51	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	34	91¢	$30	0xdca283…
05-28 13:03:29	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0xd1b970…
05-27 12:53:41	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	68	83¢	$56	0x638f11…
05-25 04:15:33	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x82160d…
05-24 14:32:41	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x3c6b3f…
05-23 23:37:12	Will the NYT front page headlines say "Federal Reserve" this week?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x3e17c8…
05-23 23:25:55	Will the NYT front page headlines say "Federal Reserve" this week?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xfaaa5d…
05-23 23:25:16	Will the NYT front page headlines say "Federal Reserve" this week?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x6955be…
05-23 21:55:54	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x36ef33…
05-23 18:08:16	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x43ea21…
05-23 16:24:50	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	108	90¢	$98	0x686495…
05-23 14:57:50	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x950fa0…
05-23 14:00:50	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaa2291…
05-23 13:59:32	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x4da40e…
05-22 18:50:22	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x648014…
05-22 18:26:46	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x42e653…
05-22 18:22:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd378af…
05-22 18:05:39	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	SELL	233	2¢	$5	0x0ff650…
05-22 17:14:15	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0ab659…
05-22 17:13:56	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0c02a1…
05-22 17:12:15	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x806dbd…
05-22 17:10:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,600	0¢	$2	0x2a8486…
05-22 16:34:23	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xd196ab…
05-22 14:06:38	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xfb352e…
05-22 13:48:15	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0xcd4187…
05-22 13:46:44	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x3d5776…
05-22 13:46:34	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x06484e…
05-22 12:32:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8c09b7…
05-22 11:46:59	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x27437a…
05-22 11:46:15	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8479d1…
05-22 11:43:32	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe0a05d…
05-22 03:19:16	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x339072…
05-21 08:51:59	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc9a06a…
05-21 02:38:41	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0x3d38d2…
05-21 02:18:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x6683a7…
05-21 01:58:40	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0xbc4bd1…
05-20 19:50:16	Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x954478…
05-20 18:06:38	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbd2aa6…
05-20 17:50:57	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x595af4…
05-20 17:16:14	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	2,400	0¢	$2	0x5fabe0…
05-20 12:01:07	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe288e6…
05-20 06:41:08	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1d2598…
05-20 06:26:29	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x7c6040…
05-20 05:15:56	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0x075dcb…
05-20 04:05:19	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb0cf7e…
05-20 03:44:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x043d7e…
05-20 03:36:50	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8c88d0…
05-20 03:28:17	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xea5280…
05-20 03:27:49	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	90	5¢	$4	0x937bc0…
05-20 03:19:27	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa53386…
05-20 03:08:30	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xeccc39…
05-19 15:21:34	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x446b58…
05-19 15:15:40	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	SELL	109	10¢	$11	0x028f36…
05-19 15:15:30	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x9405fc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	50	$14.8K	4,336	06-06 03:10
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	50	$3.49K	356	06-09 14:39
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	44	$24.0K	3,238	06-09 02:07
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	42	$86.9K	2,049	06-09 14:39
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	39	$5.43K	1,110	05-31 21:20
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	37	$4.44K	523	06-04 18:45
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	35	$1.08M	2,433	05-31 21:11
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	33	$23.2K	134	06-08 20:15