Excited-Effectiveness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$207

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

376

Trades

3,241

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-03 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% $-207

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 289 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	11	$174	290	0	+290	open	—	05-01 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	21	$154	280	0	+280	Down	+$126	05-06 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	9	$146	280	0	+280	open	—	04-30 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	14	$146	280	0	+280	open	—	04-30 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	6	$146	280	0	+280	open	—	04-30 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	17	$146	280	0	+280	open	—	04-29 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	17	$140	280	0	+280	open	—	05-01 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	16	$134	280	0	+280	Up	$-134	05-06 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$84	140	0	+140	open	—	05-18 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	8	$84	140	0	+140	open	—	04-30 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	5	$80	140	0	+140	Down	$-80	05-06 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	10	$78	140	0	+140	open	—	04-30 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	7	$78	140	0	+140	Up	$-78	05-06 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	7	$77	70	70	+0	open	—	05-18 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$77	140	0	+140	open	—	04-29 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	6	$73	140	0	+140	open	—	05-01 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	10	$73	140	0	+140	open	—	04-30 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	9	$73	140	0	+140	open	—	05-01 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	10	$73	140	0	+140	open	—	05-01 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	9	$70	140	0	+140	open	—	04-30 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	6	$70	140	0	+140	open	—	04-30 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	8	$70	140	0	+140	open	—	05-01 03:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	14	$62	120	0	+120	Up	$-62	05-08 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	21	$62	140	0	+140	open	—	05-18 00:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$61	120	0	+120	Down	+$59	05-08 04:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$60	120	0	+120	Down	+$60	05-07 13:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	13	$53	120	0	+120	Down	$-53	05-08 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$43	85	0	+85	open	—	05-27 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$42	70	0	+70	open	—	05-18 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$42	70	0	+70	open	—	04-30 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 19:40:04	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x94143f…
06-03 19:35:01	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5d5e81…
06-03 19:30:01	btc updown 5m 1780515000	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x72bc7c…
06-03 19:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x680bba…
06-03 19:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x11c45a…
06-03 19:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8b7cdf…
06-03 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x200c8d…
06-03 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0a76df…
06-03 19:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x200c92…
06-03 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2e4b5b…
06-03 18:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x0511e9…
06-03 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2dfdeb…
06-03 18:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x54ce48…
06-03 18:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbece70…
06-03 18:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x35cc60…
06-03 18:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x35b7da…
06-03 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa164a5…
06-03 18:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x359e0a…
06-03 18:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb1b498…
06-03 17:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2baeed…
06-03 17:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc186ca…
06-03 17:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3bc810…
06-03 17:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x675e0f…
06-03 17:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x04a6bc…
06-03 17:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa6fde6…
06-03 17:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4b68a0…
06-03 17:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1eab01…
06-03 17:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x542988…
06-03 17:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x40c99b…
06-03 16:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe15fd8…
06-03 16:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x68d00e…
06-03 16:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x913e75…
06-03 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe90e44…
06-03 16:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x94c2b4…
06-03 16:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x96a79d…
06-03 16:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x6243c0…
06-03 16:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x463db6…
06-03 16:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x58dc95…
06-03 16:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbe4e29…
06-03 16:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8d8ba3…
06-03 15:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x623834…
06-03 15:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb8cae4…
06-03 15:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0cc342…
06-03 15:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x35d83c…
06-03 15:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x2443d8…
06-03 15:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf4ea25…
06-03 14:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x660a02…
06-03 14:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x123daa…
06-03 14:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3f11a3…
06-03 14:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe87b0e…
06-03 14:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x32eb38…
06-03 14:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x305e79…
06-03 14:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa51683…
06-03 14:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x420d9b…
06-03 14:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x243e07…
06-03 14:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x975b38…
06-03 13:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x978370…
06-03 13:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x049591…
06-03 13:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x274a11…
06-03 13:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xefec07…
06-03 13:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6aace8…
06-03 13:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x790e29…
06-03 13:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9b81d1…
06-03 13:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5da149…
06-03 13:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x96738b…
06-03 13:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x960172…
06-03 13:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x49d436…
06-03 13:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb0ea84…
06-03 12:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6b7715…
06-03 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4fa23a…
06-03 11:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x4c5280…
06-03 11:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xdaa7e2…
06-03 11:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x42eba2…
06-03 11:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x766458…
06-03 11:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2364be…
06-03 11:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3646f6…
06-03 11:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe21662…
06-03 11:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb24daf…
06-03 11:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0cb2f3…
06-03 10:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb3355a…
06-03 10:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x4daf34…
06-03 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xd38415…
06-03 10:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa9bf8e…
06-03 10:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x29af17…
06-03 10:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x895749…
06-03 10:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x89ff1d…
06-03 10:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc9f83f…
06-03 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf54e62…
06-03 10:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x894149…
06-03 10:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x597828…
06-03 09:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa7b495…
06-03 09:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x34f210…
06-03 09:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd8cc7d…
06-03 09:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf220c4…
06-03 09:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5c4c18…
06-03 09:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbbe442…
06-03 09:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf1934f…
06-03 09:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x926c8d…
06-03 09:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb95f23…
06-03 08:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x4427ab…