Naughty-Likelihood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$884

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-18 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	05-18 06:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-17 03:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	1	$49	49	+49	Yes	+$0	05-06 02:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	1	$49	49	+49	Yes	+$0	05-05 02:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	05-04 02:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	05-03 03:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	05-02 03:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$49	49	+49	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	1	$49	49	+49	No	+$0	05-13 03:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	1	$49	49	+49	Yes	+$0	05-09 02:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$49	49	+49	No	+$0	05-07 02:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$49	49	+49	No	+$0	05-08 02:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$49	49	+49	Yes	+$0	05-11 03:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	05-14 02:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$49	49	+49	Yes	+$0	05-10 01:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	05-01 02:26
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 15?	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	05-15 07:54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	2	$49	49	+49	open	—	05-16 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 06:08:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x72be39…
05-17 03:19:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd077dd…
05-16 06:46:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x844371…
05-16 06:41:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa9c841…
05-15 07:54:50	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 15?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xf8a548…
05-14 02:51:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xa0e432…
05-13 03:07:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xff7298…
05-12 03:13:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xc81182…
05-11 03:55:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xf2aa4e…
05-10 01:31:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xfd8060…
05-09 02:00:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x1b7469…
05-08 02:11:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xc11420…
05-07 02:37:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x78952e…
05-06 02:34:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xb0b6d1…
05-05 02:48:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x417a3e…
05-04 02:28:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x3102a9…
05-03 03:44:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xcba20d…
05-02 03:34:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x30e270…
05-01 02:26:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xc8257c…