Optimistic-Grammar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

957

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-22 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

65% 100% +$4

Crypto

24% 0% $-11

Other

10% 100% +$5

Sports

0% 50% +$3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$3.2K	1,664	1,664	+0	open	—	06-07 06:07
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$2.2K	1,392	1,392	+0	open	—	06-30 05:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 3 569 213	2	$1.6K	862	862	+0	open	—	06-04 04:32
btc updown 5m 1774564200	7	$1.3K	1,275	887	+388	open	—	03-26 22:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$917	595	595	-0	open	—	06-11 18:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$770	537	537	+0	open	—	05-27 13:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$755	371	464	-93	open	—	06-11 18:58
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	4	$748	404	404	+0	open	—	06-22 20:45
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	4	$700	722	722	+0	open	—	06-17 16:03
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	2	$619	373	373	+0	open	—	06-14 14:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$591	441	441	-0	open	—	06-10 18:55
btc updown 5m 1774563900	6	$558	668	662	+6	open	—	03-26 22:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$534	287	287	+0	open	—	05-31 09:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$391	465	465	+0	open	—	06-07 16:19
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	2	$376	594	594	+0	open	—	06-10 15:57
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	2	$374	215	215	+0	open	—	06-10 15:58
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$347	505	0	+505	open	—	06-08 08:39
israel closes its airspace by june 9	4	$305	198	198	+0	open	—	06-10 04:40
btc updown 5m 1774726500	2	$302	322	318	+5	open	—	03-28 19:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$269	177	177	+0	open	—	05-24 16:47
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$269	392	67	+325	open	—	06-11 19:11
iran closes its airspace by june 15	4	$241	11	279	-269	open	—	06-08 02:37
btc updown 5m 1774562400	9	$228	704	264	+440	open	—	03-26 22:04
btc updown 5m 1774961100	1	$222	602	0	+602	open	—	03-31 12:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$220	132	132	+0	open	—	05-27 21:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$206	115	132	-17	open	—	06-11 19:03
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$203	108	108	+0	open	—	05-27 19:34
btc updown 5m 1774799400	11	$202	187	185	+2	open	—	03-29 15:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$199	116	116	+0	open	—	06-11 19:10
btc updown 5m 1774799700	10	$199	190	187	+3	open	—	03-29 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 14:04:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xca08fa…
07-16 18:40:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	Yes	SELL	67	45¢	$30	0xf9850c…
07-16 18:40:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	87	41¢	$36	0xb54104…
07-16 18:40:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	SELL	167	14¢	$23	0x204f8b…
07-16 07:50:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x734045…
07-15 14:26:20	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xaa53c1…
07-15 04:33:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0xa5788d…
07-15 04:32:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	SELL	39	45¢	$18	0x1f2094…
07-15 04:31:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xce454e…
07-15 04:19:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0xd09e3a…
07-14 15:16:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x97f81a…
07-14 15:04:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xdbc211…
07-14 15:04:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x390a1c…
07-14 15:04:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x077bcc…
07-14 15:04:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	87	47¢	$41	0xcb319d…
07-14 15:03:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x6c4793…
07-14 15:03:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	89	82¢	$73	0x4c77e2…
07-14 15:03:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	109	89¢	$97	0x937df3…
07-14 04:44:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3b267d…
07-13 16:36:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x76fb05…
07-13 11:26:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xc106ad…
07-12 16:53:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	88	44¢	$39	0x5c04a8…
07-12 16:51:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x099c9e…
07-12 16:50:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x46c21e…
07-12 16:47:23	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x255a7a…
07-12 09:47:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe7bff8…
07-08 09:54:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9d1842…
06-30 05:07:05	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1,010	99¢	$1,002	0x5d999e…
06-30 05:05:19	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0xe9e13b…
06-30 05:05:17	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	29	32¢	$9	0x4bf7e1…
06-29 21:10:08	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x560849…
06-29 21:08:52	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x186ebe…
06-22 20:45:44	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	404	98¢	$396	0xc7410f…
06-17 19:04:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	241	0¢	$0	0xcb37e7…
06-17 16:03:16	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	537	30¢	$159	0x104215…
