Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
28.4%
Resolved
8
Trades
13
lifetime
Volume
$25
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$32
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-26 19:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
74% 20% -$8
Other
26% 67% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +14 $4 100¢ $14 +$10 10-26 18:58
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10 $3 100¢ $10 +$7 10-26 18:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 10-26 19:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7 $2 41¢ $3 +$1 10-26 19:06