Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
open
Total volume
$651
Trades
120
Unique wallets
56
Liquidity
$16,564
Latest YES mid
49¢
Latest NO mid
51¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 00:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+20.7¢
(top1%: 84% YES on $132
vs crowd: 63% YES on $528)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $97 | $111 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $59 | $36 | +$23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $177 | $48 | +$129 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $110 | $21 | +$89 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $45 | $32 | +$13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $8 | $2 | +$6 |
| Median | 10 | $21 | $24 | $2 |
| Below median | 14 | $76 | $2 | +$74 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $25 | $8 | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $21 | $4 | +$16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $16 | $100 | $84 |
| unranked | 3 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +155 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +153 | $73 | $73 | 6 | 05-15 00:27 |
| Drab-Igloo 0xde4b…4137 | Up | +57 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Up | +50 | $21 | $21 | 10 | 05-15 00:23 |
| Whimsical-Sustenance 0x903c…5017 | Up | +47 | $19 | $31 | 2 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | +47 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | +31 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Awful-Cat 0x1107…de67 | Up | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Internal-Downgrade 0xdde9…7d14 | Down | +28 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | +27 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 05-15 00:27 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | +26 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-15 00:27 |
| Mortified-Nightclub 0x4b5c…8aa4 | Down | +23 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Shocked-Overshoot 0x6a2d…a82d | Up | +21 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +21 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 00:15 |
| Monthly-Lollipop 0xa823…6215 | Up | +20 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 05-15 00:27 |
| Kind-Rawhide 0xee9d…f770 | Up | +15 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Quixotic-Cultivar 0x3d1e…f604 | Up | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 00:27 |
| Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Up | +11 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Winged-Wasting 0x002a…8d89 | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Standard-Divine 0x344f…9dec | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-15 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe512…7aa3 | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-15 00:20 |
| Vicious-Patrol 0xbe53…2dba | Up | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Lovable-System 0xc862…adec | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:20 |
| Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | Down | +8 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Internal-Downgrade 0xdde9…7d14 | Up | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Enchanted-Simvastatin 0xc35e…0ab3 | Up | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 23:57 |
| Diligent-Reflection 0x7503…c91e | Down | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 00:15 |
| Exalted-Epithelium 0xb6c4…9932 | Up | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 00:15 |
| Glass-Macrame 0x1d33…899b | Up | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 00:27 |
| Yellow-Cobbler 0xa314…c23b | Up | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 00:15 |
| Remote-Zone 0x935f…5aa4 | Up | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Lovable-System 0xc862…adec | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 00:15 |
| Noxious-Auditorium 0x546a…1988 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 00:20 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 00:15 |
| Severe-Sole 0x621e…0caf | Up | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:27 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 00:27 |
| Silly-Flint 0x53e6…07ac | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Well-Informed-Clause 0x5a39…8380 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 00:10 |
| Numb-Ballpark-Marketing 0x619e…36ff | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xb11d…52b7 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Poor-Banner 0xd8e6…998e | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:15 |
| Big-Warrior 0x9012…dc9d | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Aged-Tractor-Metro 0x9c63…8357 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Silly-Banking 0xd638…23a7 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 00:27:53 | Numb-Ballpark-Marketing 0x619e…36ff | Up | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x572819… |
| 05-15 00:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | SELL | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x40b894… |
| 05-15 00:27:52 | (anonymous) 0xbadb…92e5 | Down | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x9b1ca3… |
| 05-15 00:27:50 | Numb-Ballpark-Marketing 0x619e…36ff | Down | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xda6860… |
