Muddy-Host — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-02 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 100% +$0

Politics

35% 100% +$0

Other

25% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No		+17	$16	90¢	$15	$-1	06-02 05:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$237	134	134	+0	open	—	03-25 14:43
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$206	105	105	+0	open	—	03-22 22:33
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 13corbelow	1	$129	129	0	+129	open	—	04-04 13:55
solana above 30 on april 11	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	04-09 16:32
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 31corhigher	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	04-06 09:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$118	118	0	+118	open	—	03-29 06:37
solana above 130 on april 18	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	04-16 18:23
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on april 13	1	$108	108	0	+108	open	—	04-12 09:36
ethereum above 1900 on april 20	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-19 16:04
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on April 26?	1	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	04-23 14:17
bitcoin above 70k on march 13	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	03-13 15:23
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	1	$98	104	0	+104	open	—	03-22 22:33
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 27?	1	$85	85	0	+85	open	—	05-23 10:20
will israel strike gaza on february 25 2026	1	$85	85	0	+85	open	—	02-27 07:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$0	05-05 14:02
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on May 8?	1	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	05-06 14:19
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 07:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-29 07:10
will solana reach 130 in february 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	02-27 07:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 13:54
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$21	30	0	+30	open	—	05-12 08:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-27 07:20
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-13 15:18
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	06-02 05:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-26 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 25?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-25 02:49
highest temperature in atlanta on april 18 2026 75forbelow	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-18 11:52
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	04-21 11:05
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-13 15:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 05:45:43	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xefb03f…
05-23 10:20:31	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 27?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x997b34…
05-12 08:09:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x59cea4…
05-06 14:19:22	Will the price of Solana be above $30 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd2996d…
05-05 14:02:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xb1f37c…
05-05 13:54:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x680bbe…
04-29 07:10:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcbdeeb…
04-29 07:10:18	Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb3fb6c…
04-26 15:13:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa7b1e2…
04-25 02:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x673663…
04-23 14:17:38	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on April 26?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xdab916…
04-21 11:05:34	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x493f21…
04-19 16:04:04	ethereum above 1900 on april 20	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xf77805…
04-18 11:52:52	highest temperature in atlanta on april 18 2026 75forbelow	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc69e0e…
04-16 18:23:06	solana above 130 on april 18	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x697f30…
04-13 15:52:27	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa14800…
04-12 09:36:49	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on april 13	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x9f8fc1…
04-09 16:32:09	solana above 30 on april 11	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x890ab6…
04-09 16:28:27	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6abf33…
04-06 09:30:45	highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xc05602…
04-06 09:27:31	btc updown 5m 1775467500	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa31f99…
04-04 13:55:57	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x086703…
04-04 13:55:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7d89cc…
03-29 06:37:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xca7699…
03-25 14:43:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	134	88¢	$118	0x0f8db5…
03-23 06:47:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	134	89¢	$119	0xa31efe…
03-22 22:33:43	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	Yes	BUY	104	94¢	$98	0x6aa34c…
03-22 22:33:03	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	105	99¢	$103	0xbff14b…
03-18 09:45:11	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xd22935…
03-13 15:23:21	bitcoin above 70k on march 13	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc6a25a…
03-13 15:18:47	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9170a9…
03-13 15:17:23	ethereum above 2200 on march 13	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xc58b2a…
03-13 15:14:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x420177…
03-13 15:13:53	highest temperature in atlanta on march 15 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9cda0b…
02-27 07:24:35	will solana reach 130 in february 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2e0c73…
02-27 07:20:25	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc3b8b9…
02-27 07:19:51	will israel strike gaza on february 25 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xd3d74a…