Capital-Sousaphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

836

lifetime

Volume

$9.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-15 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 68% $-14

Politics

10% — —

Other

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781554500	9	$662	2,095	2,095	+0	open	—	06-15 20:20
btc updown 5m 1781554800	2	$400	1,433	0	+1,433	open	—	06-15 20:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$358	0	369	-369	open	—	06-15 15:19
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$333	387	0	+387	open	—	04-09 15:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$310	0	345	-345	open	—	06-15 15:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	1	$300	390	0	+390	open	—	05-23 20:24
2026 masters tournament top20 scottie scheffler	1	$200	253	0	+253	open	—	04-09 16:16
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	1	$100	143	0	+143	open	—	04-09 15:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	7	$100	212	0	+212	Up	+$6	05-12 20:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	6	$100	212	0	+212	Up	+$6	05-12 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	16	$100	212	0	+212	Down	+$6	05-12 19:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	21	$100	212	0	+212	Down	+$6	05-12 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	11	$99	212	0	+212	Down	+$7	05-12 20:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$98	212	0	+212	Up	+$8	05-12 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$95	212	0	+212	Down	+$11	05-12 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	10	$92	196	0	+196	Down	+$14	05-12 19:40
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$90	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	06-15 15:19
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	1	$85	1,224	0	+1,224	open	—	04-09 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	15	$83	212	0	+212	Up	+$23	05-12 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$57	67	0	+67	Down	$-57	05-11 17:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$51	156	156	+0	open	—	04-15 17:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$50	106	0	+106	Down	$-50	05-12 21:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$38	0	42	-42	open	—	06-15 15:20
btc updown 5m 1781555100	1	$35	66	0	+66	open	—	06-15 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$32	31	5	+26	Up	+$2	05-04 21:49
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$32	0	360	-360	open	—	06-15 15:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$32	106	0	+106	Down	$-32	05-12 19:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$31	59	0	+59	Up	+$28	05-12 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$31	106	0	+106	Down	$-31	05-12 20:30
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	4	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	04-16 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 20:27:16	btc updown 5m 1781555100	Down	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x05cd79…
06-15 20:24:03	btc updown 5m 1781554800	Down	BUY	609	33¢	$200	0xc1f9be…
06-15 20:23:52	btc updown 5m 1781554800	Down	BUY	824	24¢	$200	0x7c785e…
06-15 20:20:00	btc updown 5m 1781554500	Up	SELL	2,095	1¢	$28	0x8e655b…
06-15 20:19:04	btc updown 5m 1781554500	Up	BUY	150	21¢	$32	0x6013e5…
06-15 20:18:48	btc updown 5m 1781554500	Up	BUY	500	27¢	$137	0x100991…
06-15 20:18:31	btc updown 5m 1781554500	Up	BUY	800	29¢	$232	0xd70489…
06-15 20:18:16	btc updown 5m 1781554500	Up	BUY	500	36¢	$181	0x3b4c84…
06-15 20:18:06	btc updown 5m 1781554500	Up	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xabb266…
06-15 20:17:49	btc updown 5m 1781554500	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc2270f…
06-15 20:16:52	btc updown 5m 1781554500	Up	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x0d2158…
06-15 20:16:27	btc updown 5m 1781554500	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x8b8d59…
06-15 15:20:03	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xc88e58…
06-15 15:20:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0xce700b…
06-15 15:20:01	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	15¢	$9	0x91a5ad…
06-15 15:20:01	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x8681f9…
06-15 15:20:01	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0x447a03…
06-15 15:20:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x19461e…
06-15 15:20:00	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x5c3d47…
06-15 15:19:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	264	1¢	$3	0x8fba16…
06-15 15:19:57	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	9¢	$32	0xd81358…
06-15 15:19:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	369	97¢	$358	0xd295f5…
06-15 15:19:57	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	9¢	$90	0x70e136…
06-15 15:19:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	345	90¢	$310	0x698f64…
05-23 20:24:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0x6875df…
05-19 22:49:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2b553e…
05-19 22:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf571fb…
05-19 22:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xcc10d1…
05-19 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x782007…
05-19 22:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x8fe052…
05-19 22:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0e0e19…
05-19 22:09:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x40819e…
05-19 21:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x6aab9b…
05-19 21:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6d86c5…
05-19 21:09:44	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x6535cc…
05-19 20:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xda9248…
05-19 20:59:28	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x7f4d99…
05-19 20:54:28	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0x696834…
05-19 20:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x373dea…
05-19 20:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x26cb9b…
05-19 20:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4f2714…
05-19 20:19:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x43a0b3…
05-19 20:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xd1e590…
05-19 20:14:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x29c972…
05-19 19:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xce1955…
05-19 19:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x19389a…
05-19 19:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x548a87…
05-19 15:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc95494…
05-19 15:54:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5ba1ba…
05-19 15:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x29a5a7…
05-19 15:19:35	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x9a9312…
05-19 15:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x046e15…
05-19 15:14:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa555a5…
05-19 14:34:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x2c8b9c…
05-19 14:19:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xde6fc1…
05-19 14:04:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x761e5d…
05-19 14:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xf4831f…
05-19 13:24:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa9f783…
05-19 13:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x791218…
05-19 13:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x724bd4…
05-19 13:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe78a79…
05-19 12:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x196e22…
05-19 12:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x74c5e2…
05-19 12:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd0b27e…
05-19 12:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x322dfb…
05-19 12:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x86f6c4…
05-19 12:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x70d3f3…
05-19 12:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0xc165cb…
05-19 12:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x233af3…
05-19 12:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe6531d…
05-19 12:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb92df3…
05-19 12:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc7040e…
05-19 12:19:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x1f6564…
05-19 12:09:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0xa12dff…
05-19 12:04:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x942e63…
05-19 11:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x22b0aa…
05-19 11:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xa30ec1…
05-19 11:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc65b30…
05-19 11:19:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x624f4a…
05-19 11:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa65b01…
05-19 11:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x064109…
05-19 10:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7a53a0…
05-19 10:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x80deec…
05-19 10:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xcda3df…
05-19 09:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x0320e5…
05-19 09:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x13a787…
05-19 09:54:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd1863d…
05-19 09:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x270960…
05-19 09:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x0fd012…
05-19 09:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x69918b…
05-19 09:34:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x914722…
05-19 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x37ac16…
05-19 09:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x31be83…
05-19 09:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x74043f…
05-19 09:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5f63a6…
05-19 09:04:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xec9521…
05-19 08:49:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x651dc4…
05-19 08:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x785e28…
05-19 08:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x017539…
05-19 08:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x842ab0…