Simplistic-Servant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$289

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-19 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 50% $-5

Other

16% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$60	52	52	+0	open	—	03-06 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	5	$12	113	13	+100	Down	+$0	05-13 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	4	$10	12	12	+0	Up	$-4	05-13 22:38
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	03-07 21:09
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	03-05 20:05
bitcoin above 76k on march 5	2	$8	64	64	+0	open	—	03-04 17:20
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$8	15	15	+0	open	—	03-07 23:32
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$7	387	387	+0	open	—	03-07 23:31
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	3	$6	91	39	+53	open	—	03-22 21:55
btc updown 15m 1772918100	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-07 21:16
bitcoin above 76k on march 9	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	03-04 17:30
bitcoin above 64k on march 1	4	$5	15	15	+0	open	—	02-28 09:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$5	29	29	+0	open	—	03-12 12:35
btc updown 15m 1772503200	4	$5	10	9	+0	open	—	03-03 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	4	$5	21	21	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 22:39
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	4	$5	9	9	+0	open	—	03-01 20:20
bitcoin above 66k on march 5	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-02 19:41
bitcoin above 66k on march 6	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-28 23:43
bitcoin above 64k on march 7	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-03 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 18:13
bitcoin up or down march 7 4pm et	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	03-07 21:15
bitcoin above 68k on march 7	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	03-01 14:45
bitcoin up or down on february 27	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-27 20:15
bitcoin above 62k on march 3	2	$4	200	200	+0	open	—	03-03 10:05
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$4	122	122	+0	open	—	03-07 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$4	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 22:10
btc updown 4h 1770670800	3	$3	18	8	+10	open	—	02-09 23:46
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	3	$3	40	27	+13	open	—	03-03 12:07
btc updown 5m 1772498700	3	$3	19	3	+17	open	—	03-03 00:48
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$3	9	9	+0	open	—	03-03 13:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 20:06:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc17e12…
05-19 19:44:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x20a19b…
05-19 19:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xf5272d…
05-19 19:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x693df0…
05-17 09:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6063d8…
05-15 00:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xaefba9…
05-15 00:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x204b2c…
05-14 18:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xeb07e7…
05-13 22:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xdc41ad…
05-13 22:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x1ec57d…
05-13 22:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xbf5583…
05-13 22:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9caa3a…
05-13 22:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7803c0…
05-13 22:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb1f001…
05-13 22:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9c9c30…
05-13 22:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x1845a3…
05-13 22:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc051b2…
05-13 22:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x89cdd8…
05-13 21:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb464d5…
05-13 21:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0x895b71…
05-13 21:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xdb6cce…
05-13 21:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x8a1c27…
05-13 21:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x89b341…
03-22 21:55:27	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xf26ccb…
03-22 21:55:07	will crude oil cl settle at 85 90 in march	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x4ea767…
03-18 18:53:39	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x232d80…
03-12 12:35:35	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x223a21…
03-10 18:41:05	will crude oil cl settle at 85 90 in march	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x063522…
03-10 18:40:47	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xdcf889…
03-09 20:27:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xbe015e…
03-09 20:24:59	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$1	0x15a4be…
03-08 21:24:55	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0x2ebf9d…
03-07 23:32:15	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x45161f…
03-07 23:31:07	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	387	1¢	$2	0x23e532…
03-07 22:15:11	bitcoin up or down march 7 5pm et	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe14969…
03-07 22:13:55	btc updown 15m 1772920800	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3975bd…
03-07 22:13:27	btc updown 15m 1772920800	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd5ecfe…
03-07 22:12:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0x40a363…
03-07 21:39:35	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xe1f056…
03-07 21:16:55	btc updown 15m 1772918100	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x7dd006…
03-07 21:16:19	btc updown 15m 1772918100	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x06b0f1…
