Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$279.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

30,557

Trades

2,004,489

lifetime

Volume

$17.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-28 04:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$279,771

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 27175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 14:00 UTC	870	$20.5K	32,737	0	+32,737	Down	+$397	08-27 14:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC	290	$18.2K	26,835	0	+26,835	Up	-$2,692	07-21 18:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 17:30 UTC	317	$17.2K	27,182	0	+27,182	Up	-$3,041	07-21 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 15:30 UTC	357	$15.2K	28,394	0	+28,394	Up	-$17	07-14 15:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 14:15 UTC	621	$15.1K	25,562	0	+25,562	Up	+$1,455	08-27 14:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:45 UTC	248	$14.1K	24,941	0	+24,941	Up	-$1,315	09-21 06:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 14:30 UTC	564	$13.1K	21,227	0	+21,227	Up	-$329	08-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 18:15 UTC	313	$12.8K	21,137	0	+21,137	Up	-$4,992	07-13 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 14:00 UTC	339	$12.5K	18,232	0	+18,232	Down	-$3,828	08-14 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	412	$12.4K	23,975	0	+23,975	Up	-$2,023	06-09 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	234	$11.6K	15,008	0	+15,008	Up	-$1,192	08-12 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 09:00 UTC	86	$11.4K	18,271	0	+18,271	Up	-$2,615	09-21 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 14:45 UTC	423	$11.1K	18,308	0	+18,308	Up	-$2,821	06-10 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:30 UTC	274	$10.8K	17,583	0	+17,583	Down	-$978	08-10 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	367	$10.7K	22,132	0	+22,132	Down	-$1,650	06-09 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 13:30 UTC	154	$10.3K	16,212	0	+16,212	Up	+$2,727	06-10 13:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 16:00 UTC	486	$10.1K	27,507	0	+27,507	Up	+$1,467	06-05 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 19:15 UTC	286	$10.0K	15,801	0	+15,801	Up	-$155	06-10 19:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	1,152	$9.8K	17,358	0	+17,358	Up	-$579	08-27 12:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	247	$9.6K	16,153	0	+16,153	Up	+$1,838	07-21 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 14:20 UTC	451	$9.5K	17,677	2,459	+15,218	Up	-$382	04-11 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 17:00 UTC	250	$9.5K	16,785	0	+16,785	Down	-$4,693	06-17 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:45 UTC	282	$9.2K	15,547	0	+15,547	Down	-$456	07-23 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 17:00 UTC	220	$9.2K	13,586	0	+13,586	Down	-$2,133	06-10 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 14:30 UTC	285	$9.2K	14,121	0	+14,121	Down	-$1,059	06-10 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 18:00 UTC	343	$9.1K	14,934	0	+14,934	Down	-$2,750	06-10 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:00 UTC	271	$9.0K	21,797	0	+21,797	Up	+$443	07-29 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:30 UTC	367	$9.0K	15,985	0	+15,985	Down	-$1,799	08-11 13:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 13:45 UTC	481	$8.9K	13,062	0	+13,062	Up	-$1,578	08-27 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 14:00 UTC	369	$8.8K	15,122	0	+15,122	Up	-$926	06-05 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4d4d68…
10-28 05:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6837ed…
10-28 05:15:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfbe022…
10-28 04:40:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbab789…
10-28 04:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe1c3a7…
10-28 04:31:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x51fc4b…
10-28 04:31:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7575ee…
10-28 04:30:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd430f0…
10-28 04:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0cc75c…
10-28 04:30:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xacf6ae…
10-28 04:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3885b2…
10-28 04:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0fb253…
10-28 04:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x886fda…
10-28 04:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0xd1d28e…
10-28 04:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x8f8de5…
10-28 04:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8a9343…
10-28 04:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x50235c…
10-28 04:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x02bb6f…
10-28 04:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xd7b24e…
10-28 04:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8eff81…
10-28 04:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xaa0d77…
10-28 04:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xbca0e2…
10-28 04:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x9722fb…
10-28 04:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8d7174…
10-28 04:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd9c840…
10-28 04:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xbb6482…
10-28 04:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x33c474…
10-28 04:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x087cb9…
10-28 04:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfbd002…
10-28 04:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xec6686…
10-28 04:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xcdad96…
10-28 04:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xc26aea…
10-28 04:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x71da37…
10-28 04:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x028862…
10-28 04:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdb4e20…
10-28 04:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9d6628…
10-28 04:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x984997…
10-28 04:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7ada9f…
10-28 04:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x76b201…
10-28 04:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3e6bfd…
10-28 04:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x878188…
10-28 04:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xccef95…
10-28 04:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x1a7742…
10-28 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc66872…
10-28 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x9058e6…
10-28 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x71b563…
10-28 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x62b542…
10-28 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2fd1f5…
10-28 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x167709…
10-28 04:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xd893a6…
10-28 04:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xac31ad…
10-28 04:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x9b95b4…
10-28 04:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x9a6e5e…
10-28 04:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x2b3f21…
10-28 04:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xf70699…
10-28 04:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xe0c23c…
10-28 04:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xc4b60a…
10-28 04:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x460a93…
10-28 04:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x2f6306…
10-28 04:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x0002f6…
10-28 04:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xf8b375…
10-28 04:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xe7e2b8…
10-28 04:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xdc4c95…
10-28 04:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x0cc1fb…
10-28 04:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xe70240…
10-28 04:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x541a34…
10-28 04:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x15633e…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xfecf3e…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xeeda97…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xed74a2…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbc6ee1…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xae837b…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x88790d…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x7d11d1…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x5bab8b…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x557e77…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x512404…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x1a3a2d…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x168bf9…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x11d9e9…
10-28 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x0db972…
10-28 04:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0xbbf458…
10-28 04:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd65e0c…
10-28 04:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0xe0707b…
10-28 04:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xc421a1…
10-28 04:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xccdc2d…
10-28 04:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x8b4f76…
10-28 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x94644d…
10-28 03:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x83962a…
10-28 03:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xc8da66…
10-28 03:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x96bdae…
10-28 03:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x593c92…
10-28 03:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xacaef9…
10-28 03:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x920c3f…
10-28 03:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4b6fea…
10-28 03:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x9b148d…
10-28 03:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x4c3ddd…
10-28 03:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x500ba9…
10-28 03:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x2c20ea…
10-28 03:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x55fb0d…