Unwitting-Proposal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$9.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-27 22:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

57% 0% $-2

Other

30% 0% $-0

Politics

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$428	222	222	+0	No	$-0	04-01 23:42
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	14	$404	210	210	+0	No	$-1	03-12 12:35
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	13	$370	190	190	+0	open	—	03-26 21:49
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	7	$334	174	174	+0	open	—	02-11 20:14
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	14	$326	169	169	+0	open	—	01-29 02:19
Netanyahu out by April 30?	8	$309	160	160	+0	open	—	04-01 15:49
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$304	158	158	-0	open	—	03-06 01:31
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$299	156	156	+0	open	—	03-07 01:13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	8	$239	125	125	+0	open	—	02-21 00:53
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$228	117	117	+0	open	—	02-21 01:01
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	7	$222	115	116	-2	open	—	03-04 02:56
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	4	$214	113	113	+0	open	—	02-15 08:29
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$213	109	109	+0	open	—	02-21 01:06
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$202	104	104	+0	open	—	03-04 06:03
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$200	105	105	+0	open	—	03-21 18:41
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$189	98	98	+0	open	—	02-11 20:15
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$180	95	95	+0	Yes	$-0	03-27 19:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$174	90	90	+0	open	—	03-16 02:16
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$174	92	92	+0	open	—	03-24 07:49
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$171	88	88	+0	open	—	03-26 14:30
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$157	83	83	+0	open	—	03-25 15:11
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$155	80	80	+0	open	—	02-11 20:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$145	76	76	+0	open	—	03-30 23:12
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	5	$144	74	74	+0	open	—	02-15 08:44
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$125	64	64	+0	open	—	02-11 20:06
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$121	60	60	+0	open	—	01-05 19:24
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	01-19 16:52
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	3	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	01-22 05:30
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	2	$117	62	62	+0	open	—	01-14 14:26
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	02-15 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 22:06:24	mlb bos oak 2026 07 27 extra innings	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xde7ad1…
04-01 23:42:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x260b6d…
04-01 17:20:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x47a7bc…
04-01 15:49:39	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x015693…
04-01 07:32:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x01d25c…
03-30 23:12:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x653e0a…
03-30 17:10:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x345221…
03-30 04:29:22	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0xccaad6…
03-29 22:26:32	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$36	0x34468a…
03-29 18:09:06	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x308f12…
03-29 10:01:56	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x97c545…
03-28 14:00:19	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$34	0xf57bce…
03-28 08:59:09	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0xa61609…
03-27 19:34:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0xab7173…
03-27 11:34:29	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x0294df…
03-26 21:49:51	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x1c813f…
03-26 14:45:21	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xe257d2…
03-26 14:37:21	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xd6101b…
03-26 14:30:49	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0xa93656…
03-26 10:24:55	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xbf783f…
03-26 01:46:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x255b46…
03-25 20:43:19	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x748f1f…
03-25 20:33:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x52d66b…
03-25 15:23:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x978e54…
03-25 15:11:53	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x9dc2c9…
03-25 09:07:27	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$34	0xc541ad…
03-25 08:58:53	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x27b804…
03-25 01:56:51	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x8c874d…
03-25 01:49:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0xf76e0b…
03-24 20:41:53	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x484360…
03-24 12:35:43	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0xd50884…
03-24 08:26:49	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xcfce30…
03-24 07:49:07	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xcd08e0…
03-24 07:26:41	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x65bc41…
03-23 17:39:59	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x77dfd2…
03-23 09:39:27	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x5ef5f3…
03-23 09:37:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	94¢	$35	0xca8499…
03-23 01:35:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x9065e2…
03-22 00:49:29	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xbaed3a…
03-21 18:47:45	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x69b5ae…
03-21 18:41:03	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x92c9a9…
03-21 12:34:23	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x5a1451…
03-21 05:58:15	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x81d993…
03-21 01:41:31	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xf0fce8…
03-20 06:32:55	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x406f04…
03-19 23:22:23	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x65cc73…
03-19 22:38:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$45	0x787943…
03-19 18:26:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0xf86d33…
03-19 12:23:43	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0xcddc55…
03-19 06:16:49	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x392ca7…
03-19 06:06:35	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0xa9f9e5…
03-18 23:51:07	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x296393…
03-18 07:35:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x3870fa…
03-18 02:18:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x3a4717…
03-17 21:12:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xc8e248…
03-17 16:07:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x8bc42d…
03-17 05:24:47	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	39	92¢	$36	0x009701…
03-16 22:09:21	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0x89373b…
03-16 21:18:19	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xb858e3…
03-16 17:16:31	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x35d3d0…
03-16 09:40:55	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x49a9d6…
03-16 02:35:09	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x885e66…
03-16 02:16:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x312c6b…
03-15 22:11:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xe367ba…
03-15 21:56:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xe8e958…
03-15 17:51:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xf9d0b9…
03-15 17:50:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37bc76…
03-12 22:33:39	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x5c1485…
03-12 18:20:45	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xb17e0e…
03-12 17:54:17	Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x17c4f0…
03-12 12:53:59	Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xb98a70…
03-12 12:35:41	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x8351c6…
03-12 07:35:25	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$38	0x7b8987…
03-11 22:05:43	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x933a37…
03-11 15:50:55	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3304ed…
03-10 06:37:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x0ed6ca…
03-10 00:30:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x81c62c…
03-09 23:39:15	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xc3076a…
03-09 19:44:23	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x9b8607…
03-09 19:25:21	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe11ef1…
03-08 10:39:29	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0xc2819e…
03-08 06:10:25	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x17d22c…
03-07 01:13:35	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0x33ac20…
03-06 16:51:13	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$52	0x48ae72…
03-06 01:31:53	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x1fe679…
03-05 17:06:21	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xa711d5…
03-05 15:35:43	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0xa40fca…
03-05 09:23:37	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0xb27748…
03-05 06:48:35	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x56905b…
03-04 23:56:57	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xaf3d42…
03-04 06:03:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xd7fb5e…
03-04 03:13:57	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$54	0x263caa…
03-04 02:56:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$49	0xccbd97…
03-03 21:46:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$49	0x80cbe3…
03-03 13:09:57	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x28a3dc…
03-03 08:02:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x0cbd9c…
03-03 08:00:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xacd9da…
03-03 03:59:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x7c1bc0…
03-02 17:20:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xd15abb…
03-02 17:19:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xb298f8…