Legitimate-Threshold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$494

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

Trades

22,169

lifetime

Volume

$222.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-06 02:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% $-494

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6923 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up		+7	$6	100¢	$7	+$0	05-15 01:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	44	$1.3K	753	762	-9	open	—	05-15 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	41	$1.1K	542	642	-100	open	—	05-15 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	44	$1.1K	1,318	0	+1,318	open	—	05-15 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	46	$963	1,104	0	+1,104	open	—	05-15 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	54	$957	1,206	0	+1,206	open	—	05-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	35	$909	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	05-15 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	47	$909	1,225	0	+1,225	open	—	05-15 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	73	$777	1,038	0	+1,038	open	—	05-15 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	36	$672	807	0	+807	open	—	05-26 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	49	$666	835	0	+835	open	—	05-15 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	43	$643	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	05-16 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	37	$630	762	0	+762	open	—	05-19 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	37	$623	805	0	+805	open	—	05-18 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	56	$611	900	0	+900	open	—	05-16 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	22	$608	704	0	+704	open	—	05-15 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	45	$602	786	0	+786	open	—	05-17 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	36	$600	718	0	+718	open	—	05-15 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	31	$598	756	0	+756	open	—	05-16 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	33	$591	690	0	+690	open	—	05-16 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	37	$585	729	0	+729	open	—	05-15 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	29	$582	747	0	+747	open	—	05-16 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	28	$581	693	0	+693	open	—	05-15 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	30	$580	694	0	+694	open	—	05-15 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	33	$578	808	0	+808	open	—	05-26 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	43	$574	731	0	+731	open	—	05-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	39	$573	712	0	+712	open	—	05-15 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	34	$564	618	0	+618	open	—	05-19 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	24	$559	750	0	+750	open	—	05-15 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$551	320	320	+0	Down	+$83	05-10 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	29	$543	862	0	+862	open	—	05-16 03:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 02:10:45	sol updown 5m 1780711800	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa59a7b…
06-06 02:10:22	btc updown 5m 1780711800	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1a1897…
06-06 02:10:16	sol updown 5m 1780711800	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x81ffb9…
06-06 02:07:57	sol updown 5m 1780711500	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7addfa…
06-06 02:07:57	sol updown 5m 1780711500	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x63502f…
06-06 02:07:54	sol updown 5m 1780711500	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd5b446…
06-06 02:06:52	sol updown 5m 1780711500	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xd150b3…
06-06 02:05:58	sol updown 5m 1780711500	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xe1d5b5…
06-06 02:05:58	sol updown 5m 1780711500	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x607568…
06-06 02:05:54	sol updown 5m 1780711500	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x94619d…
05-31 20:53:05	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xde54a3…
05-31 20:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x505d59…
05-31 20:47:29	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x021e62…
05-31 20:47:22	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc17189…
05-31 20:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8876e2…
05-31 20:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x11c3d9…
05-31 17:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb08f88…
05-31 17:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x11b7dc…
05-31 16:01:39	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe75ef4…
05-31 16:01:39	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x03cb65…
05-31 16:01:32	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xded951…
05-31 15:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7cca6d…
05-31 15:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xcd6fa5…
05-31 15:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x9f7329…
05-31 15:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbaa38e…
05-31 15:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x941549…
05-31 15:36:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb75620…
05-31 15:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x7b2a25…
05-31 15:26:41	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x3d0121…
05-31 15:25:43	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x56160a…
05-31 15:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbe56e2…
05-31 15:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x69095e…
05-31 15:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x115dd2…
05-31 15:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x6b8dfd…
05-31 14:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc1ce00…
05-31 14:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x96b038…
05-31 14:41:05	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x4319f0…
05-31 14:41:05	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x3e9c41…
05-31 14:32:19	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa173eb…
05-31 14:32:12	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9bb33d…
05-31 14:32:12	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x3c721c…
05-31 14:32:12	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x2c45ea…
05-31 14:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x00336b…
05-31 14:05:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x9e22af…
05-31 13:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0bd21d…
05-31 13:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x55e77b…
05-31 12:55:58	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x866935…
05-31 12:41:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcc4870…
05-31 12:40:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x3c4f56…
05-31 12:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x9c8845…
05-31 12:26:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe09b97…
05-31 12:11:38	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf4eab1…
05-31 12:11:38	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7f5553…
05-31 12:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x5e6cf9…
05-31 12:11:38	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x19b54b…
05-31 12:11:07	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xfb1ee4…
05-31 12:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xbab332…
05-31 12:05:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x10c920…
05-31 11:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0faf2c…
05-31 11:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xe1011a…
05-31 11:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x157bea…
05-31 11:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc923e7…
05-31 11:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xdbc378…
05-31 11:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x0d0d54…
05-31 11:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2f5df0…
05-31 11:11:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x576142…
05-31 11:11:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3e3f0c…
05-31 11:00:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x497726…
05-31 11:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8bf5fd…
05-31 11:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x96d99f…
05-31 10:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xa174a7…
05-31 10:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x93cfe3…
05-31 10:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6bf8a2…
05-31 10:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x3806cf…
05-31 10:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xe54d41…
05-31 10:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc0085b…
05-31 10:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0xc47d9a…
05-31 10:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x0500df…
05-31 10:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x3f3b1f…
05-31 10:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf53a74…
05-31 10:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd50c3d…
05-31 10:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x720232…
05-31 08:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x7b4eb3…
05-31 08:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xfc548d…
05-31 08:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xcdce17…
05-31 07:50:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8258ee…
05-31 07:50:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x55d193…
05-31 06:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xccb165…
05-31 06:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0eab71…
05-31 05:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1ac6af…
05-31 05:50:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xecb8e9…
05-31 04:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x3afd93…
05-31 04:55:34	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x940032…
05-31 04:55:34	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x4fd4ad…
05-31 04:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x83c24b…
05-31 04:26:21	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x16df18…
05-31 04:26:19	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x136843…
05-31 04:26:15	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf64341…
05-31 04:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x5c7a2e…
05-31 04:01:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x30e1f4…