Will Arnold Allen win by KO or TKO?
open
Total volume
$419
Trades
37
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,130
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-16
last 05-17 05:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.3¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $215
vs crowd: 17% YES on $405)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $8 | $39 | $31 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $0 | $277 | $277 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $11 | $15 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $50 | $3 | +$47 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $9 | $206 | $197 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $26 | $8 | +$18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $6 | $37 | $31 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| Below median | 4 | $14 | $1 | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $72 | $72 |
| unranked | 3 | $15 | — | +$15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | +193 | $167 | $167 | 3 | 05-17 03:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e91…4e8b | Yes | +91 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-17 02:11 |
| Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | No | +84 | $61 | $84 | 6 | 05-17 03:00 |
| Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | +82 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 03:09 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-17 03:12 |
| Youthful-Fanlight 0xf980…18fd | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-17 02:28 |
| Amusing-Mechanic 0x1a17…38b0 | No | +37 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 05-17 05:27 |
| Unpleasant-Dust 0xc44d…935c | No | +34 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-16 23:57 |
| Dishonest-Schedule 0x5e2d…a9b1 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-17 03:00 |
| Rusty-Statue 0x098c…1c67 | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-17 02:53 |
| Solid-Formation 0xcebb…f75f | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 22:52 |
| Whopping-Reach 0x39fc…e2f2 | No | +19 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-17 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9763…a6d6 | Yes | +11 | $4 | $6 | 2 | 05-17 02:53 |
| Spotted-Domain 0x31c8…9487 | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-17 03:00 |
| Irritating-Valley 0x5c9f…fa1c | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-17 02:11 |
| Descriptive-Scripture 0xf06d…510c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 03:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb99e…6dd6 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 02:35 |
| Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xce1d…09ee | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 19:01 |
| Terrible-Cinnamon 0xc604…0049 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 12:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 05:27:16 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2e6c33… |
| 05-17 05:27:16 | Amusing-Mechanic 0x1a17…38b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2e6c33… |
| 05-17 03:12:08 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3be9b2… |
| 05-17 03:12:08 | Amusing-Mechanic 0x1a17…38b0 | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x3be9b2… |
| 05-17 03:12:04 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x078b35… |
| 05-17 03:12:04 | Shy-Trust 0x6aea…c074 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x078b35… |
| 05-17 03:09:11 | Descriptive-Scripture 0xf06d…510c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xafad33… |
| 05-17 03:09:11 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xafad33… |
| 05-17 03:09:11 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | BUY | 105 | 99¢ | $104 | 0xafad33… |
| 05-17 03:00:16 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | No | SELL | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x8ab1b7… |
| 05-17 03:00:16 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x8ab1b7… |
| 05-17 03:00:12 | Dishonest-Schedule 0x5e2d…a9b1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x3d6b7d… |
| 05-17 03:00:12 | Spotted-Domain 0x31c8…9487 | No | BUY | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0x3d6b7d… |
| 05-17 03:00:12 | Dishonest-Schedule 0x5e2d…a9b1 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x626d6b… |
| 05-17 03:00:12 | Whopping-Reach 0x39fc…e2f2 | No | BUY | 19 | 65¢ | $12 | 0x626d6b… |
| 05-17 02:53:38 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xa796dc… |
| 05-17 02:53:38 | (anonymous) 0x9763…a6d6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa796dc… |
| 05-17 02:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x9763…a6d6 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xfe9d9f… |
| 05-17 02:53:35 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | No | BUY | 23 | 78¢ | $18 | 0xfe9d9f… |
| 05-17 02:53:33 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | No | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0xb48d28… |
| 05-17 02:53:33 | Rusty-Statue 0x098c…1c67 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xb48d28… |
| 05-17 02:35:51 | (anonymous) 0xb99e…6dd6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x65485f… |
| 05-17 02:35:51 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x65485f… |
| 05-17 02:28:23 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | No | BUY | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x420ad7… |
| 05-17 02:28:23 | Youthful-Fanlight 0xf980…18fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x420ad7… |
| 05-17 02:11:26 | Irritating-Valley 0x5c9f…fa1c | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x7d3ce6… |
| 05-17 02:11:26 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | BUY | 86 | 72¢ | $62 | 0x7d3ce6… |
| 05-17 02:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x2e91…4e8b | Yes | BUY | 91 | 28¢ | $25 | 0x7d3ce6… |
| 05-16 23:57:46 | Shy-Trust 0x6aea…c074 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x414905… |
| 05-16 23:57:46 | Unpleasant-Dust 0xc44d…935c | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x414905… |
| 05-16 23:57:46 | Irritating-Valley 0x5c9f…fa1c | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x414905… |
| 05-16 22:52:05 | Solid-Formation 0xcebb…f75f | Yes | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xbecfaa… |
| 05-16 22:52:05 | Unpleasant-Dust 0xc44d…935c | No | BUY | 24 | 79¢ | $19 | 0xbecfaa… |
| 05-16 19:01:05 | (anonymous) 0xce1d…09ee | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x2565a8… |
| 05-16 19:01:05 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2565a8… |
| 05-16 12:01:47 | Terrible-Cinnamon 0xc604…0049 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x65b676… |
| 05-16 12:01:47 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x65b676… |