Mortified-Pocketwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$195

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-23 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 33% $-2

Sports

9% — —

Other

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776465600	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 22:44
btc updown 5m 1780752900	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-06 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-23 21:28
btc updown 5m 1776626700	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-19 19:28
btc updown 5m 1776792300	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 17:29
btc updown 5m 1776460200	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	4	$4	5	2	+4	open	—	05-19 14:36
btc updown 5m 1776439800	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	04-17 15:35
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1pm et	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-22 17:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 17:17
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-20 21:27
btc updown 4h 1776787200	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-21 18:08
Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-23 21:26
btc updown 5m 1776465900	3	$2	4	2	+2	open	—	04-17 22:49
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 19	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-19 19:29
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-22 18:59
btc updown 5m 1776866100	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-22 13:57
btc updown 5m 1776787500	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-21 16:06
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 4am et	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-22 08:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-12 20:11
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7am et	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-22 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-09 20:55
btc updown 5m 1776465000	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-17 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 18:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 22:24
btc updown 5m 1776789900	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-21 16:45
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8am et	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 12:47
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3am et	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-22 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-02 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 12:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 12:40:26	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7bc1f4…
06-23 12:40:19	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x649a17…
06-06 13:38:58	Spread: England (-2.5)	England	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x04fa16…
06-06 13:38:45	Spread: Portugal (-2.5)	Chile	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xac3cd3…
06-06 13:38:10	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	South Africa	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf85182…
06-06 13:35:18	btc updown 5m 1780752900	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb7b6dd…
05-23 21:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6f8d24…
05-23 21:27:40	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Knicks	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x925406…
05-23 21:26:58	Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x13f466…
05-21 19:55:18	XRP Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb6a5af…
05-21 19:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe29408…
05-21 19:53:57	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7d7185…
05-19 14:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd251d6…
05-19 14:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x8c4869…
05-19 14:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x31427c…
05-19 14:34:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x95485c…
05-19 14:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x15404c…
05-16 22:25:57	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbc7b2d…
05-16 22:25:43	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x98c02a…
05-16 22:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf0bb21…
05-16 22:24:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x782670…
05-15 14:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3d5a7c…
05-12 20:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x97ba9a…
05-12 20:11:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbabe23…
05-09 20:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5e95de…
05-09 20:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb70894…
05-03 20:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7efeed…
05-03 20:48:28	Ethereum Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc19292…
05-03 20:47:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x51ed0d…
05-03 20:47:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0901c1…
05-03 20:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x31be37…
05-02 14:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x68ffa4…
05-02 14:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6a9b9f…
05-02 14:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x26b732…
05-02 14:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1a87b5…
05-01 12:39:42	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2f3454…
05-01 12:25:40	Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	Lakers	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x735240…
05-01 12:25:36	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x03ff3c…
05-01 12:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0e969c…
05-01 12:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf7b353…
04-30 09:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb54a4f…
04-30 09:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6d788e…
04-28 16:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf424d0…
04-28 16:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6bf2f2…
04-27 18:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfefe75…
04-26 17:17:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x992c47…
04-26 16:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7adc0f…
04-26 16:05:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb0c9e6…
04-24 15:47:04	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 24?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3774b5…
04-24 12:22:02	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5be650…
04-24 12:20:28	btc updown 5m 1777033200	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8a6d06…
04-24 10:04:36	btc updown 5m 1777024800	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe3301f…
04-23 21:20:40	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9d9d60…
04-23 19:18:22	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x363c0b…
04-23 19:17:14	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7c8105…
04-22 18:59:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x627327…
04-22 17:43:56	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xeeb305…
04-22 13:57:02	btc updown 5m 1776866100	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0ae5c2…
04-22 13:01:36	btc updown 5m 1776862800	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x666e33…
04-22 13:01:10	btc updown 4h 1776859200	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x737f9d…
04-22 12:47:16	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb0e4c1…
04-22 12:02:32	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x827a18…
04-22 11:07:40	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe066f9…
04-22 08:18:56	btc updown 5m 1776845700	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe963f5…
04-22 08:14:58	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6868c8…
04-22 07:57:10	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe7165f…
04-22 07:56:58	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x655c0b…
04-21 18:08:26	btc updown 4h 1776787200	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb3152a…
04-21 17:32:16	btc updown 4h 1776787200	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x923e0e…
04-21 17:30:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4c1674…
04-21 17:29:54	btc updown 5m 1776792300	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa04ba3…
04-21 17:28:32	btc updown 5m 1776792300	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe0e22f…
04-21 16:45:26	btc updown 5m 1776789900	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x34b02c…
04-21 16:45:20	btc updown 5m 1776789900	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xce0ee7…
04-21 16:26:20	btc updown 5m 1776788700	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x65b387…
04-21 16:06:54	btc updown 5m 1776787500	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd825c4…
04-21 15:40:24	btc updown 5m 1776786000	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x272088…
04-21 15:40:14	btc updown 5m 1776786000	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2e7969…
04-21 15:38:16	btc updown 5m 1776785700	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcfcd80…
04-20 21:27:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe6c327…
04-20 21:26:28	btc updown 5m 1776720300	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x702fdb…
04-20 21:26:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 21	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x26c494…
04-20 21:22:06	btc updown 5m 1776720000	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0fb8ce…
04-20 21:02:22	btc updown 5m 1776718800	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2dd078…
04-20 14:00:34	btc updown 5m 1776693600	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x34778d…
04-20 13:20:20	btc updown 5m 1776691200	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa8fe31…
04-20 10:44:22	btc updown 5m 1776681600	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc576c7…
04-20 10:32:40	NBA Playoffs: Pistons vs. Magic Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8daafb…
04-20 10:03:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 20	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x971b1f…
04-20 09:58:44	btc updown 5m 1776678900	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x14c344…
04-20 09:56:42	btc updown 5m 1776678900	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x699d98…
04-19 21:58:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9a6a71…
04-19 19:30:18	btc updown 5m 1776627000	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x98c62b…
04-19 19:29:24	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 19	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf6bf13…
04-19 19:28:22	btc updown 5m 1776626700	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf85830…
04-19 19:26:16	nba phx okc 2026 04 19 spread home 13pt5	Thunder	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6dee4f…
04-19 16:01:42	btc updown 5m 1776614400	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfba689…
04-19 16:01:14	Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3eb986…
04-19 15:59:52	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x169ba3…
04-19 15:58:22	btc updown 5m 1776614100	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2022a0…