06-14 14:32:39	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	537	61¢	$328	0xdcbe9d…
06-14 14:32:18	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	373	88¢	$328	0x358d1d…
06-14 14:31:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	241	54¢	$129	0x145cc5…
06-14 14:29:18	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	185	61¢	$113	0x3f9ac1…
06-14 14:29:10	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	24	68¢	$16	0xf06729…
06-14 07:20:39	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x6123ea…
06-14 07:20:22	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xb87e85…
06-11 19:11:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	108	92¢	$99	0x29c564…
06-11 19:10:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	116	86¢	$99	0x5592e8…
06-11 19:04:15	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	105	91¢	$95	0x355f1b…
06-11 19:03:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	115	83¢	$95	0x8c0da7…
06-11 19:00:27	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1,010	83¢	$839	0x6845a9…
06-11 18:59:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	143	68¢	$97	0x158357…
06-11 18:58:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	371	88¢	$325	0x6571a6…
06-11 18:57:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	595	70¢	$417	0x3e21b8…
06-10 18:56:19	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	373	78¢	$291	0x7d0a6e…
06-10 18:55:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	441	66¢	$291	0x855995…
06-10 15:58:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	371	96¢	$355	0x4802fa…
06-10 15:58:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	215	84¢	$180	0x852708…
06-10 15:57:55	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	594	29¢	$175	0x96b022…
06-10 11:35:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	215	90¢	$194	0x5e8110…
06-10 11:30:30	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	SELL	109	93¢	$101	0xf64ea9…
06-10 07:58:04	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	BUY	109	79¢	$86	0x23f5ee…
06-10 07:57:37	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	788	11¢	$87	0x3ae099…
06-10 04:40:22	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	173	90¢	$157	0x6c0837…
06-10 04:40:12	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	154	100¢	$153	0x345741…
06-09 16:44:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$4	0x9ae175…
06-09 13:32:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xf9d23c…
06-09 13:31:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x6b892c…
06-09 13:28:42	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0xcb3b70…
06-09 12:27:12	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	788	13¢	$100	0xc595e7…
06-09 12:20:03	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	594	34¢	$201	0xa0a43c…
06-08 08:39:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	67	70¢	$47	0x210c7a…
06-08 08:38:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	55	86¢	$47	0xb9d2e3…
06-08 08:25:31	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	154	64¢	$99	0x780ca4…
06-08 08:25:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x7e9a4a…
06-08 08:22:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	437	69¢	$300	0x199596…
06-08 05:35:04	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	44	58¢	$26	0x33a82f…
06-08 05:34:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	382	62¢	$237	0x8a3630…
06-08 05:34:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	67	56¢	$37	0xa14bdf…
06-08 02:43:13	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0x0dd3ff…
06-08 02:42:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xff3ace…
06-08 02:41:57	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	49	80¢	$39	0x186784…
06-08 02:39:00	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	49	83¢	$41	0x0521c2…
06-08 02:38:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x8284a1…
06-08 02:37:37	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xba51e2…
06-08 02:37:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0xa37e3c…
06-07 21:09:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x104047…
06-07 21:08:58	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4826e4…
06-07 21:08:45	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd42dd5…
06-07 21:08:39	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1df8e9…
06-07 21:08:36	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbb6fd9…
06-07 16:25:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	336	30¢	$100	0x9bc2dd…
06-07 16:19:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	465	41¢	$191	0x86b68b…
06-07 08:56:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	55	86¢	$47	0xd65cf5…
06-07 08:51:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x1e2f2d…
06-07 08:50:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x1703ef…
06-07 08:50:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x76ba5b…
06-07 06:20:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x4803ba…
06-07 06:15:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x95f64c…
06-07 06:07:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1,664	99¢	$1,654	0xdefc92…
06-04 04:54:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	901	95¢	$861	0x0b4876…
06-04 04:32:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 3 569 213	No	SELL	862	100¢	$861	0x40f7fa…
06-01 09:15:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	862	91¢	$784	0xb06fc2…
05-31 10:44:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	763	89¢	$679	0x528172…