Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
125
lifetime
Volume
$343
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$29
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 06-11 22:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
87%
Politics
10%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No -9 $-8 84¢ $-8 $-0 05-30 19:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +10 $7 76¢ $7 $-0 06-10 23:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +6 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-07 19:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-3 82¢ $-4 $-1 05-28 15:28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +3 $2 86¢ $3 +$0 06-01 13:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 28¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 19:31
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-09 21:01