Amusing-Mechanic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$40

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

5,705

Trades

9,303

lifetime

Volume

$977.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$7.33K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-10 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Other

66% 99% +$4,083

Politics

19% 90% +$162

Sports

16% 98% +$8,312

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes		+7,349	$7,291	100¢	$7.3K	+$40	11-10 21:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	44	$58.4K	32,938	25,588	+7,349	open	—	11-10 21:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	30	$29.2K	18,303	11,006	+7,297	Yes	+$50	11-09 18:00
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	51	$28.9K	14,636	14,636	+0	Yes	+$79	10-31 15:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	49	$17.7K	8,874	8,868	+7	Yes	+$18	11-07 11:30
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	85	$10.6K	5,312	5,312	+0	No	+$33	10-29 17:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	13	$8.4K	5,415	3,000	+2,415	Yes	+$33	11-05 21:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	4	$7.0K	6,992	0	+6,992	Yes	+$14	11-08 12:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	23	$6.7K	6,694	0	+6,694	Yes	+$23	11-06 18:34
cbb wichst uab 2025 12 31	6	$6.0K	3,012	3,012	+0	Wichita State Shockers	+$9	01-01 00:43
O/U 0.5 Rounds	3	$5.0K	3,393	1,677	+1,716	Over	+$32	08-29 11:53
O/U 0.5 Rounds	2	$4.0K	4,005	0	+4,005	Over	+$40	08-29 12:44
Blue wave in 2026?	6	$3.5K	2,499	999	+1,500	Yes	+$10	11-04 06:59
O/U 1.5 Rounds	3	$3.2K	3,181	0	+3,181	Under	+$5	10-31 22:36
crint pak usa 2026 02 10 completed match	6	$3.0K	3,001	0	+3,001	Yes	+$10	02-10 17:08
cbb yngst nkent 2026 01 04	7	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	Northern Kentucky Norse	+$6	01-05 03:19
cbb tulsa ntx 2026 01 04	4	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	North Texas Mean Green	+$6	01-05 01:15
Will Alexander Volkanovski win by KO or TKO?	13	$2.9K	2,997	0	+2,997	Yes	+$69	10-24 22:11
wta putints gadecki 2026 01 02 set totals 2pt5	6	$2.9K	1,483	1,483	+0	Over 2.5	+$76	01-03 07:00
wta jone vekic 2026 03 11 first set total 9pt5	1	$2.9K	2,876	0	+2,876	Under	+$3	03-11 19:58
Will Damian Pinas win by KO or TKO?	5	$2.8K	2,845	0	+2,845	Yes	+$6	10-03 23:21
crint nam nld 2026 02 10 most sixes nam	2	$2.7K	2,696	0	+2,696	No	+$20	02-10 08:36
O/U 0.5 Rounds	12	$2.6K	1,610	1,200	+410	Over	+$199	08-29 09:39
Fight to Go the Distance?	10	$2.6K	1,518	1,223	+295	Yes	+$160	10-24 18:29
cbb mstm merri 2026 01 02	6	$2.5K	695	1,851	-1,157	Merrimack College Warriors	+$2	01-02 22:27
cs2 9ine ntr 2026 01 22	4	$2.5K	2,530	0	+2,530	9INE	+$3	01-23 01:41
cs2 bad 4m1 2026 01 26 game2	4	$2.5K	1,266	1,238	+28	Bad Luck	+$1	01-28 05:25
Will the fight end before Round 2?	5	$2.5K	2,459	2,380	+79	No	+$2,292	10-24 18:26
wta shnaide parks 2026 02 08	10	$2.5K	2,470	0	+2,470	Parks	+$9	02-08 16:21
uwcl mur ffc 2026 08 05 total 2pt5	4	$2.4K	2,388	0	+2,388	Under	+$2	08-05 20:43
cs2 mibr red9 2026 02 01	3	$2.3K	1,643	700	+943	MIBR	+$1	02-02 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 21:54:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2fdaff…
11-10 20:33:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x12aa15…
11-10 20:32:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x6df32b…
11-10 20:17:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a8a37…
11-10 20:16:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc3d792…
11-10 20:16:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x6810e7…
11-10 20:16:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	3,956	100¢	$3,944	0x3fdcfa…
11-10 20:15:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf32eab…
11-10 20:15:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb73566…
11-10 20:15:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x6cbfcf…
11-10 19:15:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	4,700	100¢	$4,695	0x7c8d65…
11-10 19:10:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8975a9…
11-10 19:10:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0x0ad13d…
11-10 19:04:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2aace8…
11-10 18:20:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x38f50c…
11-10 18:20:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	556	100¢	$554	0xc5fe24…
11-10 18:04:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	558	100¢	$558	0x143e2c…
11-10 17:53:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0xabab51…
11-10 17:25:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x0b7df8…
11-10 17:22:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	463	100¢	$462	0x16765b…
11-10 17:21:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0x12a52b…
11-10 17:12:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x26097a…
11-10 17:12:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xb60e22…
11-10 16:51:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x412f89…
11-10 16:51:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	7,320	100¢	$7,305	0xdafed0…
11-10 14:37:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7b4a37…
11-10 13:37:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2c0e0f…
11-10 13:04:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b2729…
11-10 12:11:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57588d…
11-10 12:11:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc97a9d…
11-10 12:11:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xbdc4a0…
11-10 12:11:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1,761	100¢	$1,757	0x1bc493…
