Ill-Informed-Screamer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-16 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

64% — —

Politics

26% 50% +$0

Other

10% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+10	$9	88¢	$9	$-1	06-09 06:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mia phi 2026 02 26	5	$2.0K	4,600	0	+4,600	open	—	02-26 09:33
nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	1	$1.7K	3,046	0	+3,046	open	—	03-23 05:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$693	600	600	+0	open	—	05-09 07:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$380	400	400	+0	open	—	05-09 07:07
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$380	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 08:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$356	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 13:21
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	03-23 03:21
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	03-11 15:36
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	02-08 14:22
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	2	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	06-04 07:27
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	05-28 00:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-16 05:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 03:17
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-11 15:37
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-30 10:11
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in April?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-26 08:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$19	21	0	+21	No	+$1	05-09 07:14
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$18	200	0	+200	open	—	05-08 13:38
will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	1	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	06-04 06:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 06:00
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	06-09 06:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$8	200	200	+0	No	$-1	05-08 08:34
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-16 15:45
nba sas den 2026 04 04	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 01:18
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	04-18 09:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 15:45:46	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x500202…
06-09 06:32:04	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbe2ff5…
06-04 07:27:57	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xf6359f…
06-04 06:10:57	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xcd6843…
06-04 06:10:10	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x4fcf4a…
05-28 00:45:48	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0x99cc45…
05-28 00:34:46	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x941044…
05-28 00:30:53	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xdc7551…
05-21 06:00:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1bca12…
05-19 03:17:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7a8ae0…
05-16 05:59:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x68a810…
05-09 07:14:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa9692c…
05-09 07:07:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xc25d64…
05-09 07:07:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xbeea3b…
05-09 05:25:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x1e5f8c…
05-09 05:22:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x331716…
05-08 14:06:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe795cd…
05-08 13:38:19	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xdb627b…
05-08 08:36:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x9c179a…
05-08 08:34:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x539527…
05-08 08:08:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$157	0xd1c318…
05-08 07:09:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x551323…
05-08 06:49:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x4f20ab…
05-08 06:41:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x4f6ad9…
05-08 05:46:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x251753…
05-08 05:32:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xa12e12…
05-07 13:21:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x21ce46…
05-07 13:15:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xf89055…
05-07 08:56:23	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xfa616a…
05-07 08:43:27	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$189	0x2024ef…
04-26 08:37:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x28efab…
04-18 09:35:10	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Lakers	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf398ce…
04-04 01:18:45	nba sas den 2026 04 04	Nuggets	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x0a4e4a…
03-23 05:21:39	nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	Warriors	BUY	3,046	55¢	$1,675	0x3bb722…
03-23 03:21:47	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xc3ad07…
03-15 12:37:57	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0x5cc012…
03-11 15:37:35	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x265b6b…
03-11 15:36:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xe5e6dd…
02-26 09:33:28	nba mia phi 2026 02 26	Heat	BUY	2,840	44¢	$1,249	0x3fb837…
02-26 09:30:50	nba mia phi 2026 02 26	Heat	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x03516a…
02-26 09:30:44	nba mia phi 2026 02 26	Heat	BUY	1,343	44¢	$591	0xf12428…
02-26 09:30:12	nba mia phi 2026 02 26	Heat	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x8ae3fe…
02-26 09:29:06	nba mia phi 2026 02 26	Heat	BUY	366	44¢	$161	0x519447…
02-08 14:24:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	86¢	$25	0xceaf3e…
02-08 14:22:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x1134dd…
01-30 10:11:34	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x9a7367…
01-30 10:11:06	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdf7d39…
01-09 19:45:50	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3dd514…