Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
20
lifetime
Volume
$85
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$70
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 07-04 12:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
86%
Politics
14%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -14 $-14 96¢ $-13 +$0 06-16 16:55
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No -12 $-11 97¢ $-12 $-1 06-08 09:47
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -11 $-10 90¢ $-10 +$0 06-08 09:36
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -11 $-10 88¢ $-10 $-0 06-14 12:30
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No -39 $-6 21¢ $-8 $-2 07-01 15:36
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 07-04 12:42
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-5 79¢ $-5 +$0 06-19 02:00
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 07:06
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -18 $-2 12¢ $-2 +$0 06-10 11:06
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -23 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-23 02:32