Vicious-Waiting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$265

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

Trades

417

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-04 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 56% +$265

Politics

18% — —

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	32	$2.0K	1,335	1,335	+0	open	—	03-08 14:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	25	$1.2K	926	926	+0	open	—	06-02 16:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	4	$1.2K	650	650	+0	open	—	06-01 15:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	30	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-29 08:21
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	7	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-23 09:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	19	$1.0K	1,335	1,095	+240	open	—	05-15 13:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	2	$978	700	684	+16	open	—	04-28 13:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	5	$973	500	500	+0	open	—	05-28 18:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	9	$931	500	500	+0	open	—	06-01 13:25
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	8	$931	822	822	+0	open	—	05-17 15:42
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?	3	$913	550	550	+0	open	—	04-16 18:46
bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	9	$894	600	600	+0	open	—	06-04 10:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	10	$876	600	600	+0	open	—	05-31 15:56
spy up or down on june 4 2026	7	$851	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-04 18:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	6	$749	538	538	+0	No	+$58	05-07 15:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	11	$720	1,000	400	+600	open	—	05-03 07:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$636	600	600	+0	open	—	04-28 13:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	7	$628	350	350	+0	open	—	06-03 17:13
bitcoin above 78k on april 23	7	$586	670	400	+270	open	—	04-23 14:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$556	300	300	+0	open	—	04-22 06:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$491	310	310	+0	open	—	04-13 19:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-18 10:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	4	$483	500	0	+500	No	+$17	05-12 13:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	1	$477	500	0	+500	open	—	05-21 11:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	10	$442	600	200	+400	No	$-2	05-11 12:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	8	$345	324	324	+0	No	$-27	05-06 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	5	$321	500	200	+300	open	—	05-15 13:06
meta up or down on april 9 2026	4	$242	200	200	+0	open	—	04-09 11:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	8	$216	400	400	+0	open	—	05-04 08:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	26	$215	631	545	+86	open	—	06-03 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 18:49:01	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	1,011	0¢	$3	0xfdbac8…
06-04 18:44:43	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	89	1¢	$1	0xfcf666…
06-04 12:25:55	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	237	33¢	$78	0xc478f5…
06-04 11:03:27	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	122	46¢	$56	0x5da419…
06-04 11:00:09	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	157	77¢	$121	0x57ca48…
06-04 11:00:07	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xe120f4…
06-04 11:00:06	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xe4a5c0…
06-04 10:56:28	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0x52e027…
06-04 10:55:45	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	78	46¢	$36	0x29602b…
06-04 10:52:12	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x0875c4…
06-04 10:48:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xa38218…
06-04 10:45:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x976a67…
06-04 10:39:28	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xb635eb…
06-04 10:37:45	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	485	97¢	$469	0xf7a64d…
06-04 10:16:25	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0x616881…
06-03 17:29:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	297	52¢	$155	0x338702…
06-03 17:23:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x1a84e6…
06-03 17:23:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x4b373c…
06-03 17:22:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xed0a29…
06-03 17:21:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	205	52¢	$107	0x13a8df…
06-03 17:13:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$350	0x7bbd4f…
06-03 14:34:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x790619…
06-03 10:06:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4b56d5…
06-03 10:06:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	120	80¢	$95	0x09ab78…
06-03 10:06:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$159	0x9c4974…
06-03 10:06:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x9c4b65…
06-03 10:05:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x86255d…
06-03 10:04:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x463580…
06-02 20:19:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0x40c317…
06-02 20:19:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xe97a81…
06-02 20:19:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x96d32f…
06-02 20:19:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xcc2822…
06-02 20:19:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xfaa86a…
06-02 20:19:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	45	21¢	$9	0x0ed442…
06-02 20:05:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x401aa5…
06-02 20:02:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xe1507e…
06-02 20:02:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x9f68b1…
06-02 20:02:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x4633b2…
06-02 20:02:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xf3e1f8…
06-02 20:02:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x2bf9ff…
06-02 20:02:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	45	21¢	$9	0x96105a…
06-02 20:02:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x7890da…
06-02 20:02:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc5dbc3…
06-02 19:59:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	49	21¢	$10	0x374f67…
06-02 19:57:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x6e468d…
06-02 19:55:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xfbfb3f…
06-02 19:55:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xef41f4…
06-02 19:52:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xf64827…
06-02 19:14:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	494	18¢	$87	0x819218…
06-02 18:15:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x85ec18…
06-02 18:14:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x4af4fa…
06-02 18:14:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x38ca1b…
06-02 18:13:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x13bd58…
06-02 16:28:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x86f870…
06-02 09:27:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x021d01…
06-02 09:26:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0xf4068d…
06-02 09:13:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	676	30¢	$204	0xaac5f7…
06-02 07:44:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,100	1¢	$7	0x9e086e…
06-01 19:28:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7a02f0…
06-01 18:47:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x2ad4e8…
06-01 18:46:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5cb953…
06-01 18:46:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0x9677e5…
06-01 18:46:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xae24a4…
06-01 18:46:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$179	0x19a29b…
06-01 18:46:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5a3835…
06-01 18:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0x504b2e…
06-01 18:46:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5784dd…
06-01 18:46:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcabad1…
06-01 18:46:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0xff4e5f…
06-01 18:46:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x35f205…
06-01 18:45:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xf3b505…
06-01 18:45:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x4e33bf…
06-01 18:45:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x895584…
06-01 18:45:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x8e80f9…
06-01 18:45:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x879419…
06-01 18:45:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0xdb64af…
06-01 18:45:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x744d49…
06-01 18:45:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcb4631…
06-01 18:45:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5dfb35…
06-01 18:31:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xea87e9…
06-01 15:58:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xac1d68…
06-01 15:57:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	650	100¢	$649	0x6c6814…
06-01 13:55:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	445	83¢	$369	0x6f03b5…
06-01 13:53:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf08088…
06-01 13:27:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x1f6fc7…
06-01 13:25:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	281	99¢	$279	0x2883fb…
06-01 13:24:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x434a5b…
06-01 13:18:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x144a6e…
06-01 13:18:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7bc13b…
06-01 13:18:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xcb9fa3…
06-01 13:18:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5dc228…
06-01 13:17:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdd06a0…
06-01 13:15:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x44b72b…
06-01 06:46:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0xd06252…
05-31 15:56:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x29e706…
05-31 14:36:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	259	89¢	$231	0x894aaa…
05-31 14:35:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x54eac9…
05-31 14:35:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x0bdfd9…
05-31 14:16:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0xf0e7ff…
05-31 14:16:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	104	9¢	$9	0x31765d…