03-07 21:15:55	bitcoin up or down march 7 4pm et	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xd76bbb…
03-07 21:10:01	bitcoin up or down march 7 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x260562…
03-07 21:09:29	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xccf30a…
03-07 21:03:57	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	No	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xcbf6d7…
03-06 19:16:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xba1b13…
03-06 19:15:19	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x95a706…
03-06 19:14:31	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x91a595…
03-06 19:13:23	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x1201a4…
03-06 19:13:07	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x931021…
03-06 19:10:17	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x500a1d…
03-06 12:08:27	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x35269e…
03-06 12:07:41	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xe0c19f…
03-06 12:07:13	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x83e3b9…
03-06 12:00:45	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x89dec7…
03-06 12:00:33	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3e30a2…
03-05 20:12:15	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x64d5e4…
03-05 20:09:29	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6e7e09…
03-05 20:05:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xa451df…
03-05 13:04:57	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x1c91e4…
03-05 00:15:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x6a8fdf…
03-05 00:15:05	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	No	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x2810e5…
03-04 21:42:57	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x2d6c04…
03-04 21:41:47	bitcoin above 56k on march 7	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x69e40a…
03-04 21:41:23	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x4753e4…
03-04 21:41:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7a7abe…
03-04 21:09:33	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x80cb40…
03-04 21:09:17	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	387	1¢	$5	0x4a7887…
03-04 17:30:39	bitcoin above 76k on march 9	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xa739f4…
03-04 17:30:29	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	92¢	$29	0x1547d8…
03-04 17:20:11	bitcoin above 76k on march 5	Yes	SELL	64	11¢	$7	0x0fca8b…
03-03 21:00:23	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x6aec99…
03-03 21:00:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$1	0x3c516b…
03-03 13:57:11	btc updown 15m 1772545500	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x59c6d7…
03-03 13:48:57	bitcoin above 76k on march 5	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x103cb2…
03-03 13:47:09	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xe4230d…
03-03 13:46:23	bitcoin above 56k on march 5	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xc8fd44…
03-03 13:34:23	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x67a527…
03-03 12:08:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xe0eb3c…
03-03 12:07:43	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x310bf4…
03-03 12:07:15	bitcoin above 76k on march 9	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9bb93b…
03-03 10:07:19	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x065e99…
03-03 10:05:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 3	No	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0xa8ac5f…
03-03 02:30:57	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x0b8280…
03-03 02:21:51	btc updown 5m 1772504400	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbd2b88…
03-03 02:18:43	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	No	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xba9767…
03-03 02:12:27	bitcoin up or down march 2 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf364a9…
03-03 02:10:35	btc updown 15m 1772503200	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xb605b7…
03-03 02:10:07	btc updown 15m 1772503200	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc4c76d…
03-03 02:09:21	btc updown 15m 1772503200	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe4351f…
03-03 02:09:01	btc updown 15m 1772503200	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe47802…
03-03 02:05:51	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x747284…
03-03 01:57:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 3	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4ad4c4…
03-03 01:16:55	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xec54b0…
03-03 00:57:35	bitcoin above 68k on march 5	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x1a7335…
03-03 00:48:11	btc updown 5m 1772498700	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbcb83e…
03-03 00:46:09	btc updown 5m 1772498700	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xabed2e…
03-03 00:45:53	btc updown 5m 1772498700	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4e27f6…
03-03 00:35:07	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x47c4ca…
03-03 00:21:17	bitcoin above 68k on march 8	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xd1462b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	39	$11.9K	4,743	04-01 05:38
Incomparable-Outrage 0x3085…7568	38	$5.63K	2,407	03-31 16:58
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	37	$3.05K	445	03-27 21:25
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	35	$2.89K	795	03-30 18:17
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	34	$32.6K	434	05-13 21:48
(anonymous) 0x9a6e…35b4	30	$2.42K	920	03-27 10:01
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f	30	$1.54K	921	03-31 12:57
Giddy-Cone 0xbeda…4acb	29	$7.41K	2,326	03-15 08:46