11-10 12:09:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	5,565	100¢	$5,554	0x1f0a03…
11-10 10:24:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x53d45f…
11-10 10:23:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	2,050	100¢	$2,048	0x49dd56…
11-10 10:19:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe5913a…
11-10 10:01:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	2,050	100¢	$2,046	0x7a9e44…
11-10 03:06:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	2,657	100¢	$2,646	0xe7ce0d…
11-10 02:36:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	7,300	100¢	$7,285	0x6ff2f2…
11-10 01:47:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	2,300	100¢	$2,291	0x6bda86…
11-10 01:38:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x7234d8…
11-09 18:00:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x4b7884…
11-09 17:57:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73482d…
11-09 17:56:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc88e56…
11-09 17:56:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xfcb078…
11-09 14:31:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf8aa1d…
11-09 14:31:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x602589…
11-09 14:23:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x322da1…
11-09 14:22:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0031f5…
11-09 14:13:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xb680ee…
11-09 13:51:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x788f8d…
11-09 13:19:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe065a7…
11-09 06:44:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	1,636	100¢	$1,629	0x967ce1…
11-09 06:44:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb84058…
11-09 06:41:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	1,402	100¢	$1,396	0x6a7fd5…
11-09 06:41:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x63d10a…
11-09 02:48:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x564e51…
11-09 02:20:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xc99c0a…
11-09 02:18:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	777	100¢	$776	0x48da79…
11-09 02:15:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	1,647	100¢	$1,645	0x52994e…
11-09 02:05:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd012a6…
11-09 01:51:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	2,066	100¢	$2,064	0xa30ad1…
11-09 01:39:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2f3b7d…
11-09 01:04:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb8b05d…
11-09 01:04:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	2,170	100¢	$2,162	0xfe7562…
11-08 23:11:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	3,806	100¢	$3,802	0x385b5e…
11-08 23:01:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	3,304	100¢	$3,294	0xab7cf1…
11-08 23:01:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x68bdd5…
11-08 14:40:09	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x180851…
11-08 12:52:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x58b452…
11-08 12:52:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	BUY	986	100¢	$984	0x37769b…
11-08 04:23:15	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xa1fb66…
11-08 04:04:03	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7fcd40…
11-08 03:03:34	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0xd6a7ba…
11-08 03:02:34	Will Elijah Smith win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x3bd755…
11-08 02:57:28	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xac26c4…
11-08 02:54:46	Will the fight be won by decision?	No	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0x67b30f…
11-08 02:38:13	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3be250…
11-08 02:24:30	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xdd7912…
11-08 02:11:10	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x09c3ee…
11-08 02:08:12	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	214	95¢	$204	0xc1b39b…
11-08 02:08:03	Will Nina Miloševic win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x1a29a6…
11-08 02:05:01	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xd89088…
11-08 02:05:01	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc51852…
11-08 02:01:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb826c6…
11-08 01:36:54	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x01c874…
11-08 01:07:37	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x492232…
11-08 01:00:25	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	189	95¢	$179	0xf49070…
11-08 00:55:07	Will Keiichiro Nakamura win in Round 1?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xad6ce3…
11-08 00:52:43	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	198	99¢	$196	0x3ff4d9…
11-08 00:38:15	Will Thomas Petersen win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x92ebb7…
11-08 00:34:49	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	157	95¢	$149	0x28ffe7…
11-08 00:31:31	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0xec052c…
11-08 00:25:24	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	363	91¢	$330	0x04b797…
11-08 00:24:37	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	91	95¢	$86	0x49314c…
11-08 00:16:00	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	167	95¢	$159	0x0166db…
11-08 00:10:00	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	108	95¢	$102	0xbb0f9a…
11-08 00:09:40	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xde249a…
11-07 23:51:24	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x7562ae…
11-07 23:43:24	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x5a0f45…