Arctic-Couch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

21.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$144

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$56

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-16 19:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-0

Sports

33% 75% $-25

Politics

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	+610	$31	5¢	$29	$-2	05-06 17:33
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	Yes	+15	$5	87¢	$13	+$8	05-14 16:11
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	-26	$-9	34¢	$-9	+$0	05-15 21:00
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	+6	$3	57¢	$3	+$0	05-15 08:01
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	+11	$1	12¢	$1	+$0	05-16 19:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+8	$1	12¢	$1	$-0	05-14 16:54
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	+30	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-14 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$31	610	0	+610	open	—	05-06 17:33
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5	1	$30	36	0	+36	No	$-30	05-11 23:27
Ebola emergency by June 30?	3	$29	273	0	+273	open	—	05-16 15:24
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$12	0	68	-68	open	—	05-14 12:09
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	1	$9	0	26	-26	open	—	05-15 21:00
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?	1	$8	22	0	+22	open	—	05-15 10:49
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-14 16:11
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$4	3	3	+0	Joshua Van	+$2	05-10 04:52
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 08:01
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$3	5	0	+5	Alexander Volkov	+$2	05-10 02:20
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2	0	42	-42	open	—	05-14 12:14
Will "Algorithm" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	1	$2	0	2	-2	No	$-0	05-13 18:37
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	0	66	-66	open	—	05-14 12:14
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-12 19:37
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 19:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 16:54
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	1	$1	1	0	+1	Over	+$0	05-10 19:54
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	1	$1	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 20:17
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	1	$0	0	5	-5	open	—	05-14 12:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 19:47:24	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdf8294…
05-16 15:24:57	Ebola emergency by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xba912e…
05-16 00:45:47	Ebola emergency by June 30?	Yes	BUY	130	12¢	$16	0x299508…
05-16 00:34:00	Ebola emergency by June 30?	Yes	BUY	109	10¢	$11	0x0c00f4…
05-15 21:00:16	Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	26	35¢	$9	0xb74834…
05-15 10:49:29	Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x31a5cc…
05-15 08:01:50	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x68e990…
05-14 20:17:37	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x87e1d0…
05-14 16:54:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xba719b…
05-14 16:11:39	Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x6d4482…
05-14 12:15:27	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6a332f…
05-14 12:14:24	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x7b064c…
05-14 12:14:17	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	66	2¢	$1	0x343061…
05-14 12:09:18	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	68	18¢	$12	0x723321…
05-13 18:37:42	Will "Algorithm" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0b7f87…
05-12 19:37:23	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x177cad…
05-11 23:27:09	Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xff11b1…
05-10 19:54:04	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3dd6ba…
05-10 04:52:16	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdc88e5…
05-10 03:25:28	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa69bb3…
05-10 02:20:08	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa1f4ef…
05-06 17:33:33	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	414	5¢	$21	0xf12099…
05-06 17:28:11	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0x19cf8b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$2.88K	27	05-15 23:40
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	5	$4.94K	43	05-16 22:26
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	3	$6.43K	105	05-16 18:40
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	3	$5.75K	4	05-17 01:43
Spectacular-Failure 0x9453…1a48	3	$4.78K	12	05-16 01:20
False-Alley 0x60cd…93f5	3	$4.06K	9	05-13 04:32
Scary-Fannypack 0xa38a…821d	3	$3.65K	7	05-10 19:54
Dear-Turning 0x99c4…0c89	3	$567	8	05-16 18:42