| 05-15 00:27:46 | Monthly-Lollipop 0xa823…6215 | Up | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x3ab241… |
| 05-15 00:27:45 | Monthly-Lollipop 0xa823…6215 | Up | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x289b48… |
| 05-15 00:27:45 | Monthly-Lollipop 0xa823…6215 | Up | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xfa7bfa… |
| 05-15 00:27:43 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xbf3a10… |
| 05-15 00:27:43 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 26 | 80¢ | $21 | 0x4ec50b… |
| 05-15 00:27:43 | Trustworthy-Governance 0xec69…4ed1 | Up | SELL | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xe1ad3e… |
| 05-15 00:27:43 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0xf74a1c… |
| 05-15 00:27:43 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x469a7c… |
| 05-15 00:27:43 | Severe-Sole 0x621e…0caf | Up | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x0b0c4b… |
| 05-15 00:27:43 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xf96141… |
| 05-15 00:27:41 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 22 | 74¢ | $16 | 0x0c5845… |
| 05-15 00:27:34 | Needy-Coordination 0x3dea…7b7b | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x7f0e75… |
| 05-15 00:27:32 | Glass-Macrame 0x1d33…899b | Up | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xecee5d… |
| 05-15 00:27:32 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x824fdd… |
| 05-15 00:27:32 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | SELL | 17 | 73¢ | $12 | 0x5eb098… |
| 05-15 00:27:32 | Quixotic-Cultivar 0x3d1e…f604 | Up | BUY | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0x9b58c0… |
| 05-15 00:25:23 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xc8b4cd… |
| 05-15 00:25:23 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0xee196e… |
| 05-15 00:25:23 | Mortified-Nightclub 0x4b5c…8aa4 | Down | BUY | 23 | 31¢ | $7 | 0x7163fb… |
| 05-15 00:25:21 | Quaint-Photograph 0xb3ea…0d2a | Up | SELL | 67 | 72¢ | $48 | 0x7efd88… |
| 05-15 00:25:21 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | SELL | 16 | 77¢ | $12 | 0xf1b33e… |
| 05-15 00:25:21 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x11f56a… |
| 05-15 00:25:16 | Selfish-Cucumber 0x69be…e398 | Down | SELL | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xcd4b3d… |
| 05-15 00:25:14 | Silly-Flint 0x53e6…07ac | Up | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xa4dd31… |
| 05-15 00:25:05 | Vicious-Patrol 0xbe53…2dba | Up | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x45e384… |
| 05-15 00:25:04 | Exalted-Epithelium 0xb6c4…9932 | Up | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x5b88a3… |
| 05-15 00:25:02 | Awful-Cat 0x1107…de67 | Up | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x81b813… |
| 05-15 00:23:03 | Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Up | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x0ea20e… |
| 05-15 00:22:58 | Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Up | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x403780… |
| 05-15 00:22:58 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | Down | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x5530a2… |
| 05-15 00:22:56 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xebbe65… |
| 05-15 00:22:54 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x0b7398… |
| 05-15 00:22:49 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x2f22de… |
| 05-15 00:22:45 | Kind-Rawhide 0xee9d…f770 | Up | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $7 | 0xb8fa2b… |
| 05-15 00:22:45 | (anonymous) 0xb11d…52b7 | Down | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xf0ddc4… |
| 05-15 00:22:45 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Up | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xff50c8… |
| 05-15 00:22:44 | Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Up | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xaee4ea… |
| 05-15 00:22:44 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | Up | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x98bb27… |
| 05-15 00:22:44 | Internal-Downgrade 0xdde9…7d14 | Down | BUY | 28 | 54¢ | $15 | 0x208430… |
| 05-15 00:22:38 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x9a3185… |
| 05-15 00:22:38 | Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Up | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x39974a… |
| 05-15 00:22:37 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | BUY | 6 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x1a9b44… |
| 05-15 00:22:35 | Internal-Downgrade 0xdde9…7d14 | Up | BUY | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x222d79… |
| 05-15 00:22:33 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Up | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x96d610… |
| 05-15 00:22:33 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x277c28… |
| 05-15 00:22:28 | Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Down | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x951aa8… |
| 05-15 00:22:28 | Drab-Igloo 0xde4b…4137 | Up | BUY | 57 | 53¢ | $30 | 0x33d0e2… |
| 05-15 00:22:26 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | Up | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x9e4dff… |
| 05-15 00:22:24 | Sorrowful-Stove 0x5da6…370d | Up | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x436b79… |
