Authentic-Jam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$642

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-05 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 79% +$29

Other

19% — —

Politics

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+14	$10	90¢	$12	+$2	06-10 14:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No		+90	$5	6¢	$5	+$0	07-05 19:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	06-24 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	5	$29	32	11	+22	Up	+$7	05-08 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	7	$28	58	0	+58	Down	$-28	05-09 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	11	$27	40	0	+40	Up	+$13	05-08 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$24	29	8	+20	Down	$-4	05-09 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	7	$24	38	13	+25	Up	+$3	05-09 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	5	$23	27	3	+24	Down	+$1	05-08 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$21	24	0	+24	Up	+$3	05-09 20:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-24 09:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	05-28 19:30
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	06-16 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	05-28 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$20	24	0	+24	Up	+$4	05-08 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$17	19	0	+19	Up	+$2	05-09 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$15	23	0	+23	Down	+$8	05-08 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$14	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	05-07 07:04
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	1	$12	18	0	+18	open	—	06-16 05:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$10	0	11	-11	open	—	06-10 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 20:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	06-01 18:49
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	06-01 18:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	06-10 14:10
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	07-05 19:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-24 09:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	06-10 10:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-13 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$9	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-07 19:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 19:05:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb51a79…
07-05 19:02:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe8d446…
07-05 19:02:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xf3f396…
06-24 00:27:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0xb0fe01…
06-19 20:18:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x58a6d9…
06-16 05:19:09	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xe2a8a9…
06-16 05:19:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xc2158e…
06-10 14:10:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5ef4aa…
06-10 14:10:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x51f65a…
06-10 10:04:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x745d07…
06-10 06:17:40	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 22	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x74deb4…
06-10 06:17:30	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xabc754…
06-10 06:15:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xa6e637…
06-02 19:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa9594d…
06-02 19:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfaaf40…
06-02 19:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x216ebc…
06-01 18:49:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4aac30…
06-01 18:48:58	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3072ab…
05-28 19:30:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xdf28af…
05-28 19:28:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xaf6612…
05-28 19:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x802502…
05-28 19:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb37d64…
05-28 19:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf85c3f…
05-28 19:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9322bc…
05-28 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x502136…
05-28 19:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5146e3…
05-28 19:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9125fa…
05-28 19:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6115a5…
05-28 19:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8be8ae…
05-13 06:32:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfb421b…
05-13 06:25:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xdc8a8e…
05-13 06:25:05	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2b4cbd…
05-09 20:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2be2dd…
05-09 20:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd78e50…
05-09 20:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd1e220…
05-09 20:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd00940…
05-09 20:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x57598d…
05-09 20:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xea9808…
05-09 20:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0f7a29…
05-09 20:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x20970d…
05-09 20:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x27c6c0…
05-09 20:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf0940d…
05-09 20:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd86042…
05-09 20:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d6741…
05-09 20:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0xca9a86…
05-09 20:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x52d083…
05-09 20:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x8149c8…
05-09 20:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf5e948…
05-09 20:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x867241…
05-09 20:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf9bab8…
05-09 20:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x625c53…
05-09 20:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2f9192…
05-09 20:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x6f4638…
05-09 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x1a2fa3…
05-09 20:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbffac1…
05-09 20:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3948a2…
05-09 20:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0cf9ce…
05-09 20:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x787d56…
05-09 20:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd83062…
05-09 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa306af…
05-09 20:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9491b1…
05-09 20:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x92f6e9…
05-08 20:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x3350e3…
05-08 20:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7f5905…
05-08 20:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x371b8d…
05-08 20:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x5dee4d…
05-08 20:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x32df49…
05-08 18:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2e2f3b…
05-08 18:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa7bea5…
05-08 18:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5f0654…
05-08 18:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd47de7…
05-08 18:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x3dec97…
05-08 18:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8e8122…
05-08 18:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2ed64f…
05-08 18:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9d274f…
05-08 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x207392…
05-08 18:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xafd1b5…
05-08 18:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x737b59…
05-08 18:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x823ae1…
05-08 18:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xae2b6d…
05-08 18:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2c28b8…
05-08 18:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x766a59…
05-08 09:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3800d0…
05-08 09:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x660b58…
05-08 09:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xab2de5…
05-08 09:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x33dd4b…
05-08 09:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xba6a00…
05-08 09:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf3cd3d…
05-08 09:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7e59bd…
05-08 09:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdb2216…
05-08 09:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x90b00d…
05-08 09:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc8a71f…
05-08 09:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xca904c…
05-07 19:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xde9de3…
05-07 19:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2d7baa…
05-07 19:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x5e8b4a…
05-07 19:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x379460…
05-07 19:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x35d257…
05-07 19:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xca0142…
05-07 19:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x16168b…