Realized P&L
+$32.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
43,570
Trades
330,591
lifetime
Volume
$1.36M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$927
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 09-03 15:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Crypto
89% 60% +$30,661
Politics
6% 31% -$197
Other
5% 65% +$2,199
Sports
0% 49% +$0
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4620 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +401 $317 82¢ $327 +$10 06-11 12:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +200 $187 98¢ $196 +$9 06-11 11:06
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +121 $113 97¢ $118 +$5 06-11 12:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +401 $84 18¢ $74 -$10 06-11 01:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +70 $53 90¢ $63 +$10 06-11 03:26
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +79 $30 54¢ $43 +$13 06-10 17:27
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +79 $51 46¢ $36 -$15 06-11 12:10
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +39 $29 88¢ $35 +$5 06-12 17:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +16 $14 74¢ $12 -$2 06-11 12:10
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +70 $19 10¢ $7 -$12 06-11 12:10
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +39 $20 12¢ $5 -$15 06-24 18:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +16 $6 26¢ $4 -$2 06-11 06:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +200 $13 2¢ $4 -$9 06-11 12:10
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +121 $9 3¢ $4 -$5 06-11 01:07