Careful-Sulfur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

147

Trades

1,225

lifetime

Volume

$4.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-24 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-51

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 723 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$82	122	95	+27	Down	+$2	05-13 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	18	$76	61	61	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	10	$68	53	39	+14	Up	$-2	05-13 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	7	$61	63	49	+14	Up	+$1	05-13 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	9	$58	120	66	+54	Up	+$8	05-13 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	11	$58	48	40	+8	open	—	05-14 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	10	$55	49	37	+11	Down	+$3	05-13 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	5	$53	68	43	+25	open	—	05-13 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	8	$52	125	125	+0	Down	+$10	05-13 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	8	$49	46	36	+9	Down	+$1	05-13 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	7	$48	36	26	+10	Up	$-2	05-13 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	9	$47	37	26	+11	Down	$-3	05-13 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$47	47	34	+14	Up	$-4	05-13 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	9	$47	37	27	+10	Down	$-3	05-13 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	10	$46	68	53	+15	Up	$-1	05-13 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$46	44	44	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	10	$46	39	33	+7	Up	$-4	05-13 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$46	41	41	+0	open	—	05-13 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	7	$44	30	25	+5	Down	+$4	05-13 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	9	$43	43	37	+6	Down	+$1	05-13 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	10	$42	83	22	+61	Down	$-4	05-13 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$41	42	25	+17	Down	+$9	05-13 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	7	$40	31	31	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 17:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$40	2,528	0	+2,528	Down	$-33	05-13 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	12	$39	38	38	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$38	31	20	+11	Down	$-2	05-13 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$37	43	43	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$37	30	20	+10	Down	$-3	05-13 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	10	$37	28	28	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$36	49	49	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 19:39:22	Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x90f6f9…
05-18 18:45:06	Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x2debe5…
05-15 18:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x52fd84…
05-15 18:54:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x442e81…
05-15 18:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8b652a…
05-15 18:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xaa5035…
05-15 18:49:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x104cda…
05-15 18:44:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x55a214…
05-15 18:42:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4bb9c3…
05-15 18:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x648cb7…
05-15 18:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x55fe45…
05-15 18:34:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaa8e8e…
05-15 18:33:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd3f9ff…
05-15 18:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x259ddb…
05-15 18:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6161d2…
05-15 18:25:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xceaf9d…
05-15 18:25:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4f8198…
05-15 18:22:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x9811db…
05-15 18:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x57cd02…
05-15 18:17:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x6f724e…
05-15 18:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4634f4…
05-15 18:15:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x99fbec…
05-15 18:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x747e95…
05-15 18:11:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x91e638…
05-15 18:10:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x89568d…
05-15 18:10:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x20dd70…
05-15 18:09:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x540839…
05-15 18:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xfe5c3a…
05-15 18:07:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xd8b437…
05-15 18:06:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb238e0…
05-15 18:04:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4b054c…
05-15 18:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xdcf2dd…
05-15 18:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x5332bc…
05-15 18:01:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x012b61…
05-15 17:59:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9d713d…
05-15 17:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xd6057e…
05-15 17:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe04d6b…
05-15 17:58:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd359c3…
05-15 17:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x684d35…
05-15 17:57:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4ebdc1…
05-15 17:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x254e1c…
05-15 17:55:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa0dfa9…
05-15 17:45:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f9118…
05-15 17:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6f1984…
05-15 17:39:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x98d8bb…
05-15 17:39:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x785ac3…
05-15 17:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6bcdbe…
05-15 17:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x05b458…
05-15 17:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x560e9c…
05-15 17:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x592962…
05-15 17:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xaf750f…
05-15 17:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xecb2fe…
05-15 17:25:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x108c56…
05-15 17:24:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdb71ec…
05-15 17:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2d3273…
05-15 17:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xee0507…
05-15 17:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x191568…
05-15 17:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb1949e…
05-15 17:10:10	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe4b85f…
05-15 17:02:55	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xdca3a6…
05-15 17:00:15	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7092ed…
05-15 16:59:44	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf7865f…
05-15 16:56:09	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb659ea…
05-15 14:24:36	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xaee0fb…
05-15 14:23:57	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x431892…
05-15 14:19:59	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x63c972…
05-15 14:19:57	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x27efa1…
05-15 14:19:47	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x436b4a…
05-15 14:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x76154e…
05-15 14:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x71d9d7…
05-15 14:14:56	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2e0ec2…
05-15 14:13:39	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd87e8a…
05-15 14:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe1602f…
05-15 14:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x98fcb2…
05-15 13:58:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xab7ac2…
05-15 13:57:44	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x039994…
05-15 13:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x20bdb7…
05-15 13:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x64d386…
05-15 13:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x7f5f94…
05-15 13:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xe35991…
05-15 13:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4d1eb8…
05-15 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x251f85…
05-15 13:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x730b95…
05-15 13:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x41dc67…
05-15 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x66b513…
05-15 12:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x21f20e…
05-15 12:08:35	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbd8e19…
05-15 12:04:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x82c628…
05-15 12:03:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb3b26e…
05-15 11:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3ae9d7…
05-15 11:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x207dfa…
05-15 11:55:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc585a2…
05-15 11:54:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe95f1f…
05-15 11:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x26319c…
05-15 11:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb86020…
05-15 11:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcc0de4…
05-15 11:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x11f2b5…
05-15 11:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x3ab31e…
05-15 11:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x23819e…
05-15 11:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8788ef…