Heartfelt-Product — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

30.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-05 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Sports

30% 0% $-2

Politics

5% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes		-25	$-13	42¢	$-10	+$3	06-05 00:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3.1K	1,534	1,534	+0	open	—	03-10 01:11
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1.6K	1,578	0	+1,578	open	—	03-12 02:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	06-05 00:59
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$54	29	29	+0	open	—	01-10 06:44
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$48	0	51	-51	open	—	05-28 01:07
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$43	32	32	+0	open	—	02-05 12:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	05-17 09:24
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	04-30 09:31
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	03-30 02:44
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$36	0	37	-37	No	$-1	01-10 06:44
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$33	18	18	+0	No	$-1	04-21 11:56
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$32	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 02:44
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	2	$30	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 13:31
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	03-10 01:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$27	36	0	+36	open	—	06-05 01:00
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$26	29	0	+29	open	—	03-10 01:12
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 2026 696 969	1	$26	29	0	+29	open	—	02-05 12:42
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	02-05 12:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-03 03:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-30 09:31
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	01-20 02:00
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	01-03 11:45
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$19	0	22	-22	open	—	01-03 11:45
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 25	1	$16	22	0	+22	open	—	02-20 07:02
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	1	$16	25	0	+25	open	—	05-11 13:32
will swim bts be the 1 song on spotify this week	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-24 09:23
Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	02-09 05:53
Kash Patel out by December 31?	1	$13	0	25	-25	open	—	06-05 00:59
highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 56forhigher	1	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	03-19 13:14
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$11	0	26	-26	open	—	01-09 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 01:00:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	76¢	$27	0x22f812…
06-05 00:59:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x2fed93…
06-05 00:59:22	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0xfb1d17…
05-28 01:07:54	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0xb2212b…
05-17 09:25:07	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6c06dc…
05-17 09:24:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x243d15…
05-11 13:32:19	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x76232a…
05-11 13:31:49	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf8b8ba…
05-07 06:48:22	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xc830c0…
05-07 06:45:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x4fb1b0…
04-30 12:09:48	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xfdcde9…
04-30 09:31:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xbb2b11…
04-30 09:31:40	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x21ec39…
04-21 11:57:42	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x93d909…
04-21 11:56:40	Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x4a42d3…
04-04 02:52:49	Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x154d4f…
03-30 02:44:22	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0xeb79d4…
03-30 02:44:06	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf1e8d5…
03-24 09:23:25	will swim bts be the 1 song on spotify this week	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x465d76…
03-19 13:15:05	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x1f63e8…
03-19 13:14:51	highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 56forhigher	Yes	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x8d9a86…
03-12 02:42:31	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,578	99¢	$1,569	0x5f47b3…
03-10 01:12:45	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x48bd33…
03-10 01:11:51	USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd4ba0c…
03-10 01:11:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,534	100¢	$1,530	0x46ceb2…
03-03 03:02:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x94e52c…
03-03 03:02:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,534	100¢	$1,526	0x2e3aca…
03-01 11:10:11	nba mil chi 2026 03 01	Bucks	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x442cd6…
02-20 07:02:30	USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe1c07a…
02-20 07:02:14	will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 25	No	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0xecb875…
02-09 05:53:39	Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x13edc0…
02-05 12:43:01	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xe3d5b9…
02-05 12:42:39	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 2026 696 969	Yes	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x3db40c…
02-05 12:42:05	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	32	48¢	$15	0x87ae07…
01-20 02:00:48	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x519145…
01-10 06:44:50	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x0a5602…
01-10 06:44:40	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe8f6d7…
01-09 05:44:30	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x2637b0…
01-09 05:44:14	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	26	43¢	$11	0x3f477c…
01-05 07:49:05	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0xa0e034…
01-03 11:45:49	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0xe74731…
01-03 11:45:41	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x837a52…