Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$187

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-06 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

79% 44% -$78

Other

17% 22% -$46

Crypto

5% 0% -$63

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$330	1,361	1,324	+37	No	+$30	01-29 21:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$328	864	864	+0	No	+$0	01-14 19:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	6	$138	147	144	+2	Yes	+$52	04-17 17:12
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	4	$127	1,505	1,505	+0	No	-$93	01-26 18:37
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$108	86	86	+0	No	+$10	01-15 10:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$99	89	89	+0	Yes	+$43	04-07 22:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$61	357	0	+357	No	-$61	04-24 16:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	6	$51	8,732	8,350	+381	No	-$34	04-30 16:49
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	7	$48	390	390	+0	No	-$1	01-14 20:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$42	127	127	+0	No	+$14	04-07 20:48
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$38	54	54	+0	No	+$5	03-04 13:15
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	7	$35	284	0	+284	No	-$35	03-07 18:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	2	$31	663	636	+26	No	+$11	04-06 16:27
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	2	$30	400	400	+0	No	-$10	02-17 23:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$29	65	65	+0	Yes	+$3	02-20 16:12
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$24	100	100	+0	No	+$4	03-07 11:59
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	2	$20	83	83	+0	No	+$0	04-08 14:46
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	1	$20	33	0	+33	No	-$20	03-04 14:01
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$20	168	0	+168	No	-$20	03-10 21:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	3	$15	121	117	+4	No	-$15	04-30 14:43
will bitcoin reach 102k january 12 18	1	$14	68	0	+68	No	-$14	01-14 20:52
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	5	$14	260	0	+260	No	-$14	04-22 13:42
will trump visit greenland by march 31	2	$13	80	80	+0	No	-$6	02-17 23:40
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$10	172	0	+172	No	-$10	03-14 21:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$9	145	145	+0	Yes	-$9	03-01 14:00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$8	209	0	+209	No	-$8	05-06 20:04
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 9	1	$5	145	0	+145	No	-$5	03-08 21:23
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	1	$1	143	0	+143	Yes	-$1	01-26 19:03
will the us strike somalia next 656	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	01-26 18:52
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$1	86	0	+86	No	-$1	03-10 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 20:04:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	209	4¢	$8	0xf55e11…
04-30 16:49:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	8,350	0¢	$8	0xefdc87…
04-30 14:43:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x5a3c4b…
04-24 16:04:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x1ab3b5…
04-23 08:46:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0x10472e…
04-22 13:42:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x15dc58…
04-22 13:18:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xca88a9…
04-22 13:04:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x354dfc…
04-22 11:54:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$2	0xfa39df…
04-22 08:20:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x464c0a…
04-22 08:19:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x742124…
04-21 12:45:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x97b972…
04-19 17:14:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0x8af5c9…
04-17 17:12:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	34	17¢	$6	0xa07142…
04-17 15:45:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x30cb5b…
04-17 15:24:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x410c81…
04-17 15:19:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0x73285c…
04-17 12:49:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	111	80¢	$89	0x07c44c…
04-13 15:02:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	510	0¢	$2	0xe770b5…
04-12 16:25:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3,408	0¢	$10	0x40df27…
04-09 16:03:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,010	0¢	$10	0xb5ddb1…
04-09 10:53:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xd18209…
04-08 18:02:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xfad574…
04-08 18:01:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe0a7a1…
04-08 14:46:31	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0x87dc99…
04-08 13:54:45	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x7df3ba…
04-07 22:58:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,375	1¢	$10	0xa5161b…
04-07 22:52:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	89	80¢	$71	0x31a090…
04-07 21:01:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	58	31¢	$18	0x3983f1…
04-07 20:59:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x29ecc9…
04-07 20:48:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	127	22¢	$28	0x05ca05…
04-06 17:42:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x12726e…
04-06 17:40:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x71a8aa…
04-06 17:39:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x7f00b4…
04-06 16:27:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	SELL	636	3¢	$21	0xe74d0c…
04-02 21:52:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	BUY	663	2¢	$10	0xa0143e…
03-14 21:31:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0xb3f92a…
03-10 21:58:29	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x7121b8…
03-10 21:57:37	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0xe8f149…
03-10 21:57:05	will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	No	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x86bafc…
03-10 21:53:57	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x1d395a…
03-10 21:51:31	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x9bafad…
03-08 21:23:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 9	Yes	BUY	145	3¢	$5	0xe75d3c…
03-08 21:17:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x534aec…
03-08 21:08:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x94dfc6…
03-07 18:33:57	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0x05a2e4…
03-07 11:59:01	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xd3780c…
03-07 09:01:05	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf2eb56…
03-06 23:25:41	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xe47f9b…
03-06 16:19:43	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x670b2d…
03-06 08:52:49	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xad2656…
03-04 21:42:17	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6ba238…
03-04 17:14:13	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x577fb1…
03-04 14:01:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x9a8006…
03-04 13:44:21	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x3e42c4…
03-04 13:15:55	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	27	47¢	$13	0xd76bbb…
03-01 14:00:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	145	0¢	$0	0xa364af…
02-28 20:05:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	140	6¢	$8	0xa32720…
02-28 20:04:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xefad44…
02-28 20:03:31	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	27	32¢	$9	0x1d21ca…
02-20 22:17:18	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	54	31¢	$16	0x7c20f3…
02-20 16:12:56	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	65	25¢	$16	0x808580…
02-17 23:41:47	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0x8bdb7c…
02-17 23:40:39	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$10	0x8f1be3…
02-17 23:40:27	will trump visit greenland by march 31	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x9301f4…
01-29 21:23:32	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xfb41f9…
01-28 14:54:51	will trump visit greenland by march 31	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x60b079…
01-28 14:53:41	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xeb4a16…
01-26 19:03:37	si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x15ea2f…
01-26 18:52:27	will the us strike somalia next 656	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x97b896…
01-26 18:37:27	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	SELL	1,505	1¢	$17	0x8cb5b4…
01-26 18:30:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$16	0xd096d1…
01-15 20:31:46	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x570b37…
01-15 16:58:30	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	BUY	800	5¢	$40	0x7e02ce…
01-15 14:10:28	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x09bd03…
01-15 10:39:42	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	SELL	86	69¢	$59	0x3dbdab…
01-14 21:26:52	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x678913…
01-14 20:55:36	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	86	57¢	$49	0xdd3755…
01-14 20:52:06	will bitcoin reach 102k january 12 18	Yes	BUY	68	21¢	$14	0x6cd9bb…
01-14 20:45:04	will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	Yes	SELL	390	6¢	$23	0xd9d87c…
01-14 20:38:54	will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	Yes	BUY	231	6¢	$14	0xc6292c…
01-14 20:38:32	will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x25c9dc…
01-14 20:38:30	will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x573ba7…
01-14 20:38:30	will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0578a5…
01-14 20:38:28	will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xc3f430…
01-14 20:38:20	will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x76228c…
01-14 19:45:04	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	864	19¢	$164	0xacf4df…
01-12 02:26:36	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	864	19¢	$164	0x561ca4…
01-12 02:12:58	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	824	20¢	$165	0xb4d831…
01-08 12:05:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	824	12¢	$99	0xe8377b…