Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$275.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$52

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

30,407

Trades

2,000,045

lifetime

Volume

$17.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-27 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$275,433

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 27175 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	—	+6	$3	94¢	$6	+$3	10-27 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	—	+139	$50	2¢	$3	-$47	10-27 08:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	—	+30	$10	6¢	$2	-$8	10-27 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 14:00 UTC	870	$20.5K	32,737	0	+32,737	Down	+$397	08-27 14:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC	290	$18.2K	26,835	0	+26,835	Up	-$2,692	07-21 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	317	$17.2K	27,182	0	+27,182	Up	-$3,041	07-21 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 15:30 UTC	357	$15.2K	28,394	0	+28,394	Up	-$17	07-14 15:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 14:15 UTC	621	$15.1K	25,562	0	+25,562	Up	+$1,455	08-27 14:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:45 UTC	248	$14.1K	24,941	0	+24,941	Up	-$1,315	09-21 06:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 14:30 UTC	564	$13.1K	21,227	0	+21,227	Up	-$329	08-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 18:15 UTC	313	$12.8K	21,137	0	+21,137	Up	-$4,992	07-13 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 14:00 UTC	339	$12.5K	18,232	0	+18,232	Down	-$3,828	08-14 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	412	$12.4K	23,975	0	+23,975	Up	-$2,023	06-09 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	234	$11.6K	15,008	0	+15,008	Up	-$1,192	08-12 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 09:00 UTC	86	$11.4K	18,271	0	+18,271	Up	-$2,615	09-21 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 14:45 UTC	423	$11.1K	18,308	0	+18,308	Up	-$2,821	06-10 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:30 UTC	274	$10.8K	17,583	0	+17,583	Down	-$978	08-10 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	367	$10.7K	22,132	0	+22,132	Down	-$1,650	06-09 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 13:30 UTC	154	$10.3K	16,212	0	+16,212	Up	+$2,727	06-10 13:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 16:00 UTC	486	$10.1K	27,507	0	+27,507	Up	+$1,467	06-05 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 19:15 UTC	286	$10.0K	15,801	0	+15,801	Up	-$155	06-10 19:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	1,152	$9.8K	17,358	0	+17,358	Up	-$579	08-27 12:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	247	$9.6K	16,153	0	+16,153	Up	+$1,838	07-21 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 14:20 UTC	451	$9.5K	17,677	2,459	+15,218	Up	-$382	04-11 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 17:00 UTC	250	$9.5K	16,785	0	+16,785	Down	-$4,693	06-17 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:45 UTC	282	$9.2K	15,547	0	+15,547	Down	-$456	07-23 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 17:00 UTC	220	$9.2K	13,586	0	+13,586	Down	-$2,133	06-10 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 14:30 UTC	285	$9.2K	14,121	0	+14,121	Down	-$1,059	06-10 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 18:00 UTC	343	$9.1K	14,934	0	+14,934	Down	-$2,750	06-10 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:00 UTC	271	$9.0K	21,797	0	+21,797	Up	+$443	07-29 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:30 UTC	367	$9.0K	15,985	0	+15,985	Down	-$1,799	08-11 13:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 13:45 UTC	481	$8.9K	13,062	0	+13,062	Up	-$1,578	08-27 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 14:00 UTC	369	$8.8K	15,122	0	+15,122	Up	-$926	06-05 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x82915d…
10-27 08:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe77ed1…
10-27 08:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x14e787…
10-27 08:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x105543…
10-27 08:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0492b5…
10-27 08:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4882d8…
10-27 08:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0xfd4da2…
10-27 08:47:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4b63d3…
10-27 08:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x8e840d…
10-27 08:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x6f20d8…
10-27 08:46:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x555367…
10-27 08:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xcb8192…
10-27 08:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x440b18…
10-27 08:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x8270f5…
10-27 08:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xf9a10e…
10-27 08:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	31¢	$11	0x72e3e2…
10-27 08:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x11e6d6…
10-27 08:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0xd31e2e…
10-27 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xb97570…
10-27 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x65f380…
10-27 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xdabefd…
10-27 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xcdbc5b…
10-27 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xc7c2bb…
10-27 08:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	20¢	$7	0x5df7c7…
10-27 08:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf9020a…
10-27 08:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	18¢	$7	0x0d9816…
10-27 08:41:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3943a1…
10-27 08:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	31¢	$11	0xfc8ca7…
10-27 08:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xaeebd6…
10-27 08:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x5757f6…
10-27 08:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa2d1af…
10-27 08:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xb26064…
10-27 08:39:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xee2dd7…
10-27 08:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbca62c…
10-27 08:37:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xe94bf9…
10-27 08:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x903a97…
10-27 08:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x52d457…
10-27 08:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xad2735…
10-27 08:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x5e9578…
10-27 08:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	39¢	$14	0x2e3399…
10-27 08:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x6485e8…
10-27 08:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0xdf09ed…
10-27 08:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x48ef6f…
10-27 08:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x44a803…
10-27 08:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x38d6df…
10-27 08:26:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x554aa6…
10-27 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x6287c3…
10-27 08:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x917d57…
10-27 08:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x1d8290…
10-27 08:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x1ec69c…
10-27 08:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x983bb0…
10-27 08:20:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd5fb76…
10-27 08:20:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x231faf…
10-27 08:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xfcdf44…
10-27 08:19:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa98118…
10-27 08:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x31ba61…
10-27 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xfdfcea…
10-27 08:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x4d6709…
10-27 08:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3760f4…
10-27 08:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x39a0eb…
10-27 08:18:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xbb4cc7…
10-27 08:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0xa85178…
10-27 08:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x55dc0d…
10-27 08:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x0d8dc1…
10-27 08:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xa80667…
10-27 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0x64433b…
10-27 08:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6ac4c0…
10-27 08:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x869abb…
10-27 08:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xbb28f9…
10-27 08:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xdcfc42…
10-27 08:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xb44353…
10-27 08:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x534243…
10-27 08:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xd5bf7e…
10-27 08:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xa6a3b5…
10-27 08:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5451c0…
10-27 08:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xfab559…
10-27 08:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0xefb58b…
10-27 08:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x7f216b…
10-27 08:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x792d2e…
10-27 08:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x61fcd6…
10-27 08:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x118068…
10-27 08:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xf8d2ca…
10-27 08:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xa01454…
10-27 08:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0x7f04cd…
10-27 08:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x7c8494…
10-27 08:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x69702c…
10-27 08:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x3e347d…
10-27 08:07:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xedf966…
10-27 08:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xb1ebd6…
10-27 08:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x87668e…
10-27 08:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x293d58…
10-27 08:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xf3a0aa…
10-27 08:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x763193…
10-27 08:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xcb06fb…
10-27 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa8f469…
10-27 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0x96d2be…
10-27 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0x499803…
10-27 08:00:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x954fb2…
10-27 08:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbaf97f…
10-27 07:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x54707a…