Frequent-Railway — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

49 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$363

$363 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-22 23:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-20

Politics

26% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$48	77	77	+0	open	—	05-08 10:17
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$44	100	87	+13	open	—	05-17 14:24
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	5	$41	150	0	+150	open	—	05-14 21:08
Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	05-13 14:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	7	$30	1,470	0	+1,470	open	—	05-16 14:19
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	2	$23	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 23:43
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	2	$20	53	53	+0	open	—	05-08 13:57
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	2	$16	800	0	+800	open	—	05-14 18:17
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	3	$16	321	0	+321	open	—	05-17 14:10
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$15	90	0	+90	open	—	05-14 12:30
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	05-05 15:51
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 15:53
Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$10	24	0	+24	No	$-10	05-06 16:06
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$9	18	0	+18	open	—	05-16 14:05
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	1	$5	7	0	+7	Under	$-5	05-05 16:08
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	$-5	05-05 16:13
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	6	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	05-22 23:29
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	1	$4	14	0	+14	open	—	04-30 15:12
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	1	$4	100	0	+100	open	—	05-22 05:20
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$3	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 02:35
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$2	119	0	+119	open	—	04-29 16:19
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	150	0	+150	open	—	04-30 15:49
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	1	$2	214	0	+214	open	—	04-29 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 23:29:47	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x99a763…
05-22 23:27:35	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x7d2443…
05-22 23:23:11	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0f4375…
05-22 23:20:02	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x14ebdd…
05-22 23:19:52	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x138870…
05-22 23:02:51	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x0b5a2e…
05-22 05:20:10	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xaa6708…
05-17 14:24:48	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	37	32¢	$12	0xd46504…
05-17 14:10:10	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0xc367f9…
05-16 22:16:21	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x4facfe…
05-16 14:19:50	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2826dc…
05-16 14:18:41	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa13405…
05-16 14:17:26	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc95457…
05-16 14:05:43	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xe32bbe…
05-16 14:05:27	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x0ca58b…
05-15 02:35:56	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x55f50b…
05-14 21:08:01	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x8c3ff3…
05-14 20:57:32	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe1a528…
05-14 18:25:28	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc9e690…
05-14 18:25:05	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x906d1c…
05-14 18:24:53	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0x118906…
05-14 18:17:02	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x35d264…
05-14 18:15:57	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xa14fd8…
05-14 18:13:53	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0xd1cf9c…
05-14 12:46:10	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xc18d5b…
05-14 12:30:39	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x5c2912…
05-14 12:30:29	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x63f5a7…
05-13 16:44:37	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8e1f96…
05-13 14:17:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	210	3¢	$6	0x9b5cad…
05-13 14:13:51	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x72d398…
05-13 14:03:32	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xc937b0…
05-13 14:03:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0x99802f…
05-13 14:01:54	Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xa352f2…
05-08 13:57:32	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	20¢	$10	0x9d8666…
05-08 10:17:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	36¢	$28	0xe9d0a4…
05-06 23:43:33	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xf347e0…
05-06 16:06:03	Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xbf2d30…
05-06 16:03:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x627a59…
05-06 15:01:46	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x15dc97…
05-05 16:13:42	Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5ff607…
05-05 16:08:36	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1d44c0…
05-05 15:53:00	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x607ebb…
05-05 15:51:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x800738…
05-03 15:01:32	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xebbdd5…
05-01 15:27:50	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9067dc…
04-30 15:49:10	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x5e3faa…
04-30 15:12:22	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x857a1b…
04-29 16:24:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	214	1¢	$2	0x91bb07…
04-29 16:19:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	119	2¢	$2	0x43b9d4…