| 05-15 00:22:19 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xdca063… |
| 05-15 00:22:19 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Up | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x468375… |
| 05-15 00:22:17 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | Up | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x480f69… |
| 05-15 00:22:14 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | SELL | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x7c394c… |
| 05-15 00:22:14 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | SELL | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x8d5ab0… |
| 05-15 00:22:14 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | SELL | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xce4992… |
| 05-15 00:20:24 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 1 | 55¢ | $0 | 0x39921a… |
| 05-15 00:20:24 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xdb1e61… |
| 05-15 00:20:24 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Down | BUY | 15 | 55¢ | $8 | 0xcd58ac… |
| 05-15 00:20:24 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | Down | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x7e155f… |
| 05-15 00:20:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 29 | 46¢ | $13 | 0x9b9f48… |
| 05-15 00:20:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 26 | 45¢ | $11 | 0x685c59… |
| 05-15 00:20:13 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 50 | 45¢ | $22 | 0x4175a9… |
| 05-15 00:20:13 | Shocked-Direction 0xef9e…150c | Up | SELL | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x0c5e8a… |
| 05-15 00:20:13 | Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Up | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xffb5e7… |
| 05-15 00:20:13 | (anonymous) 0xe512…7aa3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x5fb91b… |
| 05-15 00:20:11 | Lovable-System 0xc862…adec | Down | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x28d4ca… |
| 05-15 00:20:10 | Whispered-Nightgown 0xe700…a18e | Up | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x5a08ea… |
| 05-15 00:20:10 | Noxious-Auditorium 0x546a…1988 | Up | BUY | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x221f96… |
| 05-15 00:20:10 | Shocked-Direction 0xef9e…150c | Up | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x7edd7f… |
| 05-15 00:17:57 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x3111b7… |
| 05-15 00:17:55 | Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Up | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x340335… |
| 05-15 00:17:55 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | Up | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xae4257… |
| 05-15 00:17:55 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x2a6313… |
| 05-15 00:17:53 | Silly-Banking 0xd638…23a7 | Down | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x9a90d2… |
| 05-15 00:17:51 | Standard-Divine 0x344f…9dec | Up | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x882750… |
| 05-15 00:17:51 | Winged-Wasting 0x002a…8d89 | Up | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xf3e804… |
| 05-15 00:17:50 | Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Up | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x25054f… |
| 05-15 00:17:50 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | Down | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x3b557e… |
| 05-15 00:17:46 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x3af944… |
| 05-15 00:17:46 | Big-Warrior 0x9012…dc9d | Down | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xda16d3… |
| 05-15 00:17:37 | Aged-Tractor-Metro 0x9c63…8357 | Down | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xbf669a… |
| 05-15 00:17:37 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xf54cbc… |
| 05-15 00:17:37 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xf5d507… |
| 05-15 00:17:37 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | Up | BUY | 0 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x813cdd… |
| 05-15 00:17:37 | Standard-Divine 0x344f…9dec | Up | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xaad5d0… |
| 05-15 00:17:37 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x297aec… |
| 05-15 00:17:37 | Shocked-Overshoot 0x6a2d…a82d | Up | BUY | 11 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xfd4f9f… |
| 05-15 00:17:37 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x1e7c08… |
| 05-15 00:17:37 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 26 | 34¢ | $9 | 0xac62c3… |
| 05-15 00:17:36 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | Down | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xd6c9fb… |
| 05-15 00:17:34 | Jittery-Procurement 0x19b2…3701 | Up | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x34b932… |
| 05-15 00:17:34 | Whimsical-Sustenance 0x903c…5017 | Up | SELL | 17 | 34¢ | $6 | 0x61fd07… |
| 05-15 00:17:32 | Vivacious-Prince 0xcfa7…f861 | Up | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xda16e3… |
| 05-15 00:17:29 | Remote-Zone 0x935f…5aa4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xcdbd18… |
| 05-15 00:17:29 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xf7bc27… |
| 05-15 00:17:27 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | BUY | 155 | 64¢ | $100 | 0x147321… |