Unfit-Colonization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$133

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

572

lifetime

Volume

$25.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$99

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-17 01:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 57% +$96

Other

9% 67% +$5

Sports

7% 100% +$33

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-125	$-102	80¢	$-99	+$3	06-11 01:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776922800	4	$1.4K	819	810	+9	open	—	04-23 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$1.4K	797	786	+11	open	—	04-27 09:33
btc updown 5m 1780565100	5	$569	427	427	+0	open	—	06-04 09:27
btc updown 5m 1777020300	2	$554	381	368	+13	open	—	04-24 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$542	345	345	+0	Up	+$142	05-13 05:49
btc updown 5m 1777020600	2	$513	344	334	+10	open	—	04-24 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	10	$480	491	491	+0	open	—	05-29 02:19
btc updown 5m 1776922500	4	$434	490	469	+21	open	—	04-23 05:39
btc updown 5m 1780565700	7	$409	321	321	+0	open	—	06-04 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	9	$409	533	508	+25	open	—	04-27 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	6	$386	509	509	+0	Down	$-14	05-12 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$356	239	233	+6	open	—	04-27 09:53
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$352	234	193	+42	open	—	05-12 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$341	221	221	+0	open	—	06-01 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$331	376	376	+0	open	—	05-29 02:14
btc updown 5m 1780650900	2	$311	213	213	+0	open	—	06-05 09:19
btc updown 5m 1780566000	4	$298	349	349	+0	open	—	06-04 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$289	381	363	+18	open	—	04-27 10:49
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$276	273	273	+0	open	—	04-10 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	5	$254	244	244	+0	Down	$-46	05-13 04:34
btc updown 5m 1780544400	2	$254	179	179	+0	open	—	06-04 03:43
btc updown 5m 1776227700	4	$252	207	201	+6	open	—	04-15 04:40
btc updown 5m 1780566600	2	$246	147	147	+0	open	—	06-04 09:55
btc updown 5m 1776853200	2	$243	263	251	+12	open	—	04-22 10:21
btc updown 5m 1776852900	2	$232	159	154	+4	open	—	04-22 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$226	154	154	+0	Up	+$26	05-12 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$226	127	127	+0	Down	+$26	05-13 04:09
btc updown 5m 1780650300	2	$218	127	127	+0	open	—	06-05 09:07
btc updown 5m 1780565400	2	$210	141	141	+0	open	—	06-04 09:31
btc updown 5m 1776848400	2	$209	147	144	+3	open	—	04-22 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 01:21:10	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	Yes	SELL	354	8¢	$29	0xfe09fe…
06-11 03:18:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	SELL	79	64¢	$51	0x0382cb…
06-11 01:22:39	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	125	82¢	$102	0x42de37…
06-11 01:18:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xed4f71…
06-11 01:18:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	128	37¢	$47	0xd0f2d0…
06-09 08:14:27	btc updown 5m 1780992600	Up	SELL	113	94¢	$106	0x68abfc…
06-09 08:13:34	btc updown 5m 1780992600	Up	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x1b74ff…
06-09 08:01:25	btc updown 5m 1780992000	Up	BUY	329	10¢	$31	0x86f766…
06-09 08:00:58	btc updown 5m 1780992000	Up	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x34100f…
06-09 08:00:33	btc updown 5m 1780992000	Down	SELL	122	44¢	$54	0xd4ed1d…
06-09 08:00:19	btc updown 5m 1780992000	Down	BUY	122	44¢	$54	0xa1a2b8…
06-09 07:57:04	btc updown 5m 1780991700	Up	SELL	112	47¢	$53	0x5ab1f6…
06-09 07:56:30	btc updown 5m 1780991700	Up	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x763c6b…
06-09 07:52:22	btc updown 5m 1780991400	Down	SELL	143	38¢	$54	0x1e1f69…
06-09 07:51:52	btc updown 5m 1780991400	Down	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x61ff30…
06-09 05:55:46	btc updown 5m 1780984500	Up	SELL	139	40¢	$56	0xce2df9…
06-09 05:55:24	btc updown 5m 1780984500	Up	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x257cbc…
06-09 05:48:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x92e0a8…
06-08 01:22:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	222	45¢	$100	0x7ec827…
06-06 03:29:12	atp fery bu 2026 06 06	Yunchaokete Bu	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xacd484…
06-06 03:28:54	atp baez izquier 2026 06 06	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa5283b…
06-06 03:28:19	atp squire nava 2026 06 06	Henri Squire	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2d68b9…
06-06 03:28:00	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xec40ff…
06-06 03:27:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x31f516…
06-05 09:19:58	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Down	SELL	213	99¢	$211	0xfb3e6a…
06-05 09:15:42	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x7fc57f…
06-05 09:10:45	btc updown 5m 1780650600	Down	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0xc6e284…
06-05 09:10:37	btc updown 5m 1780650600	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xf2a4ca…
06-05 09:07:40	btc updown 5m 1780650300	Up	SELL	127	93¢	$118	0xb9f96c…
06-05 09:06:58	btc updown 5m 1780650300	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xa75e38…
06-04 09:55:01	btc updown 5m 1780566600	Down	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0xa01e27…
06-04 09:50:37	btc updown 5m 1780566600	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x62cf1a…
