Careful-Sulfur — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$12

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

197

197 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$600

$600 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-15 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up		+9	$5	100¢	$9	+$4	05-15 07:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$22	0	43	-43	Down	$-11	05-13 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$19	14	23	-9	Up	$-14	05-13 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$17	20	16	+4	Up	$-5	05-13 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$15	15	9	+6	Down	+$4	05-13 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$14	4	13	-9	open	—	05-14 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$13	2	12	-10	open	—	05-14 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$12	2	20	-18	open	—	05-14 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$12	7	14	-6	Down	+$3	05-13 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$12	7	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$12	1	13	-11	open	—	05-14 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$11	3	10	-7	open	—	05-14 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$11	8	11	-3	Up	$-0	05-13 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$10	20	14	+6	Up	+$2	05-13 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$10	32	0	+32	Down	+$22	05-13 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-13 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	05-13 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	-0	Up	$-0	05-13 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$9	4	8	-4	Down	$-1	05-13 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$9	6	4	+2	Down	$-1	05-14 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$9	10	1	+9	open	—	05-14 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$9	22	0	+22	Down	$-4	05-13 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$9	0	9	-9	open	—	05-14 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$8	2	9	-6	open	—	05-14 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$8	0	8	-8	open	—	05-14 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$8	15	5	+10	Up	$-5	05-13 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$8	3	7	-4	Down	$-2	05-13 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$8	0	20	-20	Up	+$8	05-13 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$7	9	8	+1	Up	+$0	05-13 23:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:44:17	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x695283…
05-15 00:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcec00e…
05-14 23:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x024700…
05-14 23:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe0899f…
05-14 23:07:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8fb695…
05-14 22:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x081e08…
05-14 22:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x84ff88…
05-14 22:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x993125…
05-14 22:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xef2155…
05-14 22:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2e4722…
05-14 22:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xca410a…
05-14 21:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe2a6d6…
05-14 21:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe26f8d…
05-14 21:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf355cf…
05-14 20:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0xe7aced…
05-14 20:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe02641…
05-14 20:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa16049…
05-14 20:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x663306…
05-14 20:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x32715d…
05-14 19:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0339bb…
05-14 19:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x6a971c…
05-14 19:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4d9e30…
05-14 19:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf79358…
05-14 19:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf67dd5…
05-14 19:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfee9cf…
05-14 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x3eddd4…
05-14 18:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x529798…
05-14 17:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x82c845…
05-14 17:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xfa8ce9…
05-14 16:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x5e018e…
05-14 16:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x397275…
05-14 16:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x72e388…
05-14 16:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xaf4ce6…
05-14 16:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0180d4…
05-14 16:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa9448e…
05-14 15:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x0e5015…
05-14 15:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x09abd6…
05-14 15:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x1d607d…
05-14 14:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf3da81…
05-14 14:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x24ebbb…
05-14 13:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x312396…
05-14 13:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x75f376…
05-14 13:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0xade9c4…
05-14 13:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x717610…
05-14 13:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xef4f29…
05-14 12:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd4b9ec…
05-14 12:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x2daf59…
05-14 12:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x085b06…
05-14 12:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2ff301…
05-14 11:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x86aa82…
05-14 11:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x143367…
05-14 11:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xca7a0b…
05-14 11:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb18191…
05-14 11:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x50500a…
05-14 11:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6f7aa3…
05-14 11:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb3d4ba…
05-14 11:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x98c920…
05-14 11:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xdb70a5…
05-14 11:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x55d47a…
05-14 11:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd0f953…
05-14 11:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x65ea5a…
05-14 10:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2e96ed…
05-14 10:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa928a5…
05-14 10:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb8499…
05-14 10:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x92a687…
05-14 10:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8b7c5c…
05-14 10:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x6d219b…
05-14 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcbf708…
05-14 01:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x92034f…
05-14 01:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9b319b…
05-14 01:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaef924…
05-14 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4242d6…
05-14 00:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x606de5…
05-14 00:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x8cffcf…
05-14 00:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfcb9da…
05-14 00:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e343c…
05-14 00:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3fc09a…
05-14 00:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7ed850…
05-14 00:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x212945…
05-14 00:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe7ed26…
05-14 00:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xdb2a2c…
05-14 00:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x268caf…
05-14 00:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x74520a…
05-14 00:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf55f2f…
05-14 00:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x4c1aa0…
05-14 00:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x49cd7e…
05-14 00:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x41ed6f…
05-14 00:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x9a21d1…
05-14 00:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x94d541…
05-14 00:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xbb3828…
05-14 00:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5f0ed4…
05-14 00:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4ee0a8…
05-14 00:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfd8ac6…
05-14 00:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x06b7a6…
05-14 00:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x63b988…
05-13 23:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xf67af8…
05-13 23:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa4caf2…
05-13 23:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x69c43f…
05-13 23:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb7c4e1…
05-13 23:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1711cd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	102	$14.5K	1,377	05-14 22:29
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	98	$9.94K	421	05-14 23:47
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	91	$3.23K	375	05-14 22:32
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	84	$3.69K	376	05-15 00:07
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	83	$1.75K	262	05-14 23:45
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	82	$5.23K	248	05-15 00:00
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	81	$2.87K	663	05-14 22:33
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	81	$2.10K	303	05-14 22:32