Terrible-Cinnamon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-09 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

84% 75% +$16

Other

16% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		-3	$-2	62¢	$-2	$-0	06-09 16:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	3	$6	7	5	+2	open	—	05-29 21:58
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 23:56
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-06 23:11
Fight to Go the Distance?	1	$5	16	0	+16	Yes	+$11	05-09 11:13
will turkiye reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120750	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	06-09 17:06
will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	06-09 17:07
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-03 18:51
world cup goals h2h haaland vspt alvarez 20260604011418095	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	06-09 16:05
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	4	$4	4	4	+0	Grant Dawson	$-0	05-09 11:07
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 19:17
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 12:43
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$3	2	2	+0	Sean Strickland	$-0	05-09 11:03
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-16 12:40
will turkiye reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134482	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	06-09 17:13
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-16 20:39
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-29 21:58
will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	06-09 17:12
will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-09 17:16
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	06-09 16:06
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	1	$1	2	0	+2	FC Barcelona	$-1	05-10 18:29
ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-06 14:36
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)	1	$1	2	0	+2	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	+$1	05-06 12:43
will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-06 23:09
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	1	$1	3	0	+3	Roman Kopylov	+$2	05-08 23:58
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$1	2	0	+2	Joshua Van	+$1	05-08 23:58
Will Arnold Allen win by KO or TKO?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 12:01
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	1	$1	2	0	+2	Pat Sabatini	+$1	05-09 00:02
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	1	$1	2	0	+2	Sean Brady	+$1	05-09 00:01
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yaroslav Amosov	+$1	05-09 00:01
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:16:28	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd78cb7…
06-09 17:13:07	will turkiye reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134482	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x726bab…
06-09 17:12:49	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x1be2fe…
06-09 17:07:00	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xda676c…
06-09 17:06:30	will turkiye reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120750	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x998f93…
06-09 16:06:54	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xe9c7b7…
06-09 16:05:52	world cup goals h2h haaland vspt alvarez 20260604011418095	Alvarez	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x50d6a5…
06-06 23:11:12	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4dc147…
06-06 23:09:19	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfa82c4…
06-06 23:04:57	world cup goals h2h haaland vspt alvarez 20260604011418095	Alvarez	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xe38a69…
06-06 14:36:40	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa1a072…
05-29 21:58:56	UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Loma Lookboonmee	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbe59a2…
05-29 21:58:42	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alex Perez	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0x58dc7f…
05-26 21:35:53	UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Loma Lookboonmee	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xe8a46e…
05-17 23:56:44	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1617ec…
05-16 20:39:31	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Diaz	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x6c2635…
05-16 12:40:22	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Vieira	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7000c4…
05-16 12:40:15	UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	Daniel Barez	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x21afda…
05-16 12:09:10	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Khaos Williams	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf8687e…
05-16 12:01:47	Will Arnold Allen win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x65b676…
05-10 18:29:46	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe88587…
05-10 12:54:09	UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Loma Lookboonmee	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9a59ae…
05-09 11:13:03	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x487910…
05-09 11:07:56	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x36f301…
05-09 11:04:26	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2229d4…
05-09 11:03:58	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x6617cb…
05-09 11:02:10	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Grant Dawson	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xb461ae…
05-09 00:08:03	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xa7be67…
05-09 00:07:24	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Grant Dawson	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf3d824…
05-09 00:02:16	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Pat Sabatini	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3c485e…
05-09 00:01:57	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc6b7f9…
05-09 00:01:45	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfcfdef…
05-08 23:58:46	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb5eeec…
05-08 23:58:36	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf0e5fe…
05-06 12:43:50	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xfd5c5c…
05-06 12:43:04	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6c48c4…
05-03 19:17:46	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xe7e5f5…
05-03 19:11:56	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3adcbd…
05-03 18:51:12	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Arnold Allen	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa4c34b…