Excited-Effectiveness — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$31

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

27 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$97

$97 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	+5	$3	98¢	$5	+$2	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	+8	$4	56¢	$5	+$1	05-05 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	+5	$3	60¢	$3	+$0	05-05 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	+8	$4	36¢	$3	$-2	05-05 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	+5	$3	1¢	$0	$-3	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	+5	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	05-05 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x4c41ef…
05-05 22:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3db844…
05-05 22:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x358454…
05-05 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x93380c…
05-05 22:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x78e68e…
05-05 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x579698…
05-05 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x969c80…
05-05 21:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x14ad5d…
05-05 20:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x9c4532…
05-05 11:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x259833…
05-05 09:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4ad0df…
05-05 09:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x660aff…
05-05 08:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x78fa2e…
05-05 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x17f71f…
05-05 07:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x7cda07…
05-05 07:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x49b2c5…
05-05 06:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x449549…
05-05 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x80921e…
05-05 06:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8aed05…
05-05 05:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xac3e19…
05-05 05:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x30ab7d…
05-05 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x7c1b45…
05-05 04:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xfd7a8e…
05-05 03:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xfb439f…
05-05 02:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x61fde5…
05-05 00:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x1a0668…
05-04 23:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x74335b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	26	$1.86K	106	05-05 22:55
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	26	$1.82K	102	05-05 22:55
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	25	$4.59K	140	05-05 22:50
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	25	$1.10K	99	05-05 22:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	23	$3.41K	135	05-05 22:55
Graceful-Alder 0xc145…a3bb	23	$623	39	05-05 22:55
Same-Lipoprotein 0x613e…26a3	23	$516	38	05-05 22:55
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	22	$3.28K	58	05-05 22:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$8	15	+15	Down	+$7	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$8	15	+15	Down	+$7	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	05-05 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	open	—	05-05 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	open	—	05-05 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	+$4	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	open	—	05-05 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	open	—	05-05 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	open	—	05-05 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	open	—	05-05 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$3	8	+8	open	—	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$3	8	+8	Up	+$5	05-04 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$3	8	+8	Up	+$4	05-05 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$0	1	+1	Down	$-0	05-05 05:00