Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$148

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 03-13 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

93% 17% -$54

Other

5% 0% -$7

Crypto

2% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$30	565	0	+565	No	-$30	02-19 15:25
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$24	23	23	+0	No	+$4	03-04 01:49
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$17	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$17	02-19 15:25
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$13	49	49	+0	No	-$7	03-03 21:25
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$12	154	154	+0	No	$0	02-24 00:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$11	19	19	+0	Yes	-$9	02-28 19:37
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$10	51	0	+51	No	-$10	03-06 00:25
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$8	36	0	+36	Yes	+$28	02-23 20:59
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$6	545	0	+545	No	-$6	02-23 20:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$6	55	0	+55	No	-$6	03-10 15:48
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$3	02-19 23:47
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$3	43	0	+43	No	-$3	03-02 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 11:30 UTC	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	-$2	03-13 11:31
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	03-04 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:50 UTC	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	-$1	03-10 16:53
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	333	0	+333	No	-$1	03-10 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-13 11:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x47f979…
03-10 16:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb91187…
03-10 15:48:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x68dfcd…
03-10 15:48:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xff599b…
03-06 00:25:37	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0x3b0269…
03-04 16:57:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf14ca5…
03-04 01:49:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0xfe1882…
03-03 21:25:53	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	49	7¢	$3	0xaad404…
03-02 12:04:05	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xf42f24…
03-02 12:03:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x01b37b…
03-02 12:01:37	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0xf55e5d…
02-28 19:37:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x75b460…
02-28 16:27:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6fde2d…
02-24 00:42:22	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	SELL	154	4¢	$6	0xf8cbf5…
02-23 20:59:04	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xb6a194…
02-23 20:51:38	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	545	1¢	$6	0xd8368a…
02-23 20:51:26	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$6	0x08d12a…
02-19 23:47:28	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x79e0fc…
02-19 15:25:58	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0xdbb67a…
02-19 15:25:38	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	565	5¢	$30	0xba7b6e…