Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.1%

Resolved

123

Trades

563

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 04-11 05:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

43% 48% -$11

Politics

39% 62% -$1

Crypto

13% 61% -$6

Tech

5% 33% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	67	$262	200	200	+0	No	-$2	03-27 09:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$97	54	54	+0	Yes	-$1	04-10 00:40
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	10	$53	47	29	+18	No	+$7	03-28 05:18
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	21	$46	27	27	+0	No	+$1	04-06 06:01
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	6	$38	35	4	+31	Yes	+$1	04-08 04:25
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	30	$36	37	36	+0	Yes	+$1	03-29 03:46
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	9	$35	34	34	+0	No	-$3	04-10 00:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$34	122	122	+0	No	$0	03-24 00:33
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	17	$25	60	53	+8	Yes	-$3	03-27 09:44
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	7	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-27 09:44
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	14	$24	31	30	+1	No	-$2	04-06 06:01
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	8	$19	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	04-06 23:17
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 170m and 180m	7	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-06 22:19
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	3	$18	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-10 00:40
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	5	$18	37	37	+0	No	+$2	03-26 13:59
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	04-08 00:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	26	$15	21	21	+0	Yes	-$3	04-07 21:02
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	5	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:52
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27	7	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	03-24 20:02
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	9	$13	28	28	+0	No	+$1	03-21 17:27
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	11	$12	18	14	+3	No	-$4	04-06 19:28
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	4	$11	9	5	+4	Yes	-$2	03-30 03:07
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	8	$10	11	5	+5	Yes	-$1	03-30 19:45
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	4	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 04:10
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-10 00:40
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$8	17	17	+0	No	+$2	04-10 00:40
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	3	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	03-27 09:45
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$8	205	205	+0	No	$0	03-19 20:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$8	11	11	+0	No	$0	03-21 17:27
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$7	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	03-27 09:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-11 05:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x61c637…
04-11 05:09:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x7679b7…
04-11 04:49:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xe1c98e…
04-11 04:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x62078a…
04-11 04:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xfcdacb…
04-11 04:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x274f5c…
04-11 04:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf17378…
04-11 03:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x2d38d8…
04-11 02:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xd8e345…
04-11 02:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xd0da08…
04-11 02:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0734c6…
04-11 02:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xd9b19c…
04-11 02:25:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8a1ac4…
04-11 02:24:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x1a39cc…
04-11 02:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xadb76b…
04-11 02:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf66913…
04-11 02:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc8fd12…
04-11 02:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfc4405…
04-11 02:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x192f8b…
04-11 01:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xdefe86…
04-11 01:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 01:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x785d2e…
04-11 01:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x065254…
04-11 00:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe9cca7…
04-11 00:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x034f27…
04-11 00:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8ce5de…
04-11 00:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc0abf6…
04-10 23:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf9bab1…
04-10 23:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x88ef67…
04-10 23:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x441e35…
04-10 23:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x99efe3…
04-10 23:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcafdba…
04-10 23:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x318d19…
04-10 22:34:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb3924c…
04-10 22:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9c6ed1…
04-10 22:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xf40c48…
04-10 22:24:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5136ce…
04-10 22:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x091cf9…
04-10 22:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfcab56…
04-10 20:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcc15c9…
04-10 20:14:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 20:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x8b4d8d…
04-10 20:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0xc75160…
04-10 19:44:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x25ba93…
04-10 19:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x0233be…
04-10 19:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc2c059…
04-10 18:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7333da…
04-10 18:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x230d36…
04-10 16:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x0f4b39…
04-10 16:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x023f9f…
04-10 15:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xce34f0…
04-10 15:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x25746a…
04-10 15:19:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x43b21b…
04-10 15:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x39026d…
04-10 15:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9d0461…
04-10 15:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x88dc00…
04-10 14:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0d84e9…
04-10 14:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x40e734…
04-10 14:19:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd3f282…
04-10 14:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x02ae94…
04-10 06:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x6ee81d…
04-10 06:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xed84cb…
04-10 05:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7d580e…
04-10 04:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3fa7ae…
04-10 04:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x770586…
04-10 00:40:39	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0xcb4bdb…
04-10 00:40:39	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 16m and 17m	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x914f51…
04-10 00:40:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x63705c…
04-10 00:40:39	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x49caa9…
04-10 00:40:37	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xeb1839…
04-10 00:40:37	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xd72a17…
04-10 00:40:37	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 14m and 15m	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x871fb3…
04-10 00:40:37	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x66ae9c…
04-10 00:40:37	Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x5bd813…
04-10 00:40:37	will the drama opening weekend box office be greater than 17m	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3b790b…
04-10 00:40:37	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x01f33e…
04-10 00:39:37	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x25e2bc…
04-10 00:38:51	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb59080…
04-10 00:38:11	Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x13defb…
04-09 21:50:59	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x08584b…
04-09 21:25:33	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xc8cc36…
04-09 21:18:17	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0d9418…
04-09 21:17:43	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0x41a393…
04-09 21:03:11	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x723269…
04-09 02:21:31	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdcf6c0…
04-08 09:39:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1e3b79…
04-08 09:38:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xaa283f…
04-08 04:59:41	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x4f5f27…
04-08 04:25:53	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6e1e3b…
04-08 02:47:25	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	59¢	$6	0x7c5bbe…
04-08 01:30:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe98f59…
04-08 01:26:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf97101…
04-08 01:18:11	Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4cf6fa…
04-08 00:56:37	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdfcc7f…
04-08 00:56:33	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xda02d0…
04-08 00:36:55	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x85ba28…
04-07 23:30:51	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0xe7e9bf…
04-07 23:30:51	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0x5b2163…
04-07 23:09:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x4d70b4…
04-07 23:08:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x95d65b…
04-07 23:06:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf4646c…
04-07 23:03:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6ffed8…