Arctic-Couch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

345

Trades

2,592

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-24 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

57% 33% +$425

Sports

24% 39% -$284

Tech

8% 20% -$105

Politics

6% 24% -$336

Pop-Culture

5% 23% +$181

Crypto

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	57	$1.9K	2,977	2,977	+0	No	+$149	07-18 17:56
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	57	$1.9K	4,276	4,276	+0	No	+$306	07-18 17:33
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	70	$1.7K	5,141	5,141	+0	No	+$407	07-18 16:09
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	27	$1.0K	1,103	849	+254	Yes	-$66	06-30 20:36
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	21	$564	17,019	17,019	+0	open	—	08-01 15:22
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	14	$495	1,787	1,787	+0	open	—	08-03 16:58
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	30	$487	603	603	+0	No	-$72	05-18 19:40
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	24	$456	3,753	3,753	+0	open	—	07-24 15:43
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?	12	$427	718	385	+333	No	+$242	06-01 18:51
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	14	$417	483	483	+0	Yes	-$84	05-16 17:49
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	36	$401	1,852	1,852	+0	Yes	+$62	07-18 19:36
Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	10	$321	309	282	+28	No	-$35	09-15 02:57
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	9	$317	203	203	+0	open	—	09-07 16:06
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?	8	$271	243	243	+0	Yes	+$181	05-29 23:09
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	101	$264	5,154	2,454	+2,700	No	-$158	06-26 15:52
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	6	$238	157	157	+0	No	+$44	05-28 13:07
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	14	$215	213	213	+0	Yes	+$136	06-23 10:24
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?	19	$212	3,898	3,462	+436	No	+$72	06-03 17:24
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	15	$211	463	463	+0	Yes	-$155	06-03 21:49
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	4	$208	145	145	+0	open	—	08-22 15:38
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	7	$207	116	116	+0	Yes	+$22	08-04 16:00
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$203	534	0	+534	Spurs	-$203	05-31 02:39
Ebola emergency by June 30?	5	$201	273	273	+0	Yes	+$144	05-17 03:13
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	7	$191	138	138	+0	Yes	+$11	07-10 19:16
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	9	$189	303	0	+303	Yes	-$189	05-22 11:46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$188	448	448	+0	No	-$7	07-14 20:37
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?	42	$187	1,356	675	+680	No	-$33	08-22 18:54
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	11	$178	175	175	+0	No	+$21	06-27 10:14
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?	2	$170	90	90	+0	Yes	+$10	06-14 03:30
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	20	$167	164	189	-25	No	+$44	05-19 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 21:29:53	Rockets vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9be0a4…
10-21 00:48:06	Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xb18ea4…
09-15 03:26:13	Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf8e22d…
09-15 03:25:33	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xec7a02…
09-15 02:57:33	Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xd526cc…
09-15 02:56:37	Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0xe039e2…
09-15 02:51:46	Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x64790c…
09-15 02:19:04	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xecbe1c…
09-15 02:17:57	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	516	0¢	$1	0xec8b14…
09-15 02:01:15	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x563473…
09-15 01:50:46	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	107	0¢	$0	0x6a0acf…
09-15 01:50:27	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	564	0¢	$1	0xf4c24f…
09-15 01:29:30	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x7b21dd…
09-15 01:28:06	Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xe80026…
09-15 01:27:37	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x9cce6f…
09-15 01:27:28	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x5e816e…
09-15 01:27:25	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xd5fee4…
09-15 01:27:18	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x056801…
09-15 01:19:49	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x56f351…
09-15 00:47:24	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	253	0¢	$1	0x2a05df…
09-09 18:53:06	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x11f994…
09-09 18:46:03	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x17c9b2…
09-09 15:30:12	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x3cdb5a…
09-09 15:30:10	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf97c4a…
09-09 15:30:10	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd9d856…
09-09 15:30:10	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd59036…
09-09 15:30:10	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xcef90c…
09-09 15:30:10	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5026f6…
09-09 15:30:10	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x4ee6ce…
09-09 15:30:10	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x02a6a1…
09-08 20:43:48	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x4f50b0…
09-08 07:56:12	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x5390b7…
