Respectful-Pigeon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$288

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$280.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.25K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-20 22:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-269

Other

48% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-19

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	33	$125.5K	128,722	0	+128,722	open	—	01-24 14:56
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	55	$73.6K	39,021	37,748	+1,273	open	—	01-28 00:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	32	$32.5K	32,758	0	+32,758	open	—	04-22 18:43
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	38	$20.2K	20,400	0	+20,400	open	—	01-21 11:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$13.8K	13,940	0	+13,940	open	—	04-22 02:11
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$4.7K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-06 01:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	9	$4.2K	4,280	0	+4,280	open	—	03-19 20:10
cbb creigh prov 2026 01 16	6	$4.2K	8,082	0	+8,082	open	—	01-16 17:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$321	555	100	+455	Yes	$-269	04-20 19:28
Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$250	264	0	+264	open	—	02-04 10:32
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	1	$241	250	0	+250	open	—	07-20 22:35
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$149	100	100	+0	No	$-19	04-20 19:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	02-04 10:46
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	02-01 15:02
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	2	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	02-04 00:47
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	02-01 12:47
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$82	100	0	+100	open	—	02-01 12:49
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$70	100	0	+100	open	—	02-01 14:00
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	1	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	07-14 13:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$38	52	0	+52	open	—	02-04 10:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	02-04 10:42
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	02-04 10:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$10	19	19	+0	open	—	01-23 01:40
dota2 ts8 ty 2026 02 01	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	02-01 13:09
Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	02-04 10:36
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-01 12:44
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	02-01 12:59
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 rea	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	02-01 12:58
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	02-04 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 22:35:36	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	250	96¢	$241	0x731e71…
07-14 13:58:29	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xe6005d…
04-22 18:43:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	901	99¢	$895	0x8e91b7…
04-22 02:56:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	9,586	99¢	$9,500	0xaabc31…
04-22 02:36:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	556	99¢	$551	0xdb2ae2…
04-22 02:27:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x4f1ce8…
04-22 02:24:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,222	99¢	$2,202	0x491fb5…
04-22 02:20:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xed4126…
04-22 02:19:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8f8e7c…
04-22 02:11:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	728	99¢	$721	0xd03c85…
04-22 02:06:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0xd35455…
04-22 02:03:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1708f0…
04-22 02:03:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xe6397b…
04-22 02:00:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,111	99¢	$1,101	0x683aa6…
04-22 01:56:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	411	99¢	$407	0xe847af…
04-22 01:54:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,327	99¢	$1,315	0x79294b…
04-22 01:45:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	3,320	99¢	$3,290	0x3f8469…
04-22 01:45:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x4eea0f…
04-22 01:44:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd74504…
04-22 01:44:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xca167b…
04-22 01:44:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc29e49…
04-22 01:44:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7037e5…
04-22 01:44:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x60236d…
04-22 01:44:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x456c9e…
04-22 01:44:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x3848e4…
04-22 01:44:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x19ae40…
04-22 01:44:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x0d6518…
04-22 01:44:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	3,976	99¢	$3,940	0x83bc93…
04-22 01:39:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x113ebc…
04-22 01:09:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,087	99¢	$7,016	0xfae6bb…
04-21 23:43:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58b381…
04-21 23:41:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa985fe…
04-21 23:38:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5ae0e2…
04-21 23:38:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa821a8…
04-21 23:30:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x608dbe…
04-21 23:29:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	857	99¢	$848	0xbd40c3…
04-21 23:27:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,485	0xd3d33d…
04-21 23:26:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,105	99¢	$1,094	0x18a459…
04-21 23:26:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf9d8d7…
04-21 23:26:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xa21143…
04-21 23:26:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x53febe…
04-21 23:26:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x373ded…
04-21 23:26:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	3,978	99¢	$3,939	0xd5bb51…
04-21 22:51:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	899	99¢	$889	0x74b57f…
04-20 19:36:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,042	99¢	$3,014	0xde8bbb…
04-20 19:35:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,100	99¢	$2,081	0x8f6d01…
04-20 19:29:40	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xe05d5c…
04-20 19:28:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x5d0127…
03-19 20:10:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	566	99¢	$559	0x059c3d…
03-19 20:07:57	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3,615	99¢	$3,575	0x66c824…
02-06 01:54:01	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	4,997	93¢	$4,667	0x7c7d18…
02-05 23:46:41	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc6847d…
02-04 10:46:14	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x17d338…
02-04 10:43:22	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xd8eeff…
02-04 10:42:38	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x571f33…
02-04 10:36:28	Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xdd89cd…
02-04 10:35:54	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xf959b2…
02-04 10:35:14	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x65211c…
02-04 10:34:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	455	55¢	$250	0x862d56…
02-04 10:32:58	Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	264	95¢	$250	0xb91d45…
02-04 01:58:32	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	79	87¢	$68	0xaaeb42…
02-04 01:29:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf27749…
02-04 01:29:24	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4f06c5…
02-04 01:06:18	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3fffca…
02-04 00:54:00	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbf7d92…
02-04 00:47:32	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xdcada1…
02-04 00:36:08	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0xb491c6…
02-04 00:30:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdaba61…
02-03 23:40:36	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x11bf6a…
02-01 15:02:40	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x46a80d…
02-01 14:00:04	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0x6cc0f0…
02-01 13:42:28	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	99	70¢	$70	0x573ee6…
02-01 13:41:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xeb1401…
02-01 13:18:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x216daa…
02-01 13:17:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x4bfc3f…
02-01 13:16:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xa25ee3…
02-01 13:14:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbadf09…
02-01 13:13:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd28956…
02-01 13:09:50	dota2 ts8 ty 2026 02 01	Team Spirit	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xbdc4ea…
02-01 13:00:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x309386…
02-01 12:59:14	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xbada66…
02-01 12:58:42	lal rea ray 2026 02 01 rea	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xcd981e…
02-01 12:54:20	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xcac254…
02-01 12:49:38	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x963b28…
02-01 12:49:12	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x8a7425…
02-01 12:47:08	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x1738f9…
02-01 12:44:14	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x72af5a…
01-28 00:33:39	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,273	99¢	$1,265	0x402f3d…
01-24 14:56:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x9a2cf3…
01-24 14:16:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	129	99¢	$127	0xf3f387…
01-24 14:15:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x887143…
01-24 14:14:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31bb67…
01-24 14:13:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	2,664	99¢	$2,626	0xda2bd8…
01-24 14:09:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	530	98¢	$522	0x2c22c3…
01-24 14:08:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	9,291	98¢	$9,142	0x575be7…
01-24 14:06:54	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	20,435	98¢	$20,108	0x300b95…
01-24 13:54:30	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	680	98¢	$668	0x606cca…
01-23 21:47:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6,736	97¢	$6,554	0x5b7e1a…
01-23 10:36:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1,950	97¢	$1,898	0x8e19e2…
01-23 10:29:44	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	8,853	97¢	$8,614	0x030580…