Prime-Paragraph — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

763

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$70

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-04 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-1

Politics

27% — —

Sports

11% 0% $-1

Crypto

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+40	$39	99¢	$40	+$1	06-02 17:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+30	$28	94¢	$28	+$0	06-03 05:37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	+30	$2	6¢	$2	$-0	06-03 05:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	+40	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	06-02 17:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	42	$1.7K	3,510	70	+3,440	open	—	03-09 19:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	38	$1.0K	1,930	170	+1,760	open	—	03-20 23:08
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	28	$969	1,300	220	+1,080	open	—	03-18 23:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	28	$928	1,950	110	+1,840	open	—	03-15 09:35
GTA VI released before June 2026?	18	$657	1,000	200	+800	open	—	03-17 22:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	26	$654	1,340	40	+1,300	open	—	03-19 04:15
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-02 21:37
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$440	680	120	+560	open	—	03-16 23:08
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	8	$370	740	0	+740	open	—	03-08 14:14
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	10	$344	490	70	+420	open	—	03-18 13:05
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	12	$323	690	50	+640	No	$-0	03-12 12:10
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	18	$320	746	266	+480	open	—	03-13 06:18
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	10	$290	580	0	+580	open	—	03-09 15:23
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$277	260	100	+160	open	—	03-13 17:20
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	14	$264	390	270	+120	No	$-0	04-23 23:45
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	13	$248	410	90	+320	No	$-0	04-20 19:13
trump out as president by march 31	6	$240	480	0	+480	open	—	03-11 08:32
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$237	270	70	+200	open	—	02-26 11:51
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	4	$220	440	0	+440	open	—	03-05 05:20
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	12	$215	530	130	+400	Yes	$-0	04-23 17:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	4	$208	210	70	+140	open	—	03-04 23:01
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$172	400	60	+340	open	—	03-10 21:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$170	340	0	+340	open	—	03-02 04:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	18	$168	476	156	+320	open	—	04-15 13:15
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	2	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	03-12 23:59
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	2	$157	80	80	+0	open	—	03-14 04:48
nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	2	$155	80	80	+0	open	—	03-01 02:12
Iran leadership change by March 13?	4	$150	300	0	+300	open	—	03-13 04:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$150	300	0	+300	open	—	03-13 16:09
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	4	$150	300	0	+300	open	—	03-07 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 17:29:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x719af8…
06-04 17:28:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$3	0x3e8038…
06-04 17:28:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x86d952…
06-04 11:45:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa63491…
06-04 11:45:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xce12ad…
06-04 11:45:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x7157a8…
06-04 04:38:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xf61252…
06-04 03:49:28	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x81bedd…
06-03 23:53:06	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x6bb1dc…
06-03 23:53:03	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x150072…
06-03 22:16:27	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xe029cf…
06-03 22:16:04	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x93473b…
06-03 22:15:57	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf0b192…
06-03 18:23:06	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x6be2c4…
06-03 18:23:03	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x567716…
06-03 05:37:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x94ddea…
06-03 05:37:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x51b778…
06-02 17:13:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xe4e11f…
06-02 17:13:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xe5382e…
06-02 14:01:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x8bfe97…
06-02 14:01:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xc82f3c…
06-02 14:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x2ba68b…
06-01 17:33:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x8e2013…
06-01 17:33:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1a5dd3…
06-01 10:27:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xee7077…
06-01 10:27:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x7378cc…
06-01 06:26:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x70bf55…
06-01 06:26:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	24¢	$8	0x9a193a…
06-01 06:26:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xd8f487…
05-12 00:51:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x96af64…
05-12 00:51:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xb32a01…
05-11 11:03:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x96388b…
05-11 11:03:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x4b1c6d…
05-09 03:50:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x2525c4…
05-09 03:50:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	40¢	$25	0x1ce997…
05-09 03:50:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0xc8a54b…
05-09 00:33:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x6b2071…
05-09 00:33:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x49bd5a…
05-09 00:33:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$24	0xe8de5c…
05-08 22:08:35	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x605746…
05-08 22:08:26	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x821031…
05-08 11:46:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x3bc788…
05-08 11:46:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x1007ad…
05-08 09:29:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0xbd8747…
05-08 09:29:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x009012…
04-28 03:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x8d7f38…
04-28 03:23:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbdee7e…
04-27 21:30:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x3780d7…
04-27 21:30:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xcf8a7f…
04-27 09:05:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x5ffb6b…
04-27 09:04:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	58	6¢	$3	0xcd1d21…
04-27 09:04:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf7c288…
04-27 04:23:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x074883…
04-27 04:23:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xf88914…
04-27 02:06:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xbee761…
04-27 02:06:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xc6724d…
04-27 00:00:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xc87dc6…
04-27 00:00:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xa0d030…
04-26 17:02:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xc0a77f…
04-26 17:01:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x9cfb72…
04-26 17:01:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xba5d11…
04-24 13:19:30	bitcoin above 80k on april 24	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x28adc9…
04-24 13:19:16	bitcoin above 80k on april 24	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x236d91…
04-23 23:45:32	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$0	0x44c450…
04-23 23:45:10	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0xfebf4c…
04-23 23:45:06	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xff5c13…
04-23 20:50:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xa54515…
04-23 20:50:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xfe43d6…
04-23 17:34:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x25ba25…
04-23 17:33:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xb90e07…
04-23 17:33:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	44	6¢	$2	0x61901c…
04-23 13:44:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x9579bd…
04-23 13:43:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x11409f…
04-23 13:43:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xa0cd5b…
04-23 11:05:56	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x447d80…
04-23 11:05:48	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x139f1d…
04-23 02:37:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x68a023…
04-23 02:37:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x36554d…
04-23 00:06:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x8772c5…
04-23 00:06:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x711dd0…
04-22 17:01:30	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xf4857d…
04-22 17:01:08	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x2edacc…
04-22 17:01:06	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xff7a6d…
04-22 17:01:00	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x85a9a8…
04-22 16:52:50	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xc57ba7…
04-22 08:59:20	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xbfbaa1…
04-22 08:59:12	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x6e52cb…
04-20 19:13:00	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x6b052e…
04-20 19:12:52	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x86393f…
04-20 19:12:52	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x53ca91…
04-19 23:33:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xe23111…
04-19 23:33:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x963a05…
04-19 20:23:38	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x9eea65…
04-19 19:44:58	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1c3b81…
04-19 10:06:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xbd882c…
04-19 10:06:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	69	5¢	$4	0xc32cd7…
04-19 10:06:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xbb2804…
04-19 03:31:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xa9fac6…
04-19 03:31:48	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x83c329…
04-19 03:31:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x487f5f…