06-04 09:44:46	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Down	SELL	182	21¢	$38	0xd1d93e…
06-04 09:44:01	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xd8b209…
06-04 09:41:57	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Up	SELL	167	36¢	$60	0xad0aa1…
06-04 09:40:37	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xa69a3e…
06-04 09:37:55	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Up	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x56cc47…
06-04 09:37:36	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa869e3…
06-04 09:37:00	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Down	SELL	133	84¢	$112	0x57b81c…
06-04 09:36:39	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x8481f4…
06-04 09:36:10	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Down	SELL	159	52¢	$83	0x93e235…
06-04 09:35:16	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x2e63e0…
06-04 09:35:16	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x12eedb…
06-04 09:31:28	btc updown 5m 1780565400	Down	SELL	141	78¢	$110	0xc9e333…
06-04 09:30:28	btc updown 5m 1780565400	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x639af9…
06-04 09:27:43	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	SELL	245	94¢	$230	0xe787b9…
06-04 09:26:51	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x867187…
06-04 09:26:48	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xea50b2…
06-04 09:26:37	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Up	SELL	182	21¢	$38	0x2a029a…
06-04 09:25:21	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x9e683c…
06-04 09:20:16	btc updown 5m 1780564800	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xeff781…
06-04 09:20:16	btc updown 5m 1780564800	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xd82ca2…
06-04 09:20:16	btc updown 5m 1780564800	Up	BUY	83	64¢	$53	0x00f34d…
06-04 03:56:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x5b4f8d…
06-04 03:46:16	btc updown 5m 1780544700	Down	SELL	114	51¢	$58	0x47538b…
06-04 03:45:24	btc updown 5m 1780544700	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x5fff00…
06-04 03:43:03	btc updown 5m 1780544400	Down	SELL	179	86¢	$154	0x49f28e…
06-04 03:40:24	btc updown 5m 1780544400	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xeaebde…
06-04 03:38:36	btc updown 5m 1780544100	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xa9057f…
06-04 03:30:42	btc updown 5m 1780543800	Down	BUY	171	29¢	$50	0x75a9d0…
06-04 03:29:00	btc updown 5m 1780543500	Up	SELL	71	94¢	$67	0x03cde7…
06-04 03:27:51	btc updown 5m 1780543500	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xd4d1cb…
06-04 03:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780543200	Down	SELL	65	93¢	$60	0xcf529b…
06-04 03:21:12	btc updown 5m 1780543200	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xced832…
06-02 04:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	127	50¢	$63	0xe1a9ee…
06-02 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0xba9272…
06-01 07:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	119	93¢	$111	0xc9aa90…
06-01 07:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x630add…
06-01 07:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	102	79¢	$81	0xd5df60…
06-01 07:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xe42af5…
06-01 06:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x9576e2…
06-01 06:56:29	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xd971e4…
05-29 02:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x3e4e59…
05-29 02:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x686403…
05-29 02:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	148	26¢	$39	0x9fb39a…
05-29 02:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x3ebda7…
05-29 02:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x1f70b5…
05-29 02:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x38011f…
05-29 02:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9c29e9…
05-29 02:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	267	47¢	$124	0xdb22e1…
05-29 02:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x6d1244…
05-29 02:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	132	41¢	$54	0x41d690…
05-29 02:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x5ad452…
05-29 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd77770…
05-29 02:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	276	32¢	$88	0x759048…
05-29 02:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	137	37¢	$50	0x0d7a6a…
05-29 02:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x1a0e76…
05-29 02:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xe5bed8…
05-29 02:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa7e88f…
05-15 10:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x982894…
05-15 10:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5afdf8…
05-15 10:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe1c2dd…
05-15 10:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0xbf1a32…
05-15 10:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xf20bba…
05-15 10:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xedd5ca…
05-14 01:25:50	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x28deb6…
05-14 01:25:32	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x102ea7…
05-13 05:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	345	99¢	$342	0xd03baa…
05-13 05:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xeb1c95…
05-13 05:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x463104…