Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$198

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-24 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

37% 90% -$413

Sports

23% 80% +$499

Other

19% 90% -$22

Crypto

12% 100% +$1

Tech

9% 50% +$132

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$450	500	+500	Yes	-$450	02-13 20:43
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$379	380	+380	No	+$1	02-13 20:46
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$349	500	+500	Yes	+$151	02-13 20:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$296	300	+300	No	+$4	02-13 20:46
nba chi mia 2026 01 31	1	$280	800	+800	Bulls	+$520	02-01 00:52
ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	1	$210	300	+300	Strickland	-$210	02-13 20:40
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$206	300	+300	No	+$94	01-29 08:08
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$186	200	+200	No	+$14	01-29 08:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$182	200	+200	No	+$18	01-29 08:07
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	1	$118	200	+200	Volkanovski	+$82	02-01 00:49
will sp 500 spx hit 7300 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 01:35
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 01:35
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 01:33
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 01:36
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 01:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 01:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 01:04
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 01:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 01:06
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$99	100	+100	No	+$1	03-28 01:05
will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-28 01:37
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$87	100	+100	No	+$13	03-28 01:03
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$24	500	+500	No	-$24	02-13 20:38
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$18	500	+500	Yes	-$18	02-13 20:40
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	10-24 19:00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	09-19 07:16
iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	08-14 03:37
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	07-12 03:38
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-03 06:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	06-07 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 19:00:03	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x35d85b…
09-19 07:16:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcfee71…
08-14 03:37:40	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xbd7495…
07-12 03:38:53	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfc90ca…
06-07 19:10:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xae6a95…
05-03 06:08:50	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa272ae…
04-06 19:44:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe44e64…
03-28 01:37:59	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x9f4634…
03-28 01:36:45	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8b867d…
03-28 01:35:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x458bac…
03-28 01:35:31	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6bdca4…
03-28 01:35:13	will sp 500 spx hit 7300 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40fc8d…
03-28 01:34:23	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb16555…
03-28 01:33:13	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc382b4…
03-28 01:06:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x84f56c…
03-28 01:05:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4f0395…
03-28 01:04:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6e4041…
03-28 01:04:11	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc429d4…
03-28 01:03:45	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xde988a…
02-13 20:46:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	380	100¢	$379	0xfa252f…
02-13 20:46:23	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0xa36c90…
02-13 20:45:35	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	500	70¢	$349	0xc02d7b…
02-13 20:43:15	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x3970dd…
02-13 20:40:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x9994d5…
02-13 20:40:19	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Hernandez	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x3b22bd…
02-13 20:38:53	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x500184…
02-01 00:52:16	nba chi mia 2026 01 31	Bulls	BUY	800	35¢	$280	0x94d1fc…
02-01 00:49:20	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xf5340b…
01-29 08:08:34	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	No	BUY	300	69¢	$206	0xb09a2a…
01-29 08:07:56	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xdd1e1b…
01-29 08:07:20	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x8b8de3…