Deficient-Transplantation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$36.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$240

Open exposure

$498

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-18 18:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$3

Crypto

38% 100% +$2

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No		+511	$488	97¢	$498	+$10	07-18 18:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	9	$2.4K	1,204	1,204	+0	open	—	06-23 07:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$2.4K	1,195	1,195	+0	open	—	05-28 21:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$2.4K	1,193	1,193	+0	open	—	05-26 00:41
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$2.3K	1,179	1,179	+0	open	—	05-20 16:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	59	$2.3K	1,170	1,170	+0	No	+$2	05-05 16:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	4	$1.8K	904	904	+0	open	—	06-26 08:07
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	4	$1.7K	847	847	+0	open	—	03-28 06:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$1.2K	619	619	+0	No	+$1	05-08 19:59
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$1.2K	623	623	+0	open	—	03-27 08:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$1.1K	1,169	0	+1,169	open	—	04-07 02:53
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$921	463	463	+0	open	—	03-26 01:26
will bitcoin reach 78k march 16 22	2	$914	460	460	+0	open	—	03-22 04:02
bitcoin above 80k on february 13	2	$896	449	449	+0	open	—	02-12 00:03
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$896	451	451	+0	open	—	02-24 04:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 11	3	$890	448	448	+0	open	—	02-11 04:43
bitcoin above 78k on february 10	3	$886	444	444	+0	open	—	02-10 01:43
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$879	442	442	+0	open	—	01-28 18:57
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	2	$861	497	497	+0	open	—	03-02 08:28
will bitcoin reach 88k february 2 8	3	$854	570	285	+285	open	—	02-07 08:23
will bitcoin reach 84k march 9 15	5	$846	427	427	+0	open	—	03-13 01:41
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	4	$838	421	421	+0	open	—	03-10 16:21
will bitcoin reach 71500 on march 8	2	$835	418	418	+0	open	—	03-09 00:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 5	2	$832	417	417	+0	open	—	03-04 20:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 4	2	$830	416	416	+0	open	—	03-04 11:40
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$828	426	426	+0	open	—	03-04 05:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$820	682	170	+511	open	—	07-18 18:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	3	$601	302	302	+0	open	—	06-30 04:47
will xrp reach 1pt9 march 2 8	2	$573	287	287	+0	open	—	03-08 23:35
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3500 on february 4	1	$441	441	0	+441	open	—	02-02 14:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$410	411	0	+411	No	+$1	05-08 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 18:02:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	170	98¢	$166	0xf33696…
07-07 00:43:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	682	96¢	$654	0xceb195…
06-30 04:47:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8eaa01…
06-30 04:47:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	289	100¢	$289	0x88f3d8…
06-26 08:07:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xa306f8…
06-24 12:24:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	302	100¢	$300	0x2c874e…
06-23 07:01:47	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xf39d66…
06-23 07:01:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x1a1ae1…
06-23 07:01:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x188b2b…
06-23 07:01:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x2701e6…
06-16 12:34:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$184	0xec077e…
06-16 12:33:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	719	99¢	$715	0x305f45…
06-10 16:22:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x2ecc54…
06-08 06:10:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	182	99¢	$180	0x5bedf0…
06-08 06:08:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	119	99¢	$119	0x8e621c…
05-31 13:23:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	301	99¢	$299	0x59133a…
05-30 09:46:15	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,204	99¢	$1,193	0xc4972d…
05-28 21:53:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	1,195	100¢	$1,193	0xdef4c0…
05-27 02:59:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	1,195	100¢	$1,189	0xa23b59…
05-26 00:41:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1,193	100¢	$1,190	0xba8252…
05-21 04:10:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1,193	99¢	$1,177	0x17d562…
05-20 16:30:25	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1,179	100¢	$1,177	0xa4f694…
05-09 07:31:54	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1,179	99¢	$1,171	0x881c4a…
05-08 19:59:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	619	100¢	$618	0xec6abc…
05-08 11:15:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x658916…
05-08 11:14:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1acf0a…
05-07 20:08:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x235bc9…
05-07 13:43:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xf211cc…
05-07 13:43:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x765691…
05-07 13:42:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	619	100¢	$618	0xcd4d37…
05-07 13:42:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xa5f57a…
05-07 13:41:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xba4a42…
05-05 16:14:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbaa5a5…
05-05 16:02:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa24132…
05-05 16:01:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x78bea8…
05-05 16:01:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7a4951…
05-05 15:59:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7c9bea…
05-05 15:59:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x955613…
05-05 15:58:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb74028…
05-05 15:58:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5ba558…
05-05 15:57:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x14c278…
05-05 15:57:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x04b8c9…
05-05 15:57:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x30393d…
05-05 15:56:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbd3fe4…
05-05 15:56:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4fa081…
05-05 15:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xea8a7a…
05-05 15:56:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfa06c5…
05-05 15:56:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7b5ab7…
05-05 15:55:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0a0428…
05-05 15:55:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd64f8c…
05-05 15:53:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe5d423…
05-05 15:53:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x83f93d…
05-05 15:52:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc97ea1…
05-05 15:52:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf7149d…
05-05 15:51:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbd96d4…
05-05 15:51:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9ae541…
05-05 15:51:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe99eb3…
05-05 15:51:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x03947c…
05-05 15:51:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x123ce0…
05-05 15:50:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8241d8…
05-05 15:49:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0x04907e…
05-05 15:49:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7d54ee…
05-05 15:48:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x301f2e…
05-05 15:47:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb688e3…
05-05 15:47:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x958417…
05-05 15:47:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xeda98d…
05-05 15:47:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x703320…
05-05 15:47:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf440b0…
05-05 15:47:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6bd429…
05-05 15:47:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf0c7c5…
05-05 15:46:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb40c95…
05-05 15:46:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6586d4…
05-05 15:45:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x500445…
05-05 15:45:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x12222a…
05-05 15:45:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbe4724…
05-05 15:45:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xc158f9…
05-05 15:44:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9321b0…
05-05 15:44:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd1d080…
05-05 15:44:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1e8998…
05-05 15:44:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9f7477…
05-05 15:43:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5e78c1…
05-05 15:43:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb886a4…
05-05 15:43:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x27b8e9…
05-05 15:43:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x63d496…
05-05 15:43:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2020be…
05-05 15:43:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe87611…
05-05 15:43:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x811934…
05-05 15:42:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbd15a1…
05-05 15:42:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2b740a…
05-05 15:41:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x350257…
05-05 13:27:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	1,170	100¢	$1,166	0x389dd4…
04-07 02:53:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1,169	97¢	$1,131	0x64fc7f…
03-28 06:37:19	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	SELL	463	100¢	$463	0x898dc5…
03-27 11:26:51	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x0ae181…
03-27 08:37:43	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	623	100¢	$621	0xf439f1…
03-26 14:45:31	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	463	100¢	$462	0x7c6fb5…
03-26 01:26:57	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	463	100¢	$462	0x2a461e…
03-24 12:51:25	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	463	99¢	$459	0x31e63f…
03-22 04:02:21	will bitcoin reach 78k march 16 22	No	SELL	460	100¢	$459	0x452bd9…
03-21 15:51:25	will bitcoin reach 78k march 16 22	No	BUY	460	99¢	$456	0x2996c9…