Rare-Armadillo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

17,357

Trades

39,408

lifetime

Volume

$543.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-14 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 79% -$1,043

Other

13% 98% -$1,038

Sports

1% 100% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 1986 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol blg t1 2026 07 04	5	$840	1,200	+1,200	Bilibili Gaming	-$840	07-04 07:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 18:15 UTC	107	$458	662	+662	Down	-$70	01-28 18:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 00:15 UTC	94	$408	718	+718	Down	+$50	01-29 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 01:30 UTC	23	$336	639	+639	Up	-$1	01-29 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:00 UTC	60	$329	549	+549	Down	-$168	01-28 23:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 12:30 UTC	49	$313	460	+460	Down	-$77	01-29 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	17	$301	452	+452	Down	-$159	10-09 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	19	$294	448	+448	Up	-$150	10-09 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:00 UTC	31	$291	661	+661	Down	-$123	02-28 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:05 UTC	13	$283	452	+452	Down	+$54	02-28 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	34	$280	532	+532	Down	-$17	10-08 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	33	$278	550	+550	Up	+$12	10-08 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:45 UTC	21	$269	430	+430	Up	+$46	02-28 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	27	$269	511	+511	Up	+$40	10-09 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	17	$269	402	+402	Down	+$32	10-09 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	25	$268	465	+465	Down	+$51	10-09 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	29	$267	527	+527	Down	-$86	10-12 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:55 UTC	8	$266	389	+389	Up	+$8	02-28 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	21	$261	494	+494	Down	-$13	10-08 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	13	$253	363	+363	Down	-$1	10-09 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	15	$246	378	+378	Up	+$19	10-09 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	14	$245	396	+396	Up	+$13	10-09 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 11:15 UTC	9	$243	456	+456	Down	-$19	01-29 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 06:50 UTC	15	$242	373	+373	Down	+$13	02-28 06:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 21:15 UTC	93	$237	443	+443	Down	+$69	01-28 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	14	$236	435	+435	Down	-$20	10-08 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:55 UTC	26	$235	490	+490	Down	+$52	02-28 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 16:10 UTC	16	$234	439	+439	Up	+$89	02-28 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:50 UTC	19	$232	459	+459	Down	-$25	02-28 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	18	$231	356	+356	Down	+$19	10-09 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 00:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xaca6bd…
10-14 00:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x78c338…
10-13 02:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x5dc35c…
10-13 02:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x01ae89…
10-13 02:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x5541e5…
10-13 02:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xffcb4b…
10-13 02:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x588ce9…
10-13 02:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xff8106…
10-13 02:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xcb27cb…
10-13 02:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x7be8cf…
10-13 02:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x4c332e…
10-13 02:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xb103c5…
10-13 02:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0xb65069…
10-13 02:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xbb67a1…
10-13 02:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x450c24…
10-13 02:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x2d6a71…
10-13 02:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xa8a0b3…
10-13 02:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xe6337e…
10-13 02:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x9ba098…
10-13 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1f422e…
10-13 02:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xefad43…
10-13 02:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xf6ae86…
10-13 02:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x7a5ef8…
10-13 02:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xcdfe86…
10-13 02:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x0fc495…
10-13 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x810964…
10-13 01:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4ed190…
10-13 01:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x2691a0…
10-13 01:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x5fca49…
10-13 01:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x9e76d5…
10-13 01:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xdd5cb1…
10-13 01:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x7796ec…
10-13 01:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0xb7efb1…
10-13 01:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0xed3bd3…
10-13 01:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xd42462…
10-13 01:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x873580…
10-13 01:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe56c11…
10-13 01:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xe0bb1e…
10-13 01:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x92ad4c…
10-13 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x5ca4c7…
10-13 01:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x54ee94…
10-13 01:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x9c5971…
10-13 01:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xe71eaf…
10-13 01:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x821c46…
10-13 01:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa2e03f…
10-13 01:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xd03c43…
10-13 01:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x8e8acc…
10-13 01:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x764fae…
10-13 01:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4bda94…
10-13 01:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x2b7418…
10-13 01:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xa18cd5…
10-13 01:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x00bd6f…
10-13 01:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x7ae9c0…
10-13 01:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa4251d…
10-13 01:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe50592…
10-13 01:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x7ba311…
10-13 01:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x457c5b…
10-13 01:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xc393b0…
10-13 01:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x40c215…
10-13 01:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x063998…
10-13 01:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0xf4d997…
10-13 01:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0x63065d…
10-13 01:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x74130b…
10-13 01:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x5c22a4…
10-13 01:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x1fe077…
10-13 01:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x3e2b06…
10-13 01:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xb3d3b3…
10-13 01:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x278273…
10-13 01:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe251d5…
10-13 01:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xb04f68…
10-13 01:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xc197b9…
10-13 01:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xe04d50…
10-13 01:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x5777e5…
10-13 01:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x0ded33…
10-13 01:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x9dc247…
10-13 01:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0xd2972f…
10-13 01:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xfe1659…
10-13 01:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xd82b5c…
10-13 01:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x0856f0…
10-13 01:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1db63c…
10-13 01:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xb7c96d…
10-13 01:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa3e79c…
10-13 01:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4278b6…
10-13 01:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x48e90a…
10-13 01:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xbe77f7…
10-13 01:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x02e8c3…
10-13 01:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x0d04ad…
10-13 01:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	31¢	$11	0xe2888f…
10-13 01:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x3fe7e7…
10-13 01:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x5ab1f3…
10-13 01:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x535b1a…
10-13 01:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x2be312…
10-13 01:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xc58587…
10-13 01:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x699f3a…
10-13 01:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x3ca6ba…
10-13 01:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x3c0305…
10-13 01:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xcaf70a…
10-13 01:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xfea754…
10-13 01:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x1f4a00…
10-13 01:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xa0b6a6…