Compassionate-Recess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$991

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-09 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 31% -$52

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	10	$184	152	152	+0	Up	-$1	05-09 08:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	6	$76	80	80	+0	Down	+$28	05-09 07:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	10	$64	61	56	+5	Down	-$4	05-09 08:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$63	34	34	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 08:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$60	44	44	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 07:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	5	$59	49	49	+0	Up	+$29	05-09 08:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$51	88	88	+0	Down	+$19	05-09 07:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	10	$45	104	26	+77	Up	-$3	05-09 08:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$42	79	24	+56	Up	-$6	05-09 07:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	8	$40	78	28	+50	Up	+$8	05-09 08:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	6	$40	65	39	+26	Down	+$2	05-09 07:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	9	$35	45	29	+16	Up	+$10	05-09 06:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$26	58	15	+43	Up	-$6	05-09 06:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$26	41	16	+25	Up	+$0	05-09 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	6	$24	61	61	+0	Up	-$12	05-09 07:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	5	$22	70	50	+20	Down	-$6	05-09 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$19	81	0	+81	Up	-$19	05-09 07:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$18	79	79	+0	Down	-$16	05-09 08:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$16	145	0	+145	Down	-$16	05-09 07:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$11	37	37	+0	Up	-$1	05-09 07:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$11	42	0	+42	Down	-$11	05-09 08:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$11	90	0	+90	Down	-$11	05-09 08:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$11	80	0	+80	Up	-$11	05-09 06:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$9	35	0	+35	Down	-$9	05-09 08:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$9	33	0	+33	Down	-$9	05-09 07:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$6	36	14	+22	Up	-$5	05-09 08:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$5	65	0	+65	Down	-$5	05-09 07:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$4	39	0	+39	Down	-$4	05-09 06:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$2	10	0	+10	Down	-$2	05-09 06:36
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?	2	$2	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	05-09 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 08:56:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x696350…
05-09 08:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4eb32a…
05-09 08:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xe19e5b…
05-09 08:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xad94bc…
05-09 08:50:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x7f14c9…
05-09 08:48:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x8164dd…
05-09 08:47:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x7a9c1e…
05-09 08:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa6bced…
05-09 08:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x0c6c77…
05-09 08:42:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe2d297…
05-09 08:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4edc27…
05-09 08:40:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xaa3baa…
05-09 08:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x88fc0d…
05-09 08:39:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6436ed…
05-09 08:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x31a4a7…
05-09 08:38:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf3fceb…
05-09 08:38:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xff3a86…
05-09 08:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x295208…
05-09 08:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0xb90615…
05-09 08:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xb01813…
05-09 08:36:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xeea23e…
05-09 08:35:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xbec005…
05-09 08:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xae2417…
05-09 08:34:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x1a9abe…
05-09 08:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x101895…
05-09 08:33:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xe10586…
05-09 08:33:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xd801f4…
05-09 08:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x7322bd…
05-09 08:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4bfc2a…
05-09 08:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbfe50a…
05-09 08:30:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x3f2482…
05-09 08:30:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5957c4…
05-09 08:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc32c94…
05-09 08:29:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x1f62b2…
05-09 08:28:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x2fdd44…
05-09 08:26:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xda37dd…
05-09 08:26:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xcc178f…
05-09 08:25:34	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xec2697…
05-09 08:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x8fa4cf…
05-09 08:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc64151…
05-09 08:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2a8229…
05-09 08:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4b2a02…
05-09 08:18:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0xbeb4b9…
05-09 08:18:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0xa224a6…
05-09 08:17:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	56	41¢	$23	0x98edad…
05-09 08:17:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0x639749…
05-09 08:16:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x742f6f…
05-09 08:16:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0xb70a69…
05-09 08:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6dc7f9…
05-09 08:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x81e4c8…
05-09 08:14:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xa86427…
05-09 08:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xdf412b…
05-09 08:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0xd0ab9a…
05-09 08:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xe42231…
05-09 08:06:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4c92d9…
05-09 08:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf8a3a7…
05-09 08:05:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x547e03…
05-09 08:02:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5139e9…
05-09 08:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x33a533…
05-09 08:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7fe517…
05-09 08:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x52e118…
05-09 08:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xeaaad5…
05-09 08:01:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0xfba499…
05-09 08:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5548c0…
05-09 08:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf941b8…
05-09 07:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xd0488d…
05-09 07:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1be630…
05-09 07:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6e66b7…
05-09 07:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	39	53¢	$21	0x12606e…
05-09 07:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc07c0c…
05-09 07:56:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x2fa6b7…
05-09 07:54:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0cc2b8…
05-09 07:54:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0x927155…
05-09 07:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x9ec063…
05-09 07:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xee3f58…
05-09 07:47:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfb9dc2…
05-09 07:45:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe37938…
05-09 07:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x2a0483…
05-09 07:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xa0944e…
05-09 07:44:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x6382ec…
05-09 07:44:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x58f6a6…
05-09 07:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	41¢	$8	0x20e864…
05-09 07:41:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x530afb…
05-09 07:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x9fa251…
05-09 07:35:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4752a0…
05-09 07:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe633bf…
05-09 07:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xdcf6b8…
05-09 07:33:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x4ec98b…
05-09 07:32:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x3d76b6…
05-09 07:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xac7eb4…
05-09 07:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x95a50c…
05-09 07:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd6a136…
05-09 07:28:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xee777e…
05-09 07:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x3ed8ef…
05-09 07:27:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xee03e7…
05-09 07:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0x27d3e5…
05-09 07:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	81	23¢	$19	0x6c037a…
05-09 07:18:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6c40f7…
05-09 07:17:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x77cf2a…
05-09 07:16:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0xe9e590…