09-08 03:00:24	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	186	17¢	$32	0x931eb8…
09-08 02:19:55	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	59	15¢	$9	0x6f58db…
09-08 01:33:19	Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?	No	BUY	74	66¢	$49	0x3989d6…
09-08 01:27:58	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	56	14¢	$8	0x87711d…
09-08 01:15:16	Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0xe35f59…
09-08 00:55:58	Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	95	43¢	$41	0xd7a2ee…
09-08 00:40:46	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x096de1…
09-08 00:40:45	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe87d1d…
09-08 00:33:15	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xe2f59c…
09-08 00:33:13	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x93691d…
09-08 00:33:12	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xee4aac…
09-08 00:33:12	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x39083a…
09-08 00:33:12	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x0e220f…
09-08 00:33:12	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0x01b1d8…
09-08 00:32:06	Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xcfb888…
09-08 00:29:58	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xede8a6…
09-08 00:29:58	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x5b39f7…
09-08 00:29:58	Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x226734…
09-08 00:07:33	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x733ad5…
09-07 23:50:22	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x55347c…
09-07 23:50:01	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x92ab21…
09-07 23:49:57	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x926832…
09-07 23:49:55	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x7b6f68…
09-07 23:39:48	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa38254…
09-07 23:39:48	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x9bc9a0…
09-07 23:39:48	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x947349…
09-07 23:39:48	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7910c3…
09-07 22:55:49	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x6d44e4…
09-07 22:55:48	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc08c19…
09-07 22:55:46	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xe4c1af…
09-07 22:55:42	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe2aeb1…
09-07 22:55:42	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5821c3…
09-07 22:55:42	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x261433…
09-07 22:29:55	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$1	0xe7c4f8…
09-07 20:42:30	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xb36115…
09-07 19:56:46	Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x6caf6b…
09-07 16:06:10	US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	No	SELL	87	93¢	$81	0x24e029…
09-07 11:00:19	Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x52452f…
09-07 01:58:45	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$14	0xef337a…
09-04 04:35:42	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x34cfe8…
09-01 16:51:06	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x66ebf7…
09-01 01:44:33	Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xe360b4…
08-31 18:25:52	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xaa41da…
08-26 08:08:37	US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	No	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x519ad8…
08-23 19:48:13	The International 2026: Will Any Team Field a Stand-in?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x2b8098…
08-23 18:24:28	Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf416b8…
08-23 13:51:07	Will valve announce Any different hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x3b3101…
08-23 12:15:37	Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xdbd2fb…
08-23 12:14:42	Will valve announce Any different hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0xf23f8e…
08-23 12:14:36	Will valve announce Any different hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x41344e…
08-23 12:14:25	Will valve announce Any different hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0xe1e622…
08-23 10:47:43	Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe88a14…
08-23 06:51:21	Will valve announce Any different hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x506cec…
08-22 18:54:28	Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xd0cdb0…
08-22 18:52:33	Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x341b5a…
08-22 18:48:04	Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x72e054…
08-22 15:38:03	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	No	SELL	41	79¢	$32	0x88b32f…
08-22 09:54:49	Will valve announce Any different hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x60caaf…
08-22 09:40:00	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xf6a80c…
08-22 09:38:31	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x21f133…
08-22 09:37:24	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x0bfb72…
08-22 09:33:01	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x4a4014…
08-22 08:43:58	Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xdba277…
08-22 08:32:21	Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	0¢	$0	0xb46b13…
08-22 08:27:07	Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc97e95…
08-22 07:26:19	Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x90273c…
08-22 00:38:18	Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xebdf94…
08-22 00:37:33	Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8822da…