Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
14
lifetime
Volume
$443
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$130
7 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 10-28 14:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
77% — —
Tech
23% 100% +$1
Other
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +139 $100 74¢ $103 +$3 10-26 10:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +16 $10 63¢ $10 $0 10-28 13:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +17 $10 58¢ $10 $0 10-28 13:52
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +14 $5 29¢ $4 -$1 10-26 15:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +7 $2 26¢ $2 $0 10-28 13:54
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +18 $1 5¢ $1 $0 10-26 15:